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Yes, you're not making a whole lotta sence there TB.toc_bat said:funny how speculative stocks seem so much more attractive to most people, but then thats why they do, self fullfilling reallyso this one may just sit between 23-27c for a month now, eh? goodness me, im off to bed then
KIWIKARLOS said:I wouldn't say i was hoping or guessing for an ann with INL. I'm sure there will be a good ann, maybe in a week maybe in 3 months. But it will happen.
nizar said:And how is it you know that this announcement will move the share price?
OK let me explain something from my experience in the markets.
Its very hard to determine what news will move the share price. I know this because i used to do plenty of fundamental research. I dont anymore.
Let me give some examples to back up my statement that its very hard to determine what news will move the share price.
Sometimes a positive broker report makes a share price go through the roof eg. Hargreave Hale on OMC made it go from 40c to 90c in a month. Other times the share price reverses on positive broker reports. eg. How many $32-38 broker price targets are there on BHP?
Other times a company merely does a name change to uranium and the share price triples in one day eg. URA. Other times a company actually announces a JORC resource estimate and the share price does nothing. eg. EVE. Other times just speculation of a JORC and we have a rocket eg. AGS.
Sometimes a company announces record profits, and the share price actually drops eg. BHP.
So while its hard to determine which news will affect the share price, there is one thing which is clear, we only make money when the share price goes up.
The solution, its what tech/a said previously, trade the price action.
Tech, Does EW work effectively over such a short time period? I have had the impression that it works more reliably over longer periods of analysis. The shorter the time period the less fidelity. Or, in your experience, it can be applied at all times? Cheers.tech/a said:Nothing wrong with a longterm view.
If my Elliot count is right this is a wave 4 corrective phase.
This will lead to a wave 5 above the current high followed
by a larger pattern which I wont confuse those watching with.
ANYWAY SOME TECHNICALS.
Freeballinginawetsuit said:Trading is about price action and volume, Agreed. You seem to be immune to the fact that their are many styles of trading. The way you seem to trade is fine, but it is not with out risk and IMO in the market we are currently in, their are other definitve ways of trading that in the end substantially outperform youre method.
Freeballinginawetsuit said:Nizar,
Trading is about price action and volume, Agreed. You seem to be immune to the fact that their are many styles of trading. The way you seem to trade is fine, but it is not with out risk and IMO in the market we are currently in, their are other definitve ways of trading that in the end substantially outperform youre method.
Each to their own Nizar, but youre view of trading by T/A etc with 'no fundamental resarch' is about as reasonable a punt, as someone who is trading on current value as opposed to future SP returns.
INL has traders and fundy holders in it at the moment. Its SP has gone up for fundamental reasons and the traders are in their picking on the scraps (who wouldn't) and their SP will keep going up as INL deliver on the goods. Personally I think their a sound pick on weakness and that was evidenced in today's trading.
nizar said:Trading on current value ey?
Ah yes, that sure works, because cheap stocks never get cheaper, and expensive stocks never get more expensive!:
kennas said:Tech, Does EW work effectively over such a short time period? I have had the impression that it works more reliably over longer periods of analysis. The shorter the time period the less fidelity. Or, in your experience, it can be applied at all times? Cheers.
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