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Phoenix Copper doesn't look too bad but I guess my concern is the uranium sector and specifically MTN. Anybody any thoughts about why there is so little action in the uranium sector?
Golly geepers, perhaps this won't be a mine. What the heck is happening to MTN??? They have a high grade U deposit of considerable tonnage in the U state of Oz! Perhaps something that we are not prevey too??No, not entirely, I thought I had represented my position throughout the thread.
My position still is that the SA Gov will do all they can to allow Mt Gee to be mined due to their current bullishness on the industry. There is still a risk that it wont, so we need to factor that in.
The deposit, even with the downgrade, is very very good. One of the top deposits in the country.
I've been watching closely to find a re-entry, or more solid information on the fundamentals.
Insider, I see an incredible kick to MTN's prospects in the future: The day they ann that the SA Govt is going to allow mining at Mt Gee. How will anyone know that? Maybe get to know the secratary in Mike's office....Hey Kennas... Its been a while since I've posted something with any substance about anything... I blame work... The sad reality is MTN really doesn't have much to look forward to anymore... imo... Their biggest hurdle is and always was the environment... The air changed in Augusts major correction, before it seemed like we would breeze through the red tape because of an amazing run and everything would be ok. After the correction people started to realize that they had to pick near definite producing companies because speculating on MTN's inherited stinky red tape is a big risk... People were expecting more from Mt Gee in regards to its deposit and Namibian based U companies are favorited nowadays...
MTN's action to me is not surprising... having said that they probably will go for a huge run just because I have that kind of luck with words
Maybe get to know the secratary in Mike's office....
So considering the companies out there with exploration licences wouldn't you think that MTN ought to be the next company to be granted a licence to mine? After all, it's got JORC, it's got a solid administration and there's probably no reason why it can't start mining in a couple of years, providing it can get approval. Sure it may have to be an underground mine because of the sensitivity of the area but MTN's administration knows that. I would've thought that being the 3rd or 4th biggest uranium resource in Australia, it's to Marathon's, the South Australian Government's and the Australian Governments benefit and interest to approve it a mining licence. Anyone agree or disagree?
I'm very interested as I have a significant number of shares.
Well naturally you'd expext the SA Govt to get in behind this one since it's happening right in their own backyard. Although imo, to expect MTN to be in production "in a couple of years" is a bit optimistic, considering that a company like UKL who are planning a open-cut, heap-leach style of operation at Apex-Lowoy are predicting mid 2009 to the earliest start up date for production.
If you consider Cameco's Cigar Lake project, this gives you some idea of the complexities and challenges faced with mining underground, although of course, Mt Ghee isn't sitting underneath a lake. There is still a small risk that Mt Ghee wont go ahead, but more of a hurdle will be the huge amount of capital required to get this operation going, probably several hundred million if not more. I don't know exactly who is on the MTN management team, but whether or not they have any experience developing underground operations and running them effectively I don't know, so maybe some management risk too.
Obviously the project has considerable merit, but the re-evaluation in the sp comes at a time when people are now being much more objective about which U company they back, I might even buy into MTN myself, but until the chart stabilises somewhat I'm going to wait and see what happens.
Oh and it gets worse for MTN......
From the Australian today....
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23064530-5005200,00.html
Dumping drill cores of Uranium is not so good in a National Park:nono:
Prs
Man, I feel bad for you to be in this position, there's nothing worse than losing sleep over the stock market...... But I wonder why you stuck a significant portion of dough in a Uranium Company when the the sector is cold as ice atm, even without the credit crunch.... Was this a tip from a friend, etc??????
In my humble opinion, there is zero chance of MTN getting their mine up and therefore I think they are only worth their cash backing, which last time I checked was pretty low. I say this because of the following reasons
1. The deposit is in an extremely politically sensitive area and anyone with knowledge of South Australian politics has said from day one they are doomed.
2. The project would require significant capital, which the current management quite simply doesn't have the expertise to acquire in a good debt market, let alone the way it is now; and
3. If you needed any other reason, just look at the chart. The stock is in a major downtrend, suitable for short selling not going long.....
I can't tell you what to do with holding, you will have to decide that yourself - but do I think MTN will recapture it's highs, not in my lifetime.....
Cheers and all the best
I held for too long actually as I believed in the funny's too much. The company and it's managers are in deep doo doo by the look. Luckily at the time I was just playing technicals as there was some unertainty in Mt Gee. ie, A Red Footed Booby Reserve, or something... On the other hand, the company were reporting one of the best resources in the country with huge potential to expand. Then, they brought out downgrades. Who brings out a downgrade when the resource is supposed to be developing through resource expansion drilling that was hitting great widths and grades??Wow..from around $6.50 to a low of .87c in roughly 6 months.
I used to dream of owning MTN when it was on the way up....now I'm so glad i don't hold any
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