Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Tech/a on Technical Analysis

Just some further notes on APA.

There is no wide range bar supporting any move with very high volume
in this current pattern.
It can also be accumulation (Doubtful) but a break with some range and volume
out of the influence of the V/C bar one way or the other will send a clear signal.

Just a cautionary note. The price action is currently an indication of whats happening.
Not a signal---it will come and it will be clear.
 
tech, re your mark up on APA's chart "bearish volume control". Is this in reference to the VCB on the 5th of March, and how yesterday's bar is testing the bottom of that particular VCB with volume that not very inspirational?

re GUD, it has broken out of short term resistence, on fairly high volume (I just compared hourly charts over the last few days) in morning trade. I'll post some notes on it at close, hopefully before you do your analysis.
 
Yes 5th
The rectangle is a day early for clarity only it’s tge top and bottom that is important in these lower range bars

Position in the box is more important in wide range bars.
GUD has traded past the trigger I set
 
GUD. I wouldn't have bought today even though it broke resistance on reasonable vol. The closing price off the highs looks bearish to me (or rather dont look bullish enough).

GUD0703.JPG

APA. Average range, decent vol for an upmove. No buy signals to me. Wait and see.
APA0703.JPG

Looking forward to hearing your views.
 
tech, question about AD8. This was a paper trade and I would have entered the market on the 20th of Feb (day after earnings). I set my stop at 4.39 and TP at 5.21 for a RR of 1. According to my pretty diagram below, I would have taken profit on the 27th as it technically triggered my sell limit. The bar on that day also started to look a bit like a buying climax and I would have sold at close. How would have managed this trade if you entered on the 20th Feb?

P.S. Missed the extremely high vol bar yesterday. =(

AD8.JPG
 
some after market trading. charts updated.
 

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Will continue to follow the charts.
GUD would be now traded.
APA still waiting

A 32.gif
 
GUD would be now traded.

tech/a, GUD closed in the bottom third of today's bar. Does this mean you are not placing much importance on this given the high vol and BO? Are there situations when this approach would not apply (assuming strong vol and BO)?
 
Would you say most transactions in one thrust generally take place at the top and bottom of swings?
 
tech/a, GUD closed in the bottom third of today's bar. Does this mean you are not placing much importance on this given the high vol and BO? Are there situations when this approach would not apply (assuming strong vol and BO)?

jj it’s a buy according to my testing. You are correct the bar in its own right closes off its high
It Also closed above the trigger. It could reverse today and if it does it will be range and volume that will determine what I’d do. Again all price action is indicative of what’s happening.
That indication isn’t as clear as a break out on good volume with wide range thrusting it out of the pattern so a 7/10 a—— b or c trade. But as we are following it win or lose, This is how I’d trade it based upon my own testing and research.

Would you say most transactions in one thrust generally take place at the top and bottom of swings?

Wysi
Most yes some occur in the middle of prolonged moves
Quite a few happen just before a move tops or bottoms out
A bit like skidding to a stop or dropping the clutch from a standing start!
 
jj it’s a buy according to my testing.

ok tech/a. Thank you for clarifying. My methodology up to now is to look for generally grade A trades. This limits my opportunities a fair bit. I start following some grade B/ C trades as you call them.
 
ok tech/a. Thank you for clarifying. My methodology up to now is to look for generally grade A trades. This limits my opportunities a fair bit. I start following some grade B/ C trades as you call them.

You’ll soon notice how often A grade grades turn into D trades and B and C turn into As

I use the “ well fuk me “ indicator
In these cases
 
So as patterns and volume plays out it is important to follow
the charts we have made initial observations to see how it HAS
played and now how it is likely to play
Below are the 9 charts that we have recently had a look at.
You'll now see (I hope) what I see as I read the charts in my watch list
Adding comments or deleting prospects from the lists.
I keep the notations though in case a chart is filtered out in a search.
Which often happens. Saves a lot of work and indicates how accurate
the analysis was.

VTG
INP
CHC
BOT
AD8
A2M
BHP
WGX
IFL
 
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