- Joined
- 28 October 2008
- Posts
- 8,609
- Reactions
- 39
Labor's NBN rollout policy,
https://cdn.australianlabor.com.au/documents/Labors_Positive_NBN_Policy.pdf
The substantive change from current is replacing ~2m FTTN with FTTP (19%) of the total rollout. HFC will remain.
To facilitate the above, Labor intends to renegotiate some of the 3.5m FTTN design contracts that are presently expected to be in place at June 30 2016. 1.3m FTTN construction contracts would however be honoured representing most of the 2016/17 FTTN build.
45%/83% of the final FTTN/B build (2035k/3745k of 4.5m) are projected to be RFS at June 30 2017/2018 respectively according to the current corporate plan. At that rate, this component of the rollout will be easily completed by June 30 2019. Under Labor's policy, this will slow to June 30 2022. Detailed costings are not provided however the delay may explain the peak funding change of $1bn. The above, delayed as it is only as good as it is if peak funding doesn't breach $57b. FTTP is assumed to cost $3,000pp excluding infrastructure leases, a reduction of 17% or $700 from the $3,700 corporate plan cost. That's made up of $450 from the skinny fibre trial and an additional $250 from unspecified cost efficiencies as the rollout progresses. That, if it's achievable, is still $1,400pp more than FTTN.
Capex is expected to be $3.4bn higher than the current plan. With funding constrained by the peak funding cap of $57bn ($1bn more than the current cap of $56bn), the 19% extra FTTP may be left dependent on positive cash flow from operating parts of the network to fund the increased capex. That possibly explains why the rollout profile has been delayed by as much as 3 years and doesn't inspire confidence that it's even financially deliverable.
It looks like a plan B when it became clear that FTTdp trials wouldn't be sufficiently advanced to offer a policy based on that for this election. That may have been deliverable with the $1bn extra on top of the $56bn peak funding for the above 19%.
On the rollout itself, the weekly progress report to June 2 shows 2,587,411 premises RFS, 44,589 short of the June 30 target of 2,632,000. At the present rate of progress, that should be passed with two weeks to spare.
https://cdn.australianlabor.com.au/documents/Labors_Positive_NBN_Policy.pdf
The substantive change from current is replacing ~2m FTTN with FTTP (19%) of the total rollout. HFC will remain.
To facilitate the above, Labor intends to renegotiate some of the 3.5m FTTN design contracts that are presently expected to be in place at June 30 2016. 1.3m FTTN construction contracts would however be honoured representing most of the 2016/17 FTTN build.
45%/83% of the final FTTN/B build (2035k/3745k of 4.5m) are projected to be RFS at June 30 2017/2018 respectively according to the current corporate plan. At that rate, this component of the rollout will be easily completed by June 30 2019. Under Labor's policy, this will slow to June 30 2022. Detailed costings are not provided however the delay may explain the peak funding change of $1bn. The above, delayed as it is only as good as it is if peak funding doesn't breach $57b. FTTP is assumed to cost $3,000pp excluding infrastructure leases, a reduction of 17% or $700 from the $3,700 corporate plan cost. That's made up of $450 from the skinny fibre trial and an additional $250 from unspecified cost efficiencies as the rollout progresses. That, if it's achievable, is still $1,400pp more than FTTN.
Capex is expected to be $3.4bn higher than the current plan. With funding constrained by the peak funding cap of $57bn ($1bn more than the current cap of $56bn), the 19% extra FTTP may be left dependent on positive cash flow from operating parts of the network to fund the increased capex. That possibly explains why the rollout profile has been delayed by as much as 3 years and doesn't inspire confidence that it's even financially deliverable.
It looks like a plan B when it became clear that FTTdp trials wouldn't be sufficiently advanced to offer a policy based on that for this election. That may have been deliverable with the $1bn extra on top of the $56bn peak funding for the above 19%.
On the rollout itself, the weekly progress report to June 2 shows 2,587,411 premises RFS, 44,589 short of the June 30 target of 2,632,000. At the present rate of progress, that should be passed with two weeks to spare.