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Echo Entertainment shares rose today after a botched share raid yesterday evening was taken as a sign that the battle of the billionaires on its share register has heated up again.
Investors confirmed to BusinessDay that RBS was in the market Thursday evening for 40 million shares at $3.90.
This was just a 5 cents a share premium to the stock’s previous close and too little to tempt shareholders who also have James Packer’s Crown Ltd on the register.
Crown is seeking to lift its 10 per cent stake to 25 per cent if granted permission by the casino regulator.
It is understood that RBS could have picked up 20 million shares at $4 each but that window of opportunity has passed with shares today rising more than 3.6 per cent to as high as $3.99.
Genting’s Singapore operation sold 39.6 million Echo shares last month at $3.99, but Genting’s Hong Kong operation, which owns a 4.2 per cent stake in Echo, stated that it still intended to lift its stake above 10 per cent if permitted by the NSW Independent Liquor and Gaming Authority.
The ILGA has said that Genting is seeking permission to lift its stake to 25 per cent and asked for submissions on Genting’s suitability to be associated with the owner of Sydney’s The Star casino.
ILGA said submissions have to be received by October 26.
IT will be 2019 before James Packer can have his casino at Barangaroo and it will require a change to the one casino licence policy in NSW, Premier Barry O'Farrell confirmed yesterday.
There has been speculation that Mr Packer, who is launching a bid to increase his stake in Echo, The Star's parent company, would use that licence to open a high-rollers' room at a six-star hotel he has promised to build at Barangaroo.
But under questioning from Greens MP John Kaye at budget estimates, Mr O'Farrell, a supporter of Mr Packer's proposal, confirmed he believed that the one casino legislation agreement set out that the state's only casino had to be on "one site".
He added he had no intention of breaking the 12-year exclusivity arrangement the Labor government signed with the Star in 2007.
Another budget estimates hearing heard that money left over from the negative regional relocations grants program had been allocated towards the Star casino.
Budget documents obtained by the opposition show that the leftover funds have been funnelled into other programs, including an $8.5 million GST offset for The Star.
John Redmond, the former head of major casino groups in the United States, has been named the new chief executive of casino owner Echo Entertainment.
As flagged by BusinessDay this morning, Mr Redmond will take on the job in January, once all regulatory approvals are received. He replaces Larry Mullin, who announced his resignation in September.
Mr Redmond has previously held executive positions with Caesars World, including senior vice president and chief financial officer of Caesars Palace in Las Vegas.
He was also the co-chief executive officer of MGM Grand Mirage, an international casino and hotel group.
The NSW casino regulator has given the green light to James Packer’s Crown to lift its stake in Echo Entertainment.
Crown applied in February last year to lift its stake in the rival casino operator from 10 per cent to 25 per cent.
However, the Independent Liquor and Gaming Authority (IGLA) will only allow Crown to lift its stake to 23 per cent, not the requested 25 per cent.
James Packer is used to getting what he wants, even if it comes at a price.
The sale of Crown’s 10 per cent stake in rival casino operator, Echo Entertainment, on Thursday evening crystalised a loss as high as $38 million, according to analysts.
But it sent a clear message; Crown is taking one shot at Barangaroo with its direct application for a casino/hotel complex and Echo was not a Plan B.
The media focus has been on the logical juncture for Crown to make a decision about the sale of its Echo stake - namely the NSW government’s decision next month on whether Crown gets a licence for its development at Barangaroo.
If Crown lost, the Plan B was then expected to be a takeover bid for Echo. It would have meant Crown could decide the future of its stake as Echo’s share price rose to reflect a potential takeover premium.
The rationale for Crown selling now was “difficult to understand”, said Mark Bryan, an analyst at Bank of America/Merrill Lynch.
The spending outside casino areas in Echo's plans is being used to differentiate the bid from Crown's high-rise Barangaroo hotel proposal, with Echo saying it is "clearly pitched at Sydneysiders just as much as VIP high rollers".
The centrepiece of Echo's pitch is to connect the three precincts with a new commuter and cycle bridge called City Link Bridge. It would connect Darling Island where the Star is located to the southern end of Barangaroo.
Cyclists and pedestrians would be separated in their own "lanes" and the bridge, to be designed through an international competition, would possibly open to allow passage of large ships to the National Maritime Museum.
Commuters on the light rail, which extends west to Lilyfield, could alight at the stations at the Star or Pyrmont Bay and then pass across the bridge to Barangaroo.
Analysts warned this afternoon the stage 3 approval win by Mr Packer - which is highly likely to lead to a full approval for his casino development - wouldn’t necessarily cause a huge rally in Crown stock, and that likewise Echo shares shouldn’t plummet too far either.
Credit Suisse analyst Larry Gandler said he had a valuation of $2.60 to $2.90 on Echo shares if Mr Packer’s casino and development at Barangaroo went ahead as planned.
Mr Gandler said before the announcement and trading halt in Echo shares today, the market seemed to be reflecting in its share price a 50 per cent reduction in VIP turnover in 2020 and a 20 per cent reduction in private gaming room revenue as the new Crown in Sydney opened for business and started to poach customers.
Price Since its split from Tabcorp, Echo's share price has sagged, hitting $3.42 in February. The emergence of Crown on its share register bumped the price up above $4.60 early last month, but it slipped to as low as $4.26 on Friday before closing at about $4.37.
Worth buying? Most speculation has centred on a potential takeover bid of Echo Entertainment by Crown. That remains a possibility but there are plenty of other permutations available before Echo's fate is decided.
The stock already has an element of takeover speculation built into it, but if a bid doesn't eventuate, its operating performance will be all it has to support the price. As the Sydney refurbishment has unfolded, it's not at all clear that Echo is on a winner at The Star.
Makes a bit more sense.normalised gross revenue across the group grew by 5.7% on the prior
comparable period (+13.2% on an actual basis).
For the domestic business, excluding the
VIP Rebate business, revenue grew 6.4% on the prior comparable period, with gaming
revenues in both Sydney and Queensland showing growth
At first I though Matt Bekier must be incredable!! 12% jump on his appointment on a fairly negative day! WOW.
Then I saw this.
Makes a bit more sense.
Looks like pokie machines are back in vogue. (as figure excludes high rollers)
At first I though Matt Bekier must be incredable!! 12% jump on his appointment on a fairly negative day! WOW.
Then I saw this.
Once all the coal mines close then tourism in Qld. will be the main play. This precinct is advertised as lavish and likely to be affordable by wealthy Asian visitors and retiree Aussies with sizable nest eggs.Definitely a stock to watch tomorrow
"Tourism is going to be the next mining boom"
"The increasing wave of Asian tourism, particularly from China, has the potential to be our next mining boom," Mr Bekier said. "To capture our fair share of this opportunity, we need more tourism infrastructure – especially in the high end accommodation category."
Read more: http://www.theage.com.au/business/m...-for-rally-20151103-gkq4xf.html#ixzz3qUEB273C
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"Chinese demand for global property could fall by 30 per cent" this year, Credit Suisse analysts Damien Boey and Hasan Tevfik estimate in a recent research note. And that trend looks to have extended to Australia.
"Chinese bidders have reportedly been less active in foreign property markets" since the August devaluation of the yuan, the analysts say. The key factor driving reduced Chinese demand for foreign bricks and mortar is not tighter capital controls, but the less confident and wealthy Chinese consumer.
"The underlying issue is weakness in the Chinese economy," write the analysts. "Capital flight is tightening credit conditions, which in turn is dampening income growth, wealth and the purchasing power of Chinese residents."
"All things considered, the likelihood is that Chinese flows into the Australian property market have flattened out in 2015."
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