Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

War threat in Ukraine

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noirua said:

Should Russia be expelled from the SWIFT banking system?​

www.foxnews.com

Should Russia be expelled from the SWIFT banking system?

Foreign policy expert weighs in on the possibility of Russia being expelled from the SWIFT banking system.
www.foxnews.com www.foxnews.com
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Russia will have prepared alternative strategies , the concept that Russia has been in the 'naughty boy corner ' for so long it plans contingencies for such reprisals well in advance , has completely been ignored by the arrogant globalists

starting to a big club in the 'naughty boy corner ' does bullying still work if say all the 'naughty boys ' are 25% of the global economy ( and dependent on nobody )
 
Is Germany indirectly supporting Russia?
nypost.com

Germany is catering to Russia and is a pathetic excuse for a US ally

Germany is blocking aid to Ukraine and supporting Russia’s monopolization of gas over Europe.
nypost.com nypost.com
The Germans, meanwhile, aren’t willing to make even the slightest gesture toward deterring Russia. They are blocking Estonia, a fellow NATO ally, from sending howitzers to Ukraine that originated in Germany.

Germany has no problem selling weapons all around the world including to the perpetually troubled, Taliban-supporting government in Pakistan and the dictatorship in Egypt.

It is Germany, the laggard of NATO with a deep and growing conflict of interest regarding Russia, that is the weak link — and Putin, unfortunately, knows it.
 
MovingAverage said:
$199.99....that spiked quickly
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noirua said:
www.theguardian.com

What is Swift and what will shutting Russia out of it achieve?

Western allies have agreed that ‘selected Russian banks’ will no longer have access to the international payments system
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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On
StockyGuy said:
If Aus gets invaded, I hope it's by all female soldiers :inlove:
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Last week I actually got arrested by a female police officer (long story); if female soldiers are anything like that, I will pass on that idea, thanks very much.
 
so putin said it was a peace keeping mission targeting military targets only.... now civilian apartments and houses are getting light up
 
Putin wants to/will take over Ukraine completely & put in another government under his control. Then he'll set up military bases all over Ukraine as a deterrent towards NATO/US.

Sanctions won't work against Russia only minimal impact if anything... Putin met Imran Khan of Pakistan today to sign another gas deal. China has eased trade restrictions with Russia as we speak..

Putin has the very best poker hand at the table so to speak as NATO/US are at a loss as to what they can do next - military action not an option either as Russia & China combined would wipe us all out in 24hrs imo
 
nice quote:
During Nicholas I's rule, the tsar was described as Genghis Khan with a telegraph
Then Stalin was called Genghis Khan with a telephone
Now, Putin would likely be called Genghis Khan with the internet (and television for the masses)

Country Lad said:
This one? It struck a chord with me many years ago.
Power is given only to those who dare to lower themselves and pick it up. Only one thing matters, one thing; to be able to dare!
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Replying : Especially after exile, Dostoyevsky increasingly thought of human life as an eternal struggle between spiritual and material in his grand themes, with Europe embodying the latter while the ascetic Orthodox and obdurate peasant/ serf claiming the former.
"We possess the genius of all the peoples and also have our own; thus can understand you and you cannot understand us" - Fyodor Mikhailovich to a French author.
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Which is complete hubris, and reflected the separation between the Westward looking elites (Catherine the Great; "We are a European nation") to the peasantry and soon-to-be lumpenproletariat.

But this spirituality involved pain and agony:
"The most basic spiritual need of the Russian people is the been for suffering, everywhere and in everything. I think the Russian people have been infused with this need since time immemorial. .... There is always an element of suffering even in the happiness of the Russian people, and without it their happiness is incomplete." - Dostoyevsky
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Colin Thubron, traveler, author and Russian speaker, said during a lecture he was giving that he had never met a smiling Russian in the decades of traveling there. The Russians in the audience applauded.

"Narod bezmolvstvuyet"​
 
Value Collector said:
What I meant was that if Russian oil and gas gets blocked from entering the EU for example, two things will happen.

1, Russia will be looking for other markets to off load there Oil and Gas.

2, The EU will be looking for other markets to source Oil and Gas.

At the moment China buys a lot of Gas from Australia and the USA, but people are suggesting that China might instead switch to Using Russian Gas.
Click to expand...

What I'm thinking of however is the next move beyond that.

If you've got multiple suppliers tied up under long term contract then you've guaranteed your own physical supply ahead of anyone else, since the resource is off the open market as such, and to the extent you've got a surplus to re-sell you get to set the terms of that sale.

China doesn't buy the crop they buy the farm. They don't buy a ship load of gas they buy the resource still in the ground. Etc. They do it long term.

I'm seeing this whole thing as partly about the glory days of the USSR but also at least partly about natural resources, trading blocs and so on of which China is a very relevant but not the only party. If so well then those not in the bloc who want to buy those resources are going to have some issues, they'll be getting the leftovers only and can't assume the ability to obtain physical supply simply by paying the market price.

That applies to all relevant resources although gas and oil are very obvious examples.

That's thinking ahead, it's not a 2022 thing but I suspect the war's linked to it ultimately. :2twocents
 
JohnDe said:
I am surprised that school didn't teach you the history basics. However that doesn't matter, there is a lot written about Stalin and his party's means of public and region control, also the factor that Germany was a common enemy and the hope that Stalin would would change his ways after the war, only for the allies to be fooled.
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Correct JohnDe,
When I went to School, it was all British History.
and I majored in Science.

I'm also not a regular listener to the news and only found out to day (after my earlier post) that Russia did in fact invade Ukraine two days ago: and I like many do NOT support or condone that action, nor am I surprised at the reaction of the rest of the world, standing on the sidelines watching/talking and hoping the economic sanctions will resolve this.
 
The blocs are forming..... From The Guardian

Russia will expand trade with Asia to minimise economic effect of sanctions

Russia’s ministry for the economy said it is working on measures to minimise the impact of the sanctions imposed by western countries following the invasion of Ukraine.

The ministry said this will include plans to expand trade and economic ties with Asia, Reuters reports.

The ministry said:

We understand that the sanctions pressure we have faced since 2014 will now intensify.

The rhetoric of some of our foreign colleagues was such that we have been ready for potential new sanctions for a long time
 
Just to add to the above RE: blocs, Russia has already chosen both India & China as trading partners for agricultural + oil & gas products.

Meanwhile, Russia now retaliating with their own set of sanctions against the West.

The response from IMOEX.ME is positive, up 12% so far...
 
Smurf1976 said:
What I'm thinking of however is the next move beyond that.

If you've got multiple suppliers tied up under long term contract then you've guaranteed your own physical supply ahead of anyone else, since the resource is off the open market as such, and to the extent you've got a surplus to re-sell you get to set the terms of that sale.

China doesn't buy the crop they buy the farm. They don't buy a ship load of gas they buy the resource still in the ground. Etc. They do it long term.

I'm seeing this whole thing as partly about the glory days of the USSR but also at least partly about natural resources, trading blocs and so on of which China is a very relevant but not the only party. If so well then those not in the bloc who want to buy those resources are going to have some issues, they'll be getting the leftovers only and can't assume the ability to obtain physical supply simply by paying the market price.

That applies to all relevant resources although gas and oil are very obvious examples.

That's thinking ahead, it's not a 2022 thing but I suspect the war's linked to it ultimately. :2twocents
Click to expand...
China is also quite happy to rip up long term contracts if they feel they no longer require your resource, look at their ban on Coal.

But the coal industry survived, they market just shifted, China started hoovering up shipments for other places, leaving other export markets open to accept our coal.
 

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