- Joined
- 22 November 2010
- Posts
- 3,661
- Reactions
- 11
Mermaid Marine shares are sliding down, major share-holders are desserting.Any Reasons. Please respond?
Mermaid Marine shares are sliding down, major share-holders are desserting.Any Reasons. Please respond?
I agree that there is a great difference in market pricing this stock when the last financial year report had their Net Tangible Assets per share at $1.95. Share price seven months later at 80 cents. A ~please explain the price action~ from ASX Compliance last week had a response that Operating Profit before tax for the past 6 months was in line with market expectations at $55 million. This information could have settled the sentiment but irrationality was still evident in pricing afterwards.The most interestingly valued stock on the ASX to me.
Not a funnymentalist but it doesn't take a tertiary education to see this company continues to be undervalued based on a Book Value of $2.00. I know the sector is facing headwinds with gas/oil projects moving to production, oil price down and the lesser need for specialist marine services, but is the market marking this company down accurately? I believe not but irrationality outstays the most ardent objector.
Interest : not holding.
Share price reacted differently this time and dived back to where it bounced from. Overall market drop contributed somewhat and forced my exit today. Aggressive selling today.
Yes got drawn into the divvy trap at 80 cents and thought the low must be close but business is slow for MRM so I'm thinking it will one of those bottom bouncing stocks now. Better stocks around at the moment.I just realised you are the only person who has been selling and buying on MRM
Have a nice weekend (probably morning of yours now)
Yes got drawn into the divvy trap at 80 cents and thought the low must be close but business is slow for MRM so I'm thinking it will one of those bottom bouncing stocks now. Better stocks around at the moment.
Any view of Madagascar?
Is the time to be a contrarian? Is there anything positive about MRM? I can't remember why I have this on my watchlist? Do I have the time to read any of its reports or would a quick glance at a chart with zero knowledge, tell me not yet? Less than 10% of its high of 2013. Something dramatic has happened.
Better study some other company. No funds available; can not to be a contrarian at the moment.
Yes and no. You probably have it on the watchlist because it's trading at a very low multiple and price/NTA.
The ships they have are worth a lot on the books ($1B in fixed assets, despite the fact that vessels are not fixed by any means). Debt is around $440m so you are looking at a theoretical book value of $1.50 per share.
However, this $1B fleet is not bring in much earnings, and there's excess capacity everywhere in an industry where demand is falling off a cliff. A fire sale of the vessels (if there's a market at all) will quickly reduce a good part of the NTA margin. So if vessels are sold @ 60% of book value, you get net equity of ~$150m after debt, compared to market cap of $90m @ 24c.
This would all work pretty well IF MRM can actually survive the banking covenant. Any further deterioration in the EBITDA (which is more than possible due to the low earning visibility) might see a breach and who knows what happen after that.
MRM with it's current fleet can potentially earn >$60m at the cycle's peak. The question is if the peak is ever coming back, and if MRM will survive to see it again.
To invest now would probably require assumption of total loss. Or one can potentially wait until the balance sheet issue is fixed before taking a position.
It would be immoral to not back up the truck and load up on this one
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?