Tipping Competition for Full CY 2019

[kid hustlr]

I tell you what I'm in this I reckon.

My 'road to victory':

- The mkt keeps hammering the buy now pay laters
- Jin & PNV fall

The leaders must be getting twitchy!!!

 

[myrtie100]

Yes @kid hustlr I agree, except APT and SLR needs to fall off a cliff!
And CUV, well really - what the???

 

[Logique]

Good work by you again Peter2.

Strong tipping group, wow. So many that are comfortably beating the index!

Stewards inquiry, tech/a

 

[systematic]

Unluckiest participants systematic (-29%), peter2 (-26%) who both hold PET, MMJ.

lol, can they rally at the last turn into the straight?

 

[So_Cynical]

Good work by you again Peter2.

Strong tipping group, wow. So many that are comfortably beating the index!

Stewards inquiry, tech/a

Rougfully half of us beating the index, i wonder if taken as a bunch and averaged how are we doing collectively? way out in front i would guess.

 

[Knobby22]

I'm annoyed about Polynovo.
I owned them in December but wasn't as confident then. I also almost picked MPV.
Should coulda woulda. Still reckon MSB will take off soon but it won't be enough.
SPL Starpharma needs to come good in a big way which I can't see happening.

 

[peter2]

Rougfully half of us beating the index, i wonder if taken as a bunch and averaged how are we doing collectively? way out in front i would guess.

Monthly averages of all fifty participants in this years CY comp vs XAO index.

 

[peter2]

Top 10 stock selections at end of Oct 19.

 

[barney]

Good work by you again Peter2. …...
Stewards inquiry, tech/a

LOL … out of time at the moment … but I will be back to this thread sometime soon …

Thanks @peter2 for your input

and come on @tech/a …. what the hell were you thinking getting involved in a "long term" tipping competition Just because you are a legend "short termer" (technical genius) doesn't mean you can come over here and take down some of the fundy only or fundy/techno gurus on their own turf .....

Horses for courses as we know, and Tech, you are a 1000 metre Sprinter … stay away from the Melbourne Cup

ps I bet you pick it this year after I've sold you out

 

[tech/a]

If you have a chat with Joe you will see how appropriate my position is!

 

[barney]

If you have a chat with Joe you will see how appropriate my position is!

Probably best to speak cryptically to protect the naughty

Even without talking to Joe, if you return to my earlier post 84, you will see I was perhaps 'on the pulse' fairly early in the peace … and I trust all will be revealed when appropriate

I'm sure you now realise my false "irreverence" is tainted with reverent respect

 

[peter2]

Things are moving in the CY19 comp. One week to go before the end of Nov19.
Here are the top five from Oct19. They may or not be the top five at the EOM.

 

[myrtie100]

Oooh yes!
Go Polynovo, go.......down

 

[frugal.rock]

So, if it ends like this, $20shoes gets the prize and a name change to $38shoes, correct?
Is it too late to enter? I only joined the foraging forum in May... tongue in cheek.
Is the 2020 comp open for entres yet?
F.Rock

 

[peter2]

That's a timely question and a good prompt to @Joe Blow to consider when to open the entries for the CY2020 comp.

Last year the comp opened a little too late and many of the members were on holidays and didn't get to enter before the close (Jan 1st). Also, there was little time to check that the entries complied with the modified rules and replacements notified before the start.

 

[peter2]

The markets have closed on the last trading day of November 2019.
Don't rush me. I've got to wait for the 20min delayed data on the ASX.com site, pour a refreshing drink and get some bickies before I start.

You're all very lucky that my nbn transfer went so well. Otherwise the wait would have been much longer.

It's almost time to open up the spreadsheet and get started.

 

[peter2]

XAO has surged (+2.6%) to new highs and closing above last month doji (bullish indicator).

However, the ASF membership hasn't done as well this month. Our monthly group average fell.
The rally has not included the banks and small caps, but has included prior growth stocks.

This means that prior competition leaders have surged back into the lead.
Congratulations to our new, former comp leader.

---------
CY 2019 Progress at the end of November: XAO index +2.6% to +21.7%

Leader: @myrtie100 +83%

2nd: @bigdog +77%

3rd: @$20shoes +71%

Honorable mentions (>10%):
bigdog +16%, ah13 +15%, leyy +11%, myrtie100 +10%,

Competitors with 5/5 positive: (9)
myrtie100, bigdog, Lincoln Ind,Tumbarumba, kid_hustlr, jbocker, DarkKnight,Triple B, luutzu

Competitors positive: 38/50 (76%)

Competitors beating the index: 22/50 (44% down from 56%)

 

[Joe Blow]

That's a timely question and a good prompt to @Joe Blow to consider when to open the entries for the CY2020 comp.

Last year the comp opened a little too late and many of the members were on holidays and didn't get to enter before the close (Jan 1st). Also, there was little time to check that the entries complied with the modified rules and replacements notified before the start.

I guess we should get this going in the next couple of days to give people a few weeks to enter.

If you're reading this and would like to see a FY 2020 competition then let me know by liking this post. If you have any comments about the rules (e.g. changes you'd like to see) then please comment in this thread... but please do it soon!

 

[peter2]

Approx 14 trading days to go until the end of 2019. Hasn't this year gone quickly.

All of Nov19 top 10 competitors have lost value so far this month. At EONov the top 10 were separated by 23%, now it's only 20%. Looks like I'm going to have to look at the dividends paid during the year. Do the high flying tech stocks of this year pay any divs yet? Could some of this years special divs and capital returns boost a few competitors results?

Another tease: The top three are only separated by 5% currently.

 

[peter2]

@noirua selections have paid an additional 7% div. Spec divs paid by JMS.

@Trav. @willy1111 (Both in the top 6) have earned another 3% each in divs.

ps: Don't ask about franking credits.