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What are peoples thoughts on this stock at its current carnage? It's had a bit of a drop. Yet the stock is sound; there's been no bad news!?
For the past month or so, CZA seems to have settled into a band between 72c and $1.24. There was a healthy spike yesterday (Tue 25Nov08) where it opened at $1 and closed at $1.18 on good volume. Today it closed down a bit at $1.11.
Some other TA observations. The DIs are about to cross over (indicating a potential buy) and the 14-day RSI is climbing.
Maybe a range play is in order? Buy in around $1 and coast up to the high teens for a quick profit? This volatile market favours bold hit&run trades.
Wednesday, December 03,
Coal of Africa: plenty of coal and plenty of cash to develop it
by Ian Mclelland company news image
A large share purchase by the directors of any company is a good way to catch our attention. On 29 October, Simon Farrel, Managing Director of Coal of Africa, did exactly that, acquiring approximately £80,000 in shares via the company’s listing on the ASX.
Coal of Africa has three advanced assets in South Africa – two open cast coking coal projects, and one underground thermal coal project, all are planned to move into production in quick succession in 2008, 2009 and 2010.
The company also has a few interesting shareholders too. Arcelor Mittal, the world’s largest steel producer, has a 16.6% stake, which it purchased at 111 pence per share as part of a 2.5 million tonnes per annum off-take agreement for coking coal. Black Economic Empowerment Group, Mvelaphanda, acquired a 19% stake, paying approximately £65 million. Black Rock, JP Morgan Asset Management and GCM Resources also have significant equity stakes. Coal of Africa has managed to build a pool of solid investors through its three stock exchange listings on the ASX, AIM and JSE.
The quality assets and strong shareholder base are combined with some A$200 million in cash on the balance sheet. A further boost the balance sheet should arrive via the disposal of Nimag Group, a non-core metals processing company which manufactures and distributes nickel magnesium alloys, metal fibers and ferro-silicon magnesium alloys. Coal of Africa also recently divested of one of its other coal projects, Holfontein....
The further fall in the stock price is unbelievable, or I should say it would be unbelievable if the markets weren't performing so badly lately!
Sitting on $235m in cash and cash equivalents to get Mooi well and truly off the ground, then they can use cash flow from that operation to progress their other holdings. Mooi will start producing this quarter.
Sitting on 2b tonnes (measured / inferred / indicated / reconnaissance) of coal
They can sell directly to power suppliers in SA, and to AM who have agreed to take a starting 2.5m tonnes per year with the option to increase to 5m.
They have secured some infrastructure use (rail and port) and more is in the works.
Things seem to be moving along very well, but the share price would suggest otherwise. The market cap is currently less than $300m by my calculations?
I’m going to look further into coal prices I think.
CZA, which has not taken part in the recent rally in coal stocks, may have been held back whilst waiting for a go-ahead for the Vele mine and finalization of the 2014 FireFly led consortium 2014 agreement.
CZA have mines and projects at Mooiplatts, Vele, Makhado, Dofontein, Woestallen, Zonnebloem, Hartogshoup, Klipfontein and Opgoedenhoop.
Hi Noirua,
Why do you suggest CZA haven't participated in the recent rally? Are you referring to takeover activity in the sector or higher coal prices?
I was looking at the yearly and comparing to other Coalies (in general) and it seems to have tracked most...
Red is MCC, Thin Black is RIV, Green is GCL and the light blue is NHC.
Personally I think NHC is lagging...t/o bid for MCC keeping it down? A stake in WCL?
interestingly ArcelorMittal, who is involved with this MCC take pover poposal is also tied up with CZA with an of take agreement of 2.5 mtpa with opion to increase to 5 mtpa. I can remember reading a CZA release that CZA intends to "lower capital costs by proposed partnership with fnancially strong contractor MCC", for the machinery, trucks etc .
Wonder if CZA would lso be a viable t/o targe for ArcelorMittal..
Thougts anyone....................
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