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- 7 July 2004
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What do you guys think of PTD?
It's interesting to see all these postings refering to charts to predict a movement. I'm wondering how a stock that's trading at a very low price and volume level can be predicted based on charts.
his is not to have a go at you specifically Stefan, but its an important point.
I just read this statement from Mongoose on another forum and it's worth repeating here: "Belif(sic) in rediction is the mother of all other bad trading habits!"
There is a common misconception that tech analysis is about predicting price movements. This is not so. Some try... e.g. some the Gann type bods.
Prediction is fatal without some sort of moneymanagement...as is any type of trading.
The biggest traders do not predict at all, it's all about following trends of various time frames.
In my opinion, charts are not about predictions but rather about probabilities. Charts will help increase the probability of trading at opportune times.BUT how can I use charts to predict movement?
Stefan,
>>I do however not agree that trading is all about following trends of various time frames. It may be so for a day trader trying to make a quick dime. But over a long term period, these things hardly ever work. I tend to stick to trading principles. <<
Looking for clarification in your comments:
So you're saying that trend following only works intraday? Longer term trend following, say several weeks to over a year, rarely works?
Also, what do you mean by trading principles?
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