Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

LNR - Lonestar Resources

These extracts are from a recent interview with LNR CEO Frank Bracken III.
The complete interview can be found at www.ogfj.com
Just enter "lonestar Resources" in the search box

OGFJ: Talk to us about your recent listing and any related plans for a capital raise.

Bracken: On June 2, our OTCQX listing became effective. For us, it's really straightforward: our fiduciary duty to our equity holder is to create the broadest possible market for our shares. It just made sense to us that we linked our share price to the US market because that's where the bulk of our peer companies trade. As of this interview, we're only in day six of trading, but the results have been humbling. I think our stock is up 50% since the listing took hold. With the listing there's now the potential to raise money in both the US and Australia. Right now we just completed a $220 million senior unsecured note deal with Jefferies and Wells Fargo in the states. That transaction has given us an undrawn line of credit that totals $109 million. We feel like we've got all the capital we need right now.

OGFJ: Finally, what might Lonestar look like in 5 years?

Bracken: Our primary mission is to build an asset of consequence in the Eagle Ford. In my view, optimally, there would be a 40,000-50,000 acre position. We think the well results and the M&A activity that has been perpetually reemphasized through improvements in well quality and the constant purchase by non-Eagle Ford operators of Eagle Ford assets or Eagle Ford companies is a validator to our philosophy. I think our goal is to build an asset of consequence so that at some point in time, someone who has a different sense of value comes along and takes the company out. We're in this to make money for our shareholders; I'm not out to build the next Exxon. We'll prosecute the strategy as long as it's accretive to our equity holders. If somebody comes along that decides we're worth more to them than we are to the stock market, then we'll sell, but I see our development cycle taking 3 to 4 years before the company would ultimately be monetized.

OGFJ: Thank you very much for your time.

Well there's a plan in place.
I hold
 
Lonestar Resources announced today on the ASX that it has reached a definitive agreement to acquire approximately 5,200 net mineral acres in Brazos County, Texas at a cost of $2,500 per net
mineral acre. This acreage, together with transactions announced in the Company’s June 2014 Quarterly Report, add a total of 8,351 gross / 7,227 net acres in Lonestar’s existing areas of focus in the Eagle Ford Shale Trend. These transactions expand Lonestar’s leasehold by 31% to 34,215 gross / 30,306 net acres in the Eagle Ford Shale play

So the plan to accumulate between 40,000 - 50.000 acres takes another step.

I HOLD
 
Thanks raimop. Check this out too.

LNR trades 4.5 times its 2014 EBITDA at the current price of A$0.45 !!

LNR currently (at A$0.45) has enterprise value at US$525 million (including the debt of course) and 2014 EBITDA is $115 million, according to the average company's estimate.

And the peer group:


Several small caps from different plays across the U.S.:

Small Cap Oil and Gas Valuation

Operator Play EV/EBITDA

Triangle Pet. (NYSEMKT:TPLM) Bakken 10.09
Abraxas (NASDAQ:AXAS) Bakken/EF 13.84
Matador (NYSE:MTDR) EF 9.76
Gulfport (NASDAQ:GPOR) Utica 21.22
Bonanza Creek (NYSE:BCEI) Niobrara 9.07
Synergy (NYSEMKT:SYRG) Niobrara 18.12
Rex Energy (NASDAQ:REXX) Marcellus/Utica 9.27
PDC Energy (NASDAQ:pDCE) Niobrara/Utica 12.72
Gastar (NYSEMKT:GST) Marcellus/Hunton 10.51
Goodrich (NYSE:GDP) EF/TMS 16.11
Carrizo (NASDAQ:CRZO) EF/Niobrara 10.69


Although this data does vary, it provides an idea of how these operators compare. I didn't add all of the plays involved but tried to highlight the main areas of production. Below are small cap Midland Basin pure plays also compared on an EV/EBITDA basis:


Midland Basin Small Cap Valuation

Operator EV/EBITDA

Diamondback (NASDAQ:FANG) 18.3
Athlon (NYSE:ATHL) 21.77
Parsley (NYSE:pE) 19.07
RSP Permian (NYSE:RSPP) 18.32





The full article from SEEKINGALPHA:


http://seekingalpha.com/article/247...-permian-ipo-growing-88-percent-in-2015?ifp=0
 
The good thing is that the CEO will present the company to the funds and institutions very soon, so the awareness will rise dramatically and the comparisons are inevitable.


On Wednesday, September 10, 2014 2:28 PM, Frank Bracken <fbracken@lonestarresources.com> wrote:

Hi XXXXXX,

We attended and spoke at the Good Oil Conference.
Additionally, we are scheduled to speak at the Johnson Rice Energy Conference at the end of this month and the Canaccord Genuity Global Energy Conference in New York in mid-October 2014.

Regards,
Frank
 
According to the company's presentation, LNR is also the only energy stock with 65% insiders ownership. So the shareholders are fully aligned with the insiders.
 
Major Shareholders

Stake:

EWPO/EH/EHL (ECOFIN and subsidiaries)
58.83%

Lonestar Management
5.9%

Wyllie Group Pty Ltd (It sold recently to other Australian funds)
5.3%

Adam Smith Asset Management
1.2%

Colonial First State Global AM
1.0%

Industry Funds Management
1.0%
 
raimop, I am looking forward to reading their results from Brazos County where they drill the sweet spot right next to Apache (AP), Halcon (HK) etc.
 
Hi Tradernor, hope you are well.
I'm a bit concerned with the drop in SP this month.
Started the month at 50 cents now trading at 38 cents that's a drop of 24%
There have been no ASX announcements so assume everything is going normally.
Do you have any thoughts?
Thanks
:confused:
 
Going purely by precedent, I'm looking for support at current levels:

LNR n 25-09-14.gif

The upper trend line started in mid-January and followed the 1-year EMA; both marking holding support in May.
Throughout May, the green "W" indicators kept popping up; they're simple markers that I wrote as visual alerts ("W"arnings) of momentum likely to have bottomed. The first one like those returned a few days ago.
No guarantee, merely an alert to watch mode closely and prepare a buy order if I wish to trade this stock.

Zooming in further, a close-up suggests odds for a turn may be increased at 40c; should today's candle finish as a small-range Doji cross, it would appear even more Bullish to me.

LNR d 25-09-14.gif
 
Jinxed it, I have :(

Given the general Market jitters leading to e big fall generally, LNR's drop should hardly come as a surprise.
Where I still remain optimistic: Today's trading range may have fallen through the (yellow) 1-year EMA, but it's poised right on top of an old rising support line. If that holds and we end up with a bottom reversal Doji candle, we can still expect a positive turnaround early next week,

LNR n 26-09-14.gif
 
raimop, I am looking forward to reading their results from Brazos County where they drill the sweet spot right next to Apache (AP), Halcon (HK) etc.

Hey Tradenor, this announcement was released this morning. All good, on the way to achieving yearly targets.

Lonestar Resources, Ltd. (ASX: LNR, OTCQX: LNREF) is pleased to provide an update on the Company’s initial successes in its drilling and completion activities in the Eastern Eagle Ford Shale play, including initial production tests from its first two completions which average 738 barrels of oil equivalent per day (95% crude oil and NGL’s). These results provide confidence in the Company’s forecasted 2014 exit rate of 6,500 to 7,000 BOEPD, and suggest increases in proved reserves from the Eastern Eagle Ford Shale trend at year‐end 2014.

As budgeted, LNR has drilled and completed five horizontal wells in Brazos and Burleson Counties
during the third quarter of 2014. The first two of these wells have been drilled, completed, fracture stimulated and were placed on flowback on September 23rd. Details of their completion are as follows:

• Ranger Dansby #A4H‐ LNR drilled its first lateral in the Eastern Eagle Ford in 23 days. LNR
perforated a 5,619‐foot interval and pumped 7.9 million pounds of proppant across 21 stages (1,404 lbs/foot). The most current rate from the #A4H was 674 bopd and 413 Mcfgpd on a 17/64” choke, equating to a processed three‐stream rate of 778 BOEPD. This rate is being achieved at a 40% oil cut, with only 4% of the frac load recovered. LNR has a 100% WI and a 78.1% NRI in the well, which was classified as Possible Undeveloped in LNR’s reserve report at year‐end 2013.

• Ranger Dansby #B1H‐ LNR drilled its second lateral in the Eastern Eagle Ford in 12 days. LNR
perforated a 5,406‐foot interval and pumped 8.1 million pounds of proppant across 21 stages (1,495 lbs/foot). The most current rate from the #B1H was 600 bopd and 387 Mcfgpd on a 17/64” choke, equating to a processed three‐stream rate of 698 BOEPD. This rate is being achieved at a 36% oil cut, with only 4% of the frac load recovered. LNR has a 100% WI and a 78.3% NRI in the well, which was classified as Possible Undeveloped in LNR's reserve report at year‐end 2013.

LNR currently has three wells awaiting fracture stimulation in the Eastern Eagle Ford. LNR owns a
82.3% WI and a 62.0% NRI in the Dunn A Unit #1H and Dunn A Unit #2H, which it has cased to total depth of 14,346 feet and 14,338 feet, respectively, and expects to begin fracture stimulation operations in the next 7 days. These wells were classified as Probable Undeveloped in LNR’s reserve report at year‐end 2013. LNR has also completed the Scasta #3H well, which was its only Proved Undeveloped location in its 2014 capital program LNR owns a 100% WI and a 79.4% NRI in the Scasta #3H well, which it has cased to a total depth of 13,060 feet, and plans to fracture stimulate immediately after it completes operations on the Dunn Unit wells. All three
of these wells are expected to contribute to production in November, 2014.

Frank D. Bracken, III, Lonestar’s Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer commented, “We are extremely pleased with our initial results in the Eastern Eagle Ford. We have delivered excellent initial production results from our first two producers, and currently expect to have three additional completions onstream by November, 2014. It is noteworthy that only one of Lonestar’s five completions in the Eastern Eagle Ford Shale trend was designated as Proved Undeveloped in our reserve report at year‐end 2013. Accordingly, we believe that the 2014 Eastern Eagle Ford drilling program should have positive implications for LNR’s Proved Reserves base at year‐end 2014. Furthermore, I am extremely pleased with the considerable strides made by our
technical team in terms of optimizing our geo‐steering processes, our drilling techniques, and our fracture stimulation procedures, and I believe that the Eagle Ford Shale wells that we will drill in 2015 will benefit significantly from what we have learned from our initial program.”

I HOLD :)
 
Is there any impending news for LNR?

A very bullish candle with decent volume on 15/12/14. Looks like (in my very amateur view) a base is being established. And so far today around 1mil volume on the first hour.
 
Yes I was stopped out a while back. With the recent retreating oil prices I remain out for sure.
 
On July 7th, 2016, Lonestar Resources Limited (LNR) was removed from the ASX's official list at the request of the Company, in accordance with Listing Rule 17.11.
 
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