SFR - Sandfire Resources

[rcw1]

@DrBourse appreciate should you have time, if you could run your TA ruler over SFR please. You last performed this task for rcw1 back in June 2023.

Kind regards
rcw1

 

[Rosscoe62]

I’m not DrBourse but my comments as I do own this stock …

One of the few stocks that has disappointed me since buying, I’m breaking even with this stock with regards to TA.

I will give SFR a little more time as I see the copper affiliates having a decent run shortly but this stock is testing my patience. I’ll give it another month to show its hand before being thrown out to the wolves if it can’t deliver, I don’t hold stocks that are time-wasters.

A lot hinges on the copper price, even though it’s attached to gold and zinc ….

I tend to think this resource will be in demand in the coming year or so but that has nothing to do with the current SFR price and movement. It could change quickly depending on the Global situation.

It has rallied nicely since early Sept so we’ll wait and see which projectory it’s likely to take later this year. I’m not giving up but it needs to advance.

It really depends on demand and supply ….

Copper Price & Charts - Market Index

Today's Copper price and charts. Download a map of Australia's copper deposits and 35 years of price history.

www.marketindex.com.au

Sandfire Resources Limited (SFR) is involved in production and sale of copper concentrate, containing gold and silver by-products from the Group's 100% owned DeGrussa Operations in Western Australia; Evaluation and development of the Motheo Copper Mine and Motheo Expansion Project in Botswana, and Sandfire Resources America Inc.'s high-grade Black Butte Copper Project in Montana, United States; and Exploration, evaluation and development of mineral tenements and projects in Australia and overseas, including investment in early stage mineral exploration companies.

Over to DrBourse …

 

[DrBourse]

@DrBourse appreciate should you have time, if you could run your TA ruler over SFR please. You last performed this task for rcw1 back in June 2023.

Kind regards
rcw1

Hi @rcw1 …..

As you know I need a Co’s Financials to pass my Analysis Tests….
Failure to pass that FA Test means that I usually don’t bother looking at their TA…

The story for SFR this year is the same as previous years…Always Failing any FA Tests….
Way too many financial figures are distorting FA Results…Figures such as ROE, ROC, ROA, PE, PEG, NTA, EPS, Int Cover, and a few others….

And way too many “Maybee’s”, with their current endeavours, as mentioned by @Rosscoe62 ….

IMO, the SFR IV is probably around the $4.00 to $6.00 area, remember an IV is what I call a “Fire Sale Valuation”..
The “Harrolds or Sheep” of this world will aim for $11.00…
Local Brokers suggest an Average TP of $9.72 (see attached snapshot), and a Low of $6.52 (or lower)….
A Roger Montgomery (Monty) calculation produces a valuation of $0.92c….

Sorry M8, but SFR is NOT on my Hit List ATM…
PS: thanks for your input @Rosscoe62 ....

 

[DrBourse]

Kerry Sun from Market Index in today's Evening Wrap, with a bit of TA

View attachment 174930
.
Sandfire deserves a special mention today. A 1.1% gain would be good on any day. It’s absolutely brilliant today.

The pillars of my technical analysis strategy are Trend, Price Action, Candles, Volume and Volatility. Each is discernible from a stock’s chart. The final pillar, Relative Strength Comparative (RSC), considers factors external to the stock’s chart. This is a key advantage of this indicator – it takes into account independent data.

RSC compares the performance of a stock with another security, generally an index relevant to the stock. It’s common to compare a stock’s performance with the performance of the relevant benchmark index. For Sandfire and other ASX stocks, I like to compare their performance to the S&P/ASX 200.

I use a proprietary RSC indicator – you won’t find it in any of your technical analysis platforms. Also, please don’t confuse it with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) – it’s not even close conceptually, and my research suggests the RSI has little value as a technical indicator – but that’s a story for another day.

Basically, when the RSC (which is the bottom-most indicator in the Sandfire chart above) is green and rising, the stock in question is outperforming the benchmark index. This means that it’s better on up days, and like today, its better when most stocks are getting belted. When this occurs, I like to say, “It’s in the basket”.

This means it’s in a basket of securities which are going to be bought by active fund managers (not the tag along with the index passive fund managers) no matter what.

Other than excellent RSC, the Sandfire chart has several other key indicators of strong demand-side control: Short and long term uptrends, higher peaks and troughs (on a closing basis), and predominantly demand-side candles.

8.61 is the nearest point of demand, the short term uptrend remains intact as long as the price continues to close above this level. 9.28 is the nearest point of supply, above there it’s all blue sky.

Hi @Garpal Gumnut ….

Just noticed a post by Dona in the SFR Forum, from page 4, Post Nr 79, one paragraph in particular may be of interest to you….

The paragraph by Kerry Sun, from Market Index is as follows:-….

“I use a proprietary RSC indicator – you won’t find it in any of your technical analysis platforms. Also, please don’t confuse it with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) – it’s not even close conceptually, and my research suggests the RSI has little value as a technical indicator – but that’s a story for another day.”

I wholeheartedly agree with Kerry, the CCI is a much more accurate, faster & reliable indicator…

The RSI, Stoch & MACD’s, all belong to a prehistoric time….

It will be interesting to see Kerry’s follow-up on his above statement…

Cheers M8..
DrB.

 

[rcw1]

@DrBourse thanks for that mate

kind regards
rcw1

Hi @rcw1 …..

As you know I need a Co’s Financials to pass my Analysis Tests….
Failure to pass that FA Test means that I usually don’t bother looking at their TA…

The story for SFR this year is the same as previous years…Always Failing any FA Tests….
Way too many financial figures are distorting FA Results…Figures such as ROE, ROC, ROA, PE, PEG, NTA, EPS, Int Cover, and a few others….

And way too many “Maybee’s”, with their current endeavours, as mentioned by @Rosscoe62 ….

IMO, the SFR IV is probably around the $4.00 to $6.00 area, remember an IV is what I call a “Fire Sale Valuation”..
The “Harrolds or Sheep” of this world will aim for $11.00…
Local Brokers suggest an Average TP of $9.72 (see attached snapshot), and a Low of $6.52 (or lower)….
A Roger Montgomery (Monty) calculation produces a valuation of $0.92c….

View attachment 184252
View attachment 184254
Sorry M8, but SFR is NOT on my Hit List ATM…
PS: thanks for your input @Rosscoe62 ....

 

[rcw1]

Good morning
All time high achieved this morning (250924)