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PAN - Panoramic Resources

Nice strong weekly trend. Note all the large volume up days. A pick for the 2022 comp.
 

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Quarterly report from Panoramic, now just to up the production rate, fingers crossed at least they now have a cash flow. The good thing is a couple more months and they will be out of the wet season, so production should improve.

Screenshot 2022-01-28 072814.png
 
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Quarterly report from Panoramic, now just to up the production rate, fingers crossed at least they now have a cash flow. The good thing is a couple more months and they will be out of the wet season, so production should improve.

View attachment 136646
Does we season affect their production?

They spent $32 million in the quarter, nothing to indicate this would be any lower or higher in H2. My morning coffee back of the mobile phone calculation is they would need to lift produced metal by close to 30% to break even in this half? With labor shortages and omicron looming in WA I'm not holding out much hope for PAN - especially at 1% nickel (64% recovery) and 0.6% copper. They need to get higher grades soon. Thought NIEq resource was supposed to be over 2%? But I'm not up to speed lately. Pretty crummy quarterly report - I want to be able to skim these reports for numbers and KPIs not fluff.

Wonder when they'll get the bailout takeover (attempt 2) from IGO? That's the carrot on the stick.
 
Good points @The Triangle
I would assume wet season affects production in the Kimberleys, I know when I worked up there it slowed everything down, massive downpour most afternoons, but they may have mitigated it.
I thought that might be what they meant with the statement, reduced underground labour accessibility, but I may be wrong.
I agree with production rate and grades, but hopefully that will ramp up, as they move further into the ore body. But as you say a lot of fluff, hopefully some stronger indications next report.
 
Does we season affect their production?

They spent $32 million in the quarter, nothing to indicate this would be any lower or higher in H2. My morning coffee back of the mobile phone calculation is they would need to lift produced metal by close to 30% to break even in this half? With labor shortages and omicron looming in WA I'm not holding out much hope for PAN - especially at 1% nickel (64% recovery) and 0.6% copper. They need to get higher grades soon. Thought NIEq resource was supposed to be over 2%? But I'm not up to speed lately. Pretty crummy quarterly report - I want to be able to skim these reports for numbers and KPIs not fluff.

Wonder when they'll get the bailout takeover (attempt 2) from IGO? That's the carrot on the stick.
The latest drill result aren't anything to write home about, still under 2%, the saving grace may be the price of nickel is still climbing.
Screenshot 2022-02-08 080816.png
 
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' at last ' .. yes . i agree there

shipping to China sounds exotic

i prefer the MCR model selling to Nickel West ( i hold PAN , MCR and BHP )
 
Panoramic up 10% today, could be the breakout we have all been waiting for, hopefully. Third shipment of concentrate gone, that is $70m AUD in the last 3 months, so they are starting to roll some income, hopefully the processing plant keeps winding up production.

IDH
 
Great potential in the near term, but I think that all Nickel miners/producers are ramping up to cash in on the current price and demand.
Eventually the supply will out grow demand, all things being cyclical, and the market will be flooded.
It may pass that Xiang Guangda (Tsingshan) and his mega shorts will prove correct, albeit he moved far too early.
But for now, ride the wave.
As for the LME, an interesting article from CNN
 
Well done to anyone who is still hanging in with PAN. It has managed to move beyond its long term overhead falling trendline, it was slow going for a while. If it ever falls back closer to the 200dMA within that shorter-term rising trendline, I will certainly be tempted! In the meantime, just for fun, I have drawn a swing trade calculation for a potential PAN top.

PAN swing trade calc 9.4.22.png
 
PAN popped up on IGOs holding above 20%. Has IGO always been on the register or is this a takeover play?
 
PAN popped up on IGOs holding above 20%. Has IGO always been on the register or is this a takeover play?
WSA had a 20% holding in PAN and now the take-over ( of WSA ) is a done deal , it will be worth watching what happens next

( IGO might shuffle some deck-chairs )
 
WSA had a 20% holding in PAN and now the take-over ( of WSA ) is a done deal , it will be worth watching what happens next

( IGO might shuffle some deck-chairs )

So IGO will own 40% of PAN once the deal goes through? Surely that means eventual TO. I wonder if that was part of the motivation for IGO taking WSA.
 
NAMESHARE HOLDINGSHARES HELD (%)
Zeta Resources Ltd340,377,44816.60%
Western Areas Limited299,519,79719.90%

no but they probably held some PAN shares before the take-over of WSA
 
PAN and ZER share a director , i would have thought ZER would be more attractive to IGO than PAN ( unless they think a management upgrade at PAN will do some good )
 
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