AS a Victorian , I was not really surprised at the result so far.
My biggest disappointment was the small vote of the Liberal Democrats (or whatever they call themselves from here on in), as they come closest to the small l liberal i count myself as.
One of the surprising things was the almost complete failure of the independents.
They started with three seats, and the best scenario is they end up with one, but looking more and more likely to get zero.
In my own electorate of Shepparton, the nationals retook the seat from a two term Independant.
The teal revolution that occurred at a national level, was just not replicated here in Vic.
The big winners have seem the national party, going from six to nine seats, with the potential to end up with ten when the Narracan election finally gets happening after the suicide of the sitting member the week before the election.
The call to separate from the Lib coalition will become stronger when they start to look at the seat by seat distribution, especially with the lib decision to preference the greens ahead of the labour party.
From this snapshot below
One can see how the stupidity of the way preferences distort things.
The greens wereblauded as the big winners, but with only a 0.2% swing towards them, will at bet get 5 seats, maybe only four.
The Nationals, with a 0.6% swing towards them, will gain 3 and possibly 4.
The group of "others", gained more votes than the nats and the greens put together, but ended up -2 seats, or at best maybe - 1.
The result was hailed as a triumph for D Andrews, but so far the Labour party with a 5.8% swing against them, has a net loss of only 1 seat.
Once all the counting is done, and the declarations of the polls take place, it will be interesting to revisit some of these
figures.
Mick