Re:KING BART & SON POISED FOR BRISBANE GLORY...
The wily ol' fox jbc going for his 250th group 1 tomorrow with moatize or swick in the straddie,the best tip i can ever give you trendsetters is follow bart cummings(jbc) & now his son anthony(ajc),ive backed 8 of the 11 melb.cup winners(1st 3 in 65,66,67 i was a pup).to give you an idea of what a great trainer of stayers jbc is look at this.won 11 melb.cups + 5 quinellas so he has beaten the field home 16 times,also he had big philou nobbled in 1969 when a dead cert,(big philou beat the winner rain lover a week later after he had won his 2nd cup)...tommy smith ONLY won 2 melb.cups....27 years apart(shouldve been 3 with kingston town in 1982)...
so you punters its off to a full tip of the straddie/derby meeting,big fields the last 6 races so you will get good value,didnt tip last week as i got back late from melb after 2 x 18 hour days,hey someone has to do the hard yards..
EAGLE FARM:STRADBROKE-DERBY..
R1.NO.2.MAJESTIC SIGHT
R2.NO.2.ANTIDOTES(jbc),last start lost rider as he went up beside HELIDECK to win.good chance..has been beating SWICK in work.
R3.NO.15.WITHOUTME,placed in sydney & this race is a lottery,no.8.cloudcatcher also has sydney form...
R4.NO.MR HEARTBREAKER,20/1 shot in a big field with a good chance,no.5.ANOTHER TAKEOVER is also right there.
R5.NO.9.ALVERTA,won 4/12,2x2nds,1x3rd.now 1st up over 1000m,gate 15.last prep 1st up she nearly upset TAKEOVER TARGET at randwick,the only time she got beat 1st up,no TT'S in this race...16/1 pre post.no.7 JAZELLA has been freshened & is the big hope(she d/h with calchris 2 starts ago)
R6.NO.7.MOATIZE,jbc's colt gets his first chance at 2400m,5 starts for 4x2nds & beaten by one of our other stable picks..MISSION CRITICAL(did you all take the quin & exacta? of course you didnt..)in that race MC had all the favours,MOATIZE was squeezed out to last out of the gates,then checked early so he trailed the field over 2020m at doomben(doomben is a very small track),made a sustained long run to only go down by a nose,reckon that cost him at least 4 lengths,different story this week TSERS,eagle farm 2400m & gate 8..
,MC out of gate 19 of 20 runners,so bet up on MOATIZE he will show his staying potential.the filly no.19 RATHSALLAGH could be the ko smokey,the oaks winner no.18.RIVA SAN is also there,but she was a surprise winner...on a bog..MOATIZE
R7.NO.1.CASINO PRINCE,i think he is a real good thing at $4.50 pre post,no.14.HELIDECK the horse that won 3 at good odds is at 30/1 from 10/1 with gate 24 he will come into 20 in a field of 20,i said it was a mistake to run him against APACHE CAT at wfa with a 8kg disadvantage,(he was beaten 7 3/4 lengths into 9th in the 10,000.)big blunder by the trainer.HELIDECK needed to win a handicap like the straddie before you go taking on wfa champs like AC.take no.2.SNIPERS BULLET(blinkers on) at $18.00 to repeat his straddie win of last year,he progressed well up to his big win,BUT since then he has struggled to win again...hasnt won since last years straddie...bart has SWICK no.3.in the straddie as well at 10/1,a chance but better off at flemington,im hoping for 2 scratchings so i can have no.22.TURFFONTEIN running at 200/1 for me($100 win)as he is a good chance on his 4 3/4 3rd in the 10,000.beat HELIDECK by 3 lengths & has 2kg less in this race....2 scratchings please...
first 4.so going.1.casino prince,22.turffontein(if runs),3.swick,12.vormista,14.helideck...box them up folks in first 4,tri,quinellas,exactas...plus i got my own doubles still live,AC/CP,SWICK,HELIDECK,TURFFONTEIN(antidotes&terranaba not in field)
what i did was took the odds on fav APACHE CAT in the wfa 10,000,with jbc's/ajc's horses plus helideck.you can see them highlighted in the straddie weights a few posts back...BUT if vormista wins i get nothing...thems the breaks..by the way who was the lucky jagger on the $58m powerball..wowee.
ive left out 16.murtajill(23),el cambio(19)..cant pick them all.
backing CASINO PRINCE straight out,already got TURFFONTEIN at 200/1(if he dont run i lose my cash,but thats all in betting.get in early for big odds but its a risk.i think helideck may get scratched due to his 24 gate.)
R8.NO.14.SATSANG,very hard race the last, no.7.FELIXTRINIDAD looks hard to beat but going for value in SATSANG,gate 13 of 18,had a 10 week let up after running close up in mares quality races.around $9.00 pre post.
so in brissie go hard on moatize put 50% of your winnings on the prince,if your winning after that...put the cue in the rack & go home...
BEST BET:MOATIZE
FLEMINGTON..
R3.NO.6.BULLETIN,gets a 1kg turnaround from the toppie BONDED who has 58kg with no claim,she has the 14 gate in a field of 14 but the flemington 1400m is a good leaders race,looks likely to roll forward & be hard to run down,BONDED will get a nice cover from gate 5 but counting on the 3kg diff telling in the last 100m...
R4.NO.9.PRINCE EIRAM,at this his 4th run back & up to the 2000m he is a top chance,no.3.ELECTRIC MILLION the fav. has won his last 2 here over 1800m & 2000m so hes a 7a system however PE looks to have more scope with only 51 kg..
R5.NO.2.RED ELEMENT,i tipped him in his last start win,won 3/4 for the hayes camp so sticking with RE,no 3.BEAMING a 7a 1200m winner here last start.
R7.NO.5.ROADHOG,first up for jbc over the 1200m hes a good hope at around $6.00..
R8.NO.15.PROMINENT,a zabeel filly trained by danny o'brien back to the 2000m ,last start she showed her staying potential(only her 5th start)by winning a geelong maiden 2200m by 4 1/2 lengths,around 10/1 in a field of 16 for her 1st crack in town...watch for her in the spring staying races,o'brien trained the caulfield cup 1st & 3rd last year....
ok you happy trendsetters go hard or go home & watch out for double points this weekend...tb
FLASHBACK,CUMMINGS RUNS 1,2 AGAIN IN 74 & 75..
THINK BIG,harry white 74-75 melbourne cups,beat jbc's great mare LEILANI(owned by andrew peacock)in 74 at 14/1,never won a race in between & it was pouring so he went out at 33/1 love it,beat jbc's 2nd stringer holiday wagon from memory...great odds for sure,74 was when i started following cummings in the cup,my dad said think big so we backed him in both wins,then 2nd in 76 with gold & black(the footy team i played for wore black & gold jumpers)who came back in 77 to win as fav.for jbc...think big lived out his years on harry whites property as did his 79 winner for jbc HYPERNO(3rd in 77 for geoff murphy)white won his 3rd cup on arwon in 78.
THINK BIG