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Trend following....now i get it.

Its just like punting on two up at the casino...when the inevitable run
starts, bet with it and keep winning as long as the run continues.

I find it hard to keep going heads when there's already been 10 in a
row, so trend following prob don't suit me.
 
The move from bid to offer is actually a trend fellas.

Trend following is nothing like punting at a casino. The casino restricts your bet size and restricts your win size. Markets allow maximum bet size but more importantly, for trend followers, no maximum upside.
 
Semantics.
Each to their own.
For those who like simplistic solutions I feel this piece has its place.
Those who prefer more complex trading gymnastics--other solutions will fit them better.
In the end consistent profit is the goal---one mans simplicity may well be seen as one mans complexity to another.
If the trader knows why his simple complexity turns a profit he is well in front of those who have no idea.
 

Another South Park junkie lol ---- SWEET ------

The market is the best casino around.

If the market gives you get 10 Reds in a row and the momentum is slowing and the volume is dropping its probably time to start accumulating Black.

Great thing is that even if Black doesn't come up on the first few spins, chances are you will still win anyway ----- If red starts to come up again, you usually get a couple of opportunities to cash out with minimal losses.

Just a matter of putting the edge in your favour ----- Buy at the bottom of cycles, sell at the top. Add some risk management, stir well, couple of hail mary's and bobs your uncle.

Simple in theory, hard in practice ----- Why? ----- Human nature likes to sabotage itself.
 
Faith.

Deal with it.

prawn_86 said:
I would argue that its the profit and results that show you can do it.

If you are still doing it profitably after a yr, 2 yrs, 5yrs then it has proved it works
Click to expand...
Still doesn't explain why people extend it into the future. The key word is above.

tech/a said:
Semantics.
Click to expand...
Not really.

All probability theory is, is manipulation of the language of faith and hope into something that sounds better and is more palatable, but retains all the inherent properties of faith and hope.
 
chops_a_must said:
All probability theory is, is manipulation of the language of faith and hope into something that sounds better and is more palatable, but retains all the inherent properties of faith and hope.
Click to expand...

Interesting quote chops.

You know really when it comes to semantics it was those guys studying for their B.A. (Bugger All) majoring in postermodernism that use to annoy me with their semantics and useless tripe.

Here's some useless and classic examples

www.elsewhere.org/pomo/
 
GumbyLearner said:
I agree chops.

Its like trying to stay awake on caro or trying to get pissed on claytons.

:
Click to expand...

It's just completely self refuting. You can't deny meaning to what you are attacking; as what are you actually attacking, nothing?
 
Just thought I would provide an updated link to this...

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