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PRK - Patrick Corporation

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Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

Finished on its high for the day at $5.95 - up another 1.2% - although volume was a little lighter than usual.

$6 looks to be a crucial level for PRK, it will be interesting to see if it can sustain this upward momentum next week.
 
Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

Joe Blow said:
Finished on its high for the day at $5.95 - up another 1.2% - although volume was a little lighter than usual.

$6 looks to be a crucial level for PRK, it will be interesting to see if it can sustain this upward momentum next week.

Yep Joe, that's a nice finish and $6 is nearby, more volume would have been nice, maybe a suggestion that the sellers are holding on. Could go sideways, every cent makes a big statement when it's this close to breaking that downtrend. Still has to beat it convincingly.

BTW, for those following my trade I forgot to mention that I bought at 5.62. Again, in hindsight, I should have waited for a safer trigger (as I'm doing now) but my stop was nearby so I'm glad I've been able to move it up. PRK is volatile though and could easily gap down so I'll be keeping a close eye on things.

I'll be happy to hear critiques of my trade from a TA or Money mgmt point of view from observers or holders. This is a medium risk stock for me so a bit more of a position than with a speccy.
 
Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

RichKid said:
Yep Joe, that's a nice finish and $6 is nearby, more volume would have been nice, maybe a suggestion that the sellers are holding on.

RK, also interesting about today's trading in PRK is that the last trade at 3:59pm was actually at $5.91, and when everything settled at 4:05pm it was up 4 cents and that volume (around 212,000 shares) accounted for around 15% of the entire days trading.

An interesting finish indeed.
 
Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)



Always nice to see the buying at the end as that's supposed to be when the smart money comes in but maybe it's just foreign buyers (or do they buy before open??). We'll soon know how this is going.

Okay, I'm about to state some very specific figures for this PRK trade, some may be stated already so just check my charts for confirmation.

I noticed the retest of recent uptrend, retest was characterised by a countertrend which has reversed forming a H&S pattern (see charts). I noticed price compressing and bought at 5.62 on Tuesday 7 June at what appeared to be the top of the final shoulder in an inverse H&S. At that time I hadn't noticed the downtrend resistance line (see my charts again). My initial stop was based on fibonnaci lines and a potential pullback from the short term uptrend being a 61.8 retracement (at just below 5.37c) from the previous week's high (circa 5.77). Stop was exit on close at 5.35c as that would mean the H&S pattern has failed. I would then wait for a retest of the uptrend support again before entering.
Reward target was previous high (a bit arbitrary) at 6.90 with RRR being 4.75. (22.75% return/4.8% loss). Loss is less than 1.5% of total capital. The ability to place the stop near some uptrend support was what made me enter with more confidence. Position size was full parcel for a medium volatility bluechip (my own classification). So more money in trade than for a speccy but less than for a slow bluechip.

My stop is now higher at 5.84, sell on close. Maybe I should just state this all in my first chart in future to make it easier to follow.
 
Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

Here's the figures on a chart of PRK for ease of reference, this sure takes some time to post, hope the figures make sense. Let me know if I've made any errors please. Hope this helps anyone who's interested, note my errors.
 

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Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

Another chart of PRK, noticed an important long term horizontal support/resistance line near the recent price action. Ideally this is where I would have bought as the downtrend resistance and neckline have been pierced at this point. Volume is the only missing element imo, might be the prelude to a strong move (in either direction).
 

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Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

Well, the stop was well and truly triggered! Gapped down past the trailing stop, had to sell at my entry price (5.62), hence a loss (cost of brokerage). It broke down off a bearish wedge a few days ago, target should be base of wedge from what I recall of measured moves. I didn't sell on the break of the wedge as sometimes it's a false signal and it moves up rapidly after that, anyone think different? Certainly hard to predict when a stock will gap down. Next entry may be triggered soon, knowing my luck it may gap UP tomorrow!!

Anyway, the positive is that I followed the plan, that's the most important thing.

This is a well known stock and quite popular- am I the only one interested in it on ASF (apart from Joe)?
 
Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

RichKid,

You want to trade triggered-stop stories?

At least I've still got some profit, having bought in at $1.245. I was hoping that tiny triangle that was forming would be a continuation one.

GP
 

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Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

GreatPig said:
RichKid,

You want to trade triggered-stop stories?

At least I've still got some profit, having bought in at $1.245. I was hoping that tiny triangle that was forming would be a continuation one.

GP

Hi GP,
Let's hope we don't have many more of em! Clearly these things happen often with the more volatile stocks. Let's see what PRK does with that gap it just opened up. I notice your little baby VPG has had some very volatile days too. I guess we both knew what we were getting into with the recent price action. Good luck with the next one, keep an eye here in case I re-enter PRK.
 
Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

Seems to be just holding onto support at the $5.50 mark.

I'm watching PRK again for a possible re-entry. I'll be watching for some accumulation at these levels at or above $5.50 and then a bit of forward momentum.

Any thoughts from PRK followers?
 
Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)


Hi Joe,
I haven't got a signal to enter yet, basically watching the uptrend line. Not very bullish about it yet, see posts 20 & 25 for the long term uptrend line I drew, I would post my stop just below it if I was to enter now. But that's just me, not too familiar with PRK, only became a serious fan this year.

I expect a market top in the XJO soon and expect that to affect PRK so we may see the end of the multi-year uptrend. We are still in a short term downtrend imo. Long term I like this stock's fundamentals but we may be in for a bit of a volatility this year.

(PS: Note that the longterm trend line could be drawn lower (See post 20) to catch that green bar that I drew through (rather than under/touching) around the middle of the chart. That would bring support to around $5 or below).
 
Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

What drama in just two days! A big fall following the result and then a huge gain today after the Toll Holdings takeover rumour mill re-ignited.

Does anyone that follows these two have any thoughts? Saw news reports saying Toll will want to sell off Virgin if it wins. Others say Toll will concentrate on Asian acquisitions and will be wary of competition issues preventing the merger.
 
Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

A report in the age said Singapore airlines denied they want the airline... But i also read they could be intersted in the airline to aquire their access to the USA routes.. So looks like a win win situation..!~
 
Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

Will ASIC be taking a look at the dramatic buying and consequent rise in SP PRIOR to announcement of Toll's takeover bid just this morning?

Chris Corrigan doesn't seem the type to just lie down on this takeover offer.



Julia
 
Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

I'm pretty sure the significant rise would have been Toll buying on the market to get as larger pre bid stake as it could get...
 
Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

Prices in Patrick and Toll went haywire today.. so much for the original takeover offer.. hehe
 
Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

Heard a good story today that a London fund manager had been contacting Australian brokers asking about the Toll/Patrick deal up to a month before it was announced to the market. Makes you wonder if there is such a thing as a level playing field, doesn't it?
 
Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

Okay folks, as you can see from some of my earlier posts I missed out on this one but I'm revisiting it.

This is just the start of a bidding war imho. With infrastructure the flavour of the month and PRK owning some gems I think we'll see some nice corporate exchanges in the next few months. I'm trying to keep track of where things are so will post some stories to get a grounding. I'm looking to get in on the action for the next run up.


 
Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

Interesting interview, as the WMC affair showed it's only just started. With lots of infrastructure players in the market this could take some time. If you don't want to read the transcript you can watch the video via the link at the foot of the extract.

 
Re: Patrick Corporation (PRK)

The basics of the first offer below, PRK sought clarification today.

 
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