Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Uranium, a Raging Bull

Now we're going to be sending it to Mexico too!!..........

=DJ INTERVIEW: Mexico Seeks Australian Uranium - Macfarlane 05/10/2006 04:14PM AEST

By Barbara Adam
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

CANBERRA (Dow Jones)--Mexico is seeking enriched Australian uranium to meet its growing energy needs, Australian Resources Minister Ian Macfarlane said Thursday after a G8+ energy ministers meeting in Monterrey, Mexico.

At the meeting, Mexico's Energy Secretary, Fernando Canales Clariond discussed the prospect of buying Australian uranium, to be enriched in the U.S. or France.

"They are looking to expand their nuclear capability in terms of generation," Macfarlane said in a telephone interview with Dow Jones Newswires from Mexico.

Mexico is a signatory to the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty but is yet to ratify a further nuclear safeguards agreement.

Macfarlane said that agreement could be ratified in coming months, allowing Australian uranium exports to Mexico in as little as three years.

Last year Australia produced about one-fifth of the world's uranium output and at present all the uranium from the country's three producing mines is exported.

Rio Tinto Plc. (RTP), BHP Billiton Ltd. (BHP) and San Diego-based General Atomics each own one of the mines. Canada's SXR Uranium One Inc. (SXR.T) last month announced it will proceed with its as-yet undeveloped Honeymoon project, with the first production expected in 2008.

Australia only allows its uranium to be exported to countries which have signed the nuclear nonproliferation treaty.

"If Mexico ratifies it then we could sell them the uranium direct or allow the uranium to be enriched and then delivered to Mexico," Macfarlane said.

Further talks on uranium exports are expected when Mexican President Vicente Fox visits Australia in mid-November.

If Mexico decided to expand its current nuclear power plant, it could look to increase its uranium imports in the next three or four years, Macfarlane said.

If it decided to built a new nuclear facility, the increased demand for uranium would probably occur in the next five to eight years, he said.

Most of Australia's uranium is committed under long-term contracts with the U.S., Europe, Japan and South Korea.

Surging uranium prices are expected to boost the value of Australian uranium exports by 45% to A$791 million in fiscal 2007.

The increased interest in Australian uranium raises the likelihood a fifth uranium mine will be developed, Macfarlane said.

"I think it (Mexican interest) does increase the opportunity for a new uranium mine in Australia," Macfarlane said.

"I remain optimistic that we will see an application (for a new uranium mine) in the next year or so."

Mexico is also interested in Australian coal and liquefied natural gas.

In January, Mexico awarded Xstrata plc (XTA.LN) and Rio Tinto contracts to supply the government-owned Petacalco power plant in Guerrero state with 8.84 million tons of thermal coal, a deal worth more than A$688 million.

At the time, Macfarlane expressed hope a similar deal to sell Australian LNG to Mexico could be struck but Australia's LNG output is fully committed for the next four years.

"The demand for LNG is growing," Macfarlane said Thursday. "That is an opportunity for Australia but one which, in the short term, we won't be able to meet because, basically, we're sold out."

Macfarlane promised his Mexican counterpart he would investigate the availability of Australian LNG post-2010 LNG supplies and discuss the matter further in November.
 
Those who missed out on the Mantra and Uranium SA floats may like to take a look at Northern Uranium,

It looks like a decent Uranium IPO, with a 100% interest in a large land holding in the N.T. that was previously explored by Canadian Majors who thought it had similarities to their huge discoveries in Canada

Looks to be a tight float, I'm going to apply
 
YOUNG_TRADER said:
I knew the Uranium demand supply shortfall was significant but didn't realise the figures,

for 2007 they're forecasting demand to increase to 80,500t and supply to ramp up to 56,200t thats a shortfall of around 30% :eek: and even with ramped up supply the demand increase will either keep pace or outstrip supply growth

link to article

http://www.fnarena.com/index2.cfm?type=dsp_newsitem&n=114F4151-17A4-1130-F5972902082BA7A8

Hi Y_T, if all this comes off, then you could become the " Uranium King of ASF ".

This " Aussie Uranium Mines " link doesn't show any great increase at all in Uranium supply in the immediate future with only one more mine being given a go ahead and Olympic Damn tailing off a bit with the others: http://www.uic.com.au/emine.htm
 
noirua said:
Hi Y_T, if all this comes off, then you could become the " Uranium King of ASF ".

This " Aussie Uranium Mines " link doesn't show any great increase at all in Uranium supply in the immediate future with only one more mine being given a go ahead and Olympic Damn tailing off a bit with the others: http://www.uic.com.au/emine.htm


lol, I'd prefer to be the Uranium Prince, or no wait the Uranium Night, riding on his powerful stallion (powered by U3O8, greed and crazy investors) :D
 
YOUNG_TRADER said:
Those who missed out on the Mantra and Uranium SA floats may like to take a look at Northern Uranium,

It looks like a decent Uranium IPO, with a 100% interest in a large land holding in the N.T. that was previously explored by Canadian Majors who thought it had similarities to their huge discoveries in Canada

Looks to be a tight float, I'm going to apply

Thanks for the heads up YT, yeh at a glance it seems this one has potential,

It looks good; previous exploration by a number of companies and some decent grades (0.82% cross-cut sampling, 1.5% rock chiop sampling) reminds me of UTO had decent grades in the prospectus and hey 80c on the open

Most of the projects are in N.T.

Its a small float as well, market cap of $7-8million at the offer price

Management with uranium exploration experience, id prefer that over mitsubishi motors experience!! LOL (but nevertheless i expect 60-70c for USA)

so it seems to tick a few boxes.

And they mention "olympic dam style" on the website, gotta love that, that alone is worth at least 30% premium !! :D
 
Being a uranium analyst must be a pretty easy job,


Banker: So what direction in the Uranium price headed?

Uranium Analyst: Let me crunch some numbers, compute some figures and look at some graphs and get back to you on that one..........................

A week later,

Uranium Analyst: It looks like its headed UP

October 9, 2006
Spot: US$56.00/lb (+0.25)


Is there no stopping it?
 
http://www.news.com.au/business/story/0,23636,20584042-462,00.html

Price surge sparks uranium rush
October 15, 2006 12:00am

THE search for uranium is hotting up in the Northern Territory with companies scrambling to take advantage of the mineral's continuing price surge and investor appeal.

Tenements in the NT are being snapped up quickly, including some by the world's biggest uranium producer.

Canada's Cameco has joined up with Australia's Uranium Equities to explore NT tenements in the northeast of the huge Jabiluka and Ranger deposits, 250km east of Darwin.

The joint venture is the first to be signed by Cameco and an Australian junior company.

Sydney-based Monaro Mining, which has been focusing on uranium in Kyrgyzstan, has picked up a number of tenements in the NT, WA and Qld.

The company has allied itself with geologist Mohan Varkey, who is credited with the discovery of the Nabarlek uranium deposit in the NT, which was mined between 1979 and 1988.
 
So anyone want to know why most uranium companies are soaring today?


The worlds next biggest mine Cigar Lake has experienced another setback follwing heavy flooding!


Junior uranium stocks benefiting from Cameco's misfortune
By Jon Nones
24 Oct 2006 at 03:57 PM

St. LOUIS (ResourceInvestor.com) -- Cameco's [NYSE:CCJ; TSX:CCO] stock fell 9.3% on Monday after reporting a massive flood at Cigar Lake. Today, its shares continued to fall, losing 81 cents to $38.14 by mid-afternoon.

Amid concerns that the world-largest uranium producer will have difficulties meeting its supply commitments, trading was heavy in a number of smaller uranium mining companies today:

SXR Uranium One [TSX:SXR] was up more than 12% to $11.40, a gain of $1.25, with more than 6.1 million shares traded.
Ur-Energy [TSX:URE], up 10 cents to $3.43 with over four million shares traded.
Forsys Metals [TSX:FSY], up 12 cents to $2.27 on over 1.1 million shares.
UrAsia Energy [TSXv:UUU], up 10 cents to $3.02 with nearly 7.7 million shares traded.
Denison Mines [TSX:DEN], up 52 cents to $19.27 with over 760,000 shares traded.
International Uranium Corp. [TSX:IUC], up six cents to $6.74 on trading of one million shares.
 
Most people would have noticed Uraniums soaring again, well today it was because Warrick Grigor of Far East Capital has released a very thorough Uranium Report,

see article http://www.theaustralian.news.com.a...857-643,00.html

Anyone got access to this report? I'm trying hard to get it

Has been an excellent week for Uranium companies with Cameco Flood, Rio Rossing Mine Strike and now this new report
 
chris1983 said:
Hey YT.

Seen the report and I wouldnt take much notice of it. Pretty useless.


Hmmmm that wouldn't be because he's bagging your beloved BMN is it?

I have to agree with his findings,

BMN, UXA and TOE can't justify their mkt caps when compared to the likes of MTN and EVE

And Warrick is a solid operator mate, not just some journalist, he actually has been involved with hell of a lot of projects and he's respected
 
Just as an example he say's,

Deep Yellow is very expensive, Bannerman is expensive, Omega corp are fully priced, Toro Energy is overpriced, he says energy ventures are good so you will be happy to hear that. Alliance are fully priced.

He says Peninsula are good..trust..he is a director of peninsula. Peninsula are more based on their gold assets in Fiji. He even say's that Reefton mining are fair!! haha he doesnt know what he's talking about.
 
I knew you would say that about Bannerman. I'm saying hes full of crap just because of some of his other predictions. Which are hilarious. He sais Nova energy is sound. Arent their uranium assets based in WA from what I can recall? He also says Thundelarra are fully priced..they havnt even gone up for their uranium assets! Its a very funny article.
 
I'd agree with AGS being overpriced when compared to say MTN, but then AGS has Heathgate JV so strategic Advantage

I'd agree with OMC being overpriced when compared to EVE, but then OMC is far more advanced than EVE so strategic advantage

I'd agree that BMN is just plain overpriced, but then thats partly becuase its Mkt Cap is up near $150m and all it has to show are some 0.02-0.03% Uranium Intercepts, but then PDN and RIO are near by so strategic advantage


Any chance of getting the report?

p.s. I agree he is biased re PEN and MRO

I also reckon he's MAD re RTM I wouldn't go near them with a 50foot pole!
 
I think uranium is heading to easily reach $100 a lb next year unless something amazing happens on the supply side. As we've seen this week, just one mine delay and the market jumps on uranium stocks as they know of the supply problems. The only thing on the horizon that I can see putting the breaks on is Olympic Dam drastically accelerating production but I think BHP will control this process so that they still get a balance of increased production and still high prices. The other thing to lower prices maybe the Labor decision to allow more mines in Australia. As we have such massive amounts of resources in the country, and a few potential mines all at similar stages, there may be a flood of material going to market in 3-5 years. So we should have a few years of increasing prices yet.
 

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Yeah I'll try get a copy scanned. Flat out at work atm though and the article isnt mine..its a mates..otherwise I would of brought it home with me and scanned it there.

Trust me its not the best read. He does say your EVE are a good though. I agree EVE are underpriced. You will have your price rise eventually.
 
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