3 veiws of a secret
3 veiws of a secret
- Joined
- 18 February 2006
- Posts
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Sainter said:Howdy,
Personally I think UGL has a bit more to go. I first bought in '99 and have been richly rewarded since. I did think at the start of this FY that maybe it was time to take some profit, so after the SPP earlier this year I did sell some-the price had jumped to $10.13! Fortunately for me it was only ~15% of my holdings. I think that the imminent NSW train deal, which supposedly has UGL with the inside running, coupled with the ongoing commodities boom, plus the infrastructure spending announced in the budget the other week should see UGL good for at least another year or so.
Cheers!
kennas said:It will need a couple of big acquisitions if it's going to catch WES's sp. MAH is an easy target and would compliment it's operations. Or merger with WOR or DOW maybe. There's a bit of room for consolidation in the sector I reckon, which so far hasn't really occurred, which in this environment is a little odd. They are all screaming about skilled labour, equipment etc...Maybe we'll see that action soon enough.
DJ United Group 1H Net Rises 46% To A$51.5M, Outlook Strong
11/02/2008 09:16AM AEST
SYDNEY (Dow Jones)--Infrastructure and services company United Group Ltd.'s (UGL.AU) net profit for the fiscal first half ended Dec. 31 rose 46% to A$51.5 million from A$35.3 million a year ago and the company said Monday it remained in good shape for sustainable growth.
Total revenue rose 20% to a record A$1.57 billion from A$1.30 billion and the company declared an interim dividend of 24 cents per share, up from 20 cents a year ago.
Chief Executive Richard Leupen said the strong growth in revenue and earnings reflected both the strength of the underlying businesses and the contribution from acquisitions, which included July's A$477 million purchase of Boston-based property services company Unicco.
Underlying earnings for the half were up 51% and the company forecasts full year underlying earnings to be up 15% to 20% from a year ago.
Leupen said United Group "continues to benefit from the long-term and continuous growth in outsourcing and that trend shows no sign of abating."
I can't see how this result deserved a 25% fall in share price. Just seems to show how nervous the market is at the moment. Even the smallest failure to live up to expectations this reporting season is going to be severely punished.
I'm going to look at some analyst's reports tomorrow and see if I've missed something about the result. If I haven't, I'll be looking to buy on the first sign of a bounce.
Ferret
Ferret
Look deeper into the result and think about UGL's valuation metrics - this is an entity with a high valuation (well, was....) that has delivered a result that shows slowing in profits. The expectations when a stock is at 20 times forward earnings is that it must continue to have 15 - 20% eps growth in perpetuity to maintain it's valuation..... The reality is that if firms profits rose at this rate in perpetuity, we would have about 12% inflation. UGL isn't alone.... look at TPI, TSE BKN and WOR....... sector analysis suggests that the boom times for engineering firms are not as bright going forward....
Cheers
Back
Date: 21/1/2008
Author: Angus Grigg
Source: The Australian Financial Review --- Page: 12
Australian companies have failed to win a contract for a sports stadium inSingapore. The right to construct and operate the $A1.5 billion stadium was wonby a French construction company, Bouygues. It is the largest everpublic-private partnership in Singapore. Australian-listed investment banks,Macquarie Group and Babcock & Brown, had hoped that the contract would leadto more work in Singapore. However, the winning consortium includes anAustralian industrial services company, United Group
Date: 7/2/2008
Author: Vesna Poljak
Source: The Australian Financial Review --- Page: 14
United Group's success has come focusing on sustainable growth rather thanrisky high returns. On 6 February 2008, CEO Richard Leupen stressed that boomsalways bust and that sound strategic planning can provide reliable growth andprofits. In the last seven years, United's sales have tripled and netprofit has increased ten-fold as it has reoriented itself as a service provideron major infrastructure projects. Leupen says the success is supported by cleveracquisitions and good personnel management
WOR - Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2005 2006 2007 2008
EPS 31.2 67.0 86.7 103.3
DPS 20.0 40.5 51.8 62.0
UGL - Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2005 2006 2007 2008
EPS 40.4 61.4 74.3 86.1
DPS 30.0 43.0 51.0 58.4
DOW - Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2005 2006 2007 2008
EPS 32.8 48.3 55.4 61.4
DPS 18.0 25.0 28.0 31.0
MAH - Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2005 2006 2007 2008
EPS 5.0 5.8 6.7 8.0
DPS 1.0 1.5 2.5 2.5
thx
MS
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