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TGR - Tassal Group

I'm glad you didn't. when the priced dropped below the recent issue price, I thought id pick up another 1000 shares this morning to round out the number I already have. I was too slow, ill wait and pick them up on weakness, but what a great day. and with the pork shortage in china, they may look to other sources for their protein, pushing up the price again?
 
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...k-to-beijing-virus-outbreak?srnd=premium-asia
I noticed that but it looks like Australia would be affected to according to this article. Not sure why SP is positive in light of this?
"The $700 million market for imported salmon in China is at risk after the fish was implicated in a new outbreak of coronavirus cases in Beijing, potentially dealing a blow to major exporters like Denmark, Norway and Australia.
 
Given that the contamination appears to have a connection with European imports, I doubt it would affest Australian Salmon, but even if there is a short term blanket ban on Salmon imports regardless of origin, its hard to see it lasting long. Its likely there will be numerous cases like this where residual viral shedding is found on packaging etc, once the source is confirmed it will be back to normal. So I cant see any significant impact for anyone, positive or negative really.
 
Probably my least conviction holding, its managed to have a reasonable year all things considered. Cash flow shows up just how capital intensive this game is, FCF is about -$80m and I cant remember the last FCF +'ve year! I should probably just get out and find a better home for the capital!
 

Still glad you didn't sell in February? You sure know how to find the rough amongst the diamonds.
 
the position is even better after fridays close. i wonder if there's something in the air?
 
ONE of these stocks that never really recovered after the March 2020 COVID issues.

Was once a favorite of mine. Back on the radar. See If I can get the timings right?
 
ONE of these stocks that never really recovered after the March 2020 COVID issues.

Was once a favorite of mine. Back on the radar. See If I can get the timings right?
I hope you do mike. I've been on these since i started making coolroom doors for their operations in Tassie. I've finally given up. hopefully the timing will work for you
 
There are a those with a view that TRG is a possible turn around story and can transition from a perpetual destroyer of shareholder value into a high quality business. I remain without conviction!
 
This will be an interesting Monday. Huon being purchased at $3.85 per share and around 1.5x net assets. TGR at 1.5 net assets (intangibles stripped out) would equate to somewhere around $5/share. Much higher than the current low 3's share price. Also, TGR is/should be in a slightly stronger position than Huon.

With TGR sitting near the top of the shorts list I expect to see a lot of pain for shorters this week. Might be an exit point for me if there is a jump in the SP. Will see.
 

Maybe the tide of bad news towards all fish farms is turning

 
Dumped out of TGR this week. Results for the half looked good on first pass with EPS up to 17 cps, but after a little more detailed look I noted that net assets were up only due to re-rating the fish stocks, debt is up every so slightly, and the cash for the half came from dumping down a lot of inventory. With those taken into account the half doesn't really look any better than last year. And they've spent considerable capital over the past few years to boost earnings and I'm not convinced the earnings boost this half has been without a little creative accounting.

Still think this is a takeover target but I don't see any point holding on for a 8 cent dividend. Might get back in later on if the SP drifts back downward.
 
I was wondering why the SP had been climbing this past week.

 
TGR has rejected a third buyout proposal from Canadian aquaculture company Cooke, and is refusing to engage in talks, arguing the latest $4.85 a share offer still undervalues the company.

Tassal’s board said the company has an “attractive independent future” where it will be better off going it alone. The latest Cooke bid values Tassal at $1.04 billion and is at a 22 per cent premium to Tassal’s close of $3.97 on Monday.
 
RECEIPT OF NON-BINDING, INDICATIVE, INCOMPLETE AND CONDITIONAL PROPOSAL Tassal Group Limited (ASX: TGR) (“Tassal” or the “Company”) refers to recent media commentary and the substantial holder notice lodged by Cooke Inc. and related parties after market on 27 June 2022, disclosing the acquisition of a 5.398% stake in the Company.

The Company has received a non-binding, indicative, incomplete and conditional proposal from Cooke Inc. (“Cooke”) to acquire 100% of Tassal’s ordinary shares by scheme of arrangement (Indicative Proposal) for cash consideration of $4.85 per Tassal share.

The proposal is subject to conditions including Cooke’s board approval, the Company’s board approval, arrangements for key management and entry into a Scheme Implementation Deed including exclusivity provisions.

Cooke has indicated that it has obtained Foreign Investment Review Board approval. This indicative proposal follows previous indicative non-binding confidential proposals received from Cooke for $4.67 and $4.80 per Tassal share. The Company’s Board evaluated those proposals and chose not to engage in relation to them
 
Darn. Sho...

Insider trading this past few days obviously that ASIC will ignore.

Maybe not -

"Cooke’s offer – its third tilt at the company and a 42.2 per cent premium on Tassal’s closing price from when it started buying shares in the company 10 days ago."

 
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