Conference date
5th-annual-coal-to-liquids-and-gas-to-liquids-conference
Tuesday 16th February 2010
12.20
The progress of UCG to GTL: Growth & potentialJustyn Peters, General Manager, Government and Environmental Affairs, Linc Energy
- Linc's commercial path in SA and the United States
- Linc Project updates
- Opportunities and development challenges
- Case studies in Australia and overseas
http://www.iir.com.au/informa-confe...s-and-gas-to-liquids-conference-P10R06/agenda
Interesting to note that Liberty Resources are also looking at Hydrogen energy, I wonder if Linc might operate a fuel cell power station for Liberty, as Linc do have exclusivity to AFC fuel cells for 2 years(they can extend this to perpetuity).
4.30
Creating cleaner energy - Hydrogen fuel and other optionsPeter Sallans, General Manager UCG, Liberty Resources
- UCG to Hydrogen energy
- Transport fuels
- Transporting energy from production to market
Australian Energy Report 10th February
"Now we would have 2 or 3 parties that we are actively negotiating with and we could have probably have come out with a couple of announcements by now but I dont want to come out with any false starts. I want to come out with this as the deal - this is exactly how its structured. Is the money in the bank? This is the deposit. And you dont want to come out with anything too early. And that would be a mistake. We want something ready in a box, ready to go with the cash and everyone knows exactly where we stand."
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Nice find Jonathan. Would be good to see the whole interview or perhaps this is it?
What did I get from it? Peter believes that the coal resources are worth a lot of money and he is intent on getting full value for them. He obviously feels a bit burnt over the earlier announcements that have come to nothing and which embarrassed him and Linc.
It seems clear that there won't be any announcements in the near or even mid term future and that when they are made they should stick. Or so it seems.
I suppose my reservations as a keenly interested shareholder are
1) Lincs main game is turning coal into oil. That will take a lot of cash and at least 2-3 years. In that context getting cashed up ASAP would enable the main plan to get going promptly and properly.. After all it is clear that the realities of peak oil will hit within 2-3 years. That won't be a good time to look for cash. It will be a good time to sell diesel.
2) I seem to see a lot of coal exploration around and new finds made regularly. I wonder if potential buyers can be more choosy and thus string the process out. This would delay settlement repeatedly.
3) I have a concern about the overall fragility of the share market and the world economy. If it is tough negotiating a good deal now what could it look like if Greece or Portugal or Spain or whatever fall over causing some extreme economic crisis?
If things just drift along I could see Lincs SP drifting further downwards - possibly even collapsing if nasty crunch occurs. The opportunity to raise further cash to stay afloat in such a market would be minimal or extremely expensive. Is this a reasonable risk to take?
I appreciate that management is actively exploring many other options to ensure ongoing liquidity but is it possible to be too cute in what is a very volatile market place ? I can't see these options bringing in as much cash as sale of the coal.
What do other forum members think ?
I wouldnt be able to sleep at night if i wasnt holding and the stock went into trading halt due to a big coal sale.
I sold out on QGC and took 70K with a 30K gain so i could put a deposit on a house in Blacktown and missed out on being a millionaire as the shares kept rising til it got taken over.. :blbl: Ive had plenty of similar experience too many to count...:evilburn:
I will hold LNC to see if they make it to producing comercial GTL and hold for the dividends. Hopefully they reach this stage and never get taken over.. :aliena:
:knightrid:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tkOGM6gHvao
Most of Palmer's estimated 7 billion tonnes of coal were acquired in last year's $140 million takeover of Waratah Coal. The magnate plans to spend a further $7.5 billion building a mine capable of exporting 40 million tonnes of coal a year.
Suffice to say that the only reason I hold this stock is in expectation of a collision between oil production and consumption at some point in the next few years.]1) Lincs main game is turning coal into oil. That will take a lot of cash and at least 2-3 years. In that context getting cashed up ASAP would enable the main plan to get going promptly and properly.. After all it is clear that the realities of peak oil will hit within 2-3 years. That won't be a good time to look for cash. It will be a good time to sell diesel.
The chart for LNC is trading in quite a nice little range and there has been higher than normal trading over the last few months.
I enclose a weekly chart with harmonic simple moving averages 5,15,30, beloved of Dawn Bolton Smith, one of Australia's foremost chartists.
gg
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