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The Myth of 80% of Options Expiring Worthless

wayneL

VIVA LA LIBERTAD, CARAJO!
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Just came across the fair dinkum statistics.

The oft asserted statistic that > 80% of options expiring worthless is a total phallacy.

From the CBOE:

Most people believe that 90% of options
expire worthless. However, this is untrue.
Normally, only about 30% of options
expire worthless in each monthly cycle.
Only about 10% of options are exercised
during each monthly cycle, usually in the
final week before expiration.
In fact, over 60% of all options are traded
out in the marketplace.
This means that
buyers sell their options in the market, and
writers buy their positions back to close.

Vindicated at last :D
 
wayneL said:
Just came across the fair dinkum statistics.

The oft asserted statistic that > 80% of options expiring worthless is a total phallacy.

From the CBOE:

Most people believe that 90% of options
expire worthless. However, this is untrue.
Normally, only about 30% of options
expire worthless in each monthly cycle.
Only about 10% of options are exercised
during each monthly cycle, usually in the
final week before expiration.
In fact, over 60% of all options are traded
out in the marketplace.
This means that
buyers sell their options in the market, and
writers buy their positions back to close.

Vindicated at last :D

Thanks Wayne, Mr Mythbuster.....then another way to put it for the CBOE is that 90% of options are not exercised. Wonder what it's like for the local markets?
 
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