- Joined
- 12 November 2007
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- 47
Do you see this often minwa, I've just been checking out the three amigos on a chart tonight, blue line is NQ, other two are ES/YM, but just now the NQ is seeming to be doing it's own thing, or do you not put much weight on that because it's not as closely correlated as ES and YM? Or is a long on NQ glaring me in the face?
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NQ completely diverging from ES.. You trading this thing?
Where's the monthly update Minwa I'm in need of some motivation
How have you been going over the last few months Minwa?
Hmm that's odd. Can't edit post anymore so double post:
Anyone like options stuff ?? If you haven't read this post of my on options from last year have a read before continuing on this post.
https://www.aussiestockforums.com/for...l=1#post884486
This fine Brexit mess provides the opportunity I talked about. As this was a KNOWN SCHEDULED event, volatility crush is what I was looking for, aka shorting options. Human emotions overreact, you just sell the premium and cover at discount. Thursday saw the market take the S&P going into yearly highs - liquidity/stops seeking maneuver providing the fuel for the sell off.
Large change in put to call ratio alerts something is about to goon the options market.
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Then Monday opens with market down quite a bit BUT VIX OPENS DOWN @ 24.38, down from Fri's close of 25.76. Big boys have inevitably left tracks of their activity. Now just have to go to the charts to find clues where it may occur..remember - they are too big to hide their activity, price itself is the ultimate indicator.
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Institutions operate the same levels. As everything is about liquidity...why is that highlighted bar significant ? It's a day where a "mopping up" of retail stops occurred, taking out both previous days's highs and lows. "Engulfing" bar if you will - not the candlestick formation crap. This marks an important level going forward as that's where a lot of big boy activity was done on.
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We dip into the zone on Monday off a slide, now look at intraday time. What time do I normally look at for first target off the morning trade ? Just before midday. Combine everything...price dipping into a time where a pause is expected then going sideways, in a higher level big boy level with the activity of options and VIX..giving you a high probability volatility crush. Price can consolidate intraday here a bit before the next move, positions are being cleared and shuffled around at this level, from the last time they were here (the highlighted bar in March.
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Maximum vol crush at the money weekly straddle. IB log says "BOT", I "bought" a "short straddle"..being net short overall.
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Fun day(night)..only downside was I couldn't watch the season finale of game of thrones throughout the night , which also means I couldn't browse social media as I don't do hard stops in options like you can easily do in the futures contract itself..
https://www.aussiestockforums.com/forums/attachment.php?attachmentid=67256
Great work Minwa... look forward to your half year bittersweet update...
P.S. I hope the bitter part is just that you have a big tax bill.
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