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Nickel is back!


But it could be a short term thing. The worst thing is Indonesia not really caring about their environment, or China caring about emissions. Whilst (is that the correct English) Indonesia and China don't give a crap, sulphide nickel is in the toilet. Some punters think this dynamic must change due to our need to reduce emissions, but I'm beginning to think it's a load of crap.
 
Elon Musk once said the Lithium Ion Battery should be called The Nickle Ion Battery
as he went about securing all the Indonesian Nickle he could
 
BHP seems to have been a bit slow in capitulating here.

Perhaps the thing they got wrong was the general belief that the EV and battery industry as a whole was going to choose 'clean' nickel over the dirty Indonesia laterite crap that China is happy to use. Indonesia has certainly crapped on the market.

I wonder if the sulphide premium will ever eventuate or the market has just misjudged that battery makers will take the cheapest product instead of the greenest.

Maybe it's a turn around story as some stage.

 
well i remember an article several years back , about a ( US ) uni project that created a spray on battery ( looked like a slow release capacitance to me , but i am no engineer ) , and despite being in early stage research looked like a game changer to me

so have always been hesitant about 'battery tech ' through the hype bubble ( but still got badly mauled with RFX and PAN )

and oddly BHP has been trying to decide what to do with Nickel West for years even before Mincor was taken over , maybe BHP should spend a few bucks and clean the windscreen )

i hold BHP

but nope i will wait for sub $20 BHP before considering increasing my holding

it is selling/closing assets and not showing clear paths to near term growth ( growth always seems to be 5 years away )

BTW expect write-downs over the OZL acquisition
 

RIP Australian nickel.


well, for the foreseeable future anyway. BHP mentioned that they are mothballing their plant until the 2030's.
 
If you are considering a more likely a 50% drop than any gain why not sell it now?
 
If you are considering a more likely a 50% drop than any gain why not sell it now?
RFX and PAN holdings are already less than brokerage costs ( so are all but crystallized tax write-offs )

other battery linked holdings such as MIN are still in ridiculous profit ( only profits at risk ) while i want to add IGO in future weakness

and WES is WES i doubt low lithium prices will may a big difference

however i am watching two vanadium battery plays ( i hold neither ) a big drop might finally tempt me to dip a toe in ( i like shopping in knee-deep blood )
 

Indonesia should not be blamed for the collapse of Australian nickel. Australia and Australians should be blamed for the collapse of Australian nickel. The obsession with gender diversity and bringing on lower experienced people, the extremely high wages being paid, flying everyone around business class everywhere, getting your mates to jack up all the rates on contracts so they can take you out to Optus stadium, short-term thinking by executives and shareholders to maximize quarter on quarter share prices.

The Australian nickel industry has done nothing to help itself. It's not Indonesia's fault.
 
well Indonesia was plenty of lower grade coal , iron ore ( of less than premium quality )and cheap abundant workforce and all relatively in a condensed area , why wouldn't any sensible industry value-add
 
Yes I think this is only the beginning, they will leverage into all their critical minerals, meanwhile we are locked in to buying all their manufactured critical infrastructure, our smugness will keep us warm. Lol
As I said quite a while back nickel is first, now it's lithium to the sword, funny how it's so predictable.
Alumina and iron ore maybe next? Certainly hope not, or we will have the recession we need, whether the Govt want it or not.

A crash in lithium prices has pushed US miner Albemarle to halve production and stop expansion at its $2 billion lithium hydroxide plant in south-west Western Australia, shed 300 workers and write down the asset’s value by about $1.5 billion.

The move by the $US11 billion ($16.8 billion) company to close one of two operating trains at Kemerton, near Bunbury, south of Perth, and halt construction work on a third train is another blow to minerals processing in the mining state.

In July, BHP closed its WA nickel operation for at least three years, shedding 3000 positions. Frontline workers will be offered employment elsewhere at BHP. Alcoa this year closed its ageing alumina refinery in Kwinana, south of Perth, with about 750 jobs lost.

The price Albemarle – the world’s largest lithium producer – is receiving for its global production has been more than halved in less than a year, from about $US20 per kilogram of lithium carbonate equivalent in the second half of 2023 to between $US12 and $US15.
 

Definitely not back. I was thinking of this as a long term opportunity to buy the dip, but it's more than just a hated metal. The fundamentals just look terrible while Indonesia and China destroy the market. Maybe it was a strategic plan from China to kill western markets.

 
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