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- 19 March 2006
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It's settled at 24.5c and on absolutely sweet FA volume today.
Amazing what difference the major holder has to people's confidence.
Just a quote from a poster on HC about Talbot. Don't know how much substance it holds maybe someone else can shed some light?
"Talbot has already tried and failed at hooking up directly with JMS in the past.
Not long after Talbot bought into JMS about a year ago he put one of his underlings on the JMS payroll. The underling lasted all of two minutes and subsequently resigned. It was a debalcle! A total failure. Talbot has already tried to cozy up to JMS and it was a disaster. Why would he waste his time with a company he cannot work with?
He would be a fool to try when he no doubt considers there are much greener pastures elsewhere and people he can actually work with."
Who is this underling? Could Talbot be selling due to conflicts of personality or character?
I emailed the company regarding this. Asking if we could expect the drilling results prior to the new year.
That was sent off Thursday morning, still no reply. Will let you know when i get one.
Personally I wouldn't take any of the crap posted on HC to seriously.
Hey rocketman,
I am pretty much in the same boat as you. Got in around .30-.31 and just seen the stock drop to .23-.24 (Because of l seller really)
But, l was reading on the asx announcements page how a few Chinese (ones an accountant though) have been shuffled onto the board latetly. Can only be a positive move for the long term.
I just keep telling myself that's just a spec stock.
If u do want some thing a little bit more stable, go for something in the ASX 50.
did anyone notice talbot took a share placement in riv lately.i was thinking maybe he was abit short of cash to take the placement, so he sold jms to buy riv.just maybe.felt abit better after i saw the announcement and decided to top up today.not sure what im doing
JMS has 140m shares +20m options,
So 160m all up but will get $4m cash from opies + $6m cash at bank
So I gave project value of $50m + $10m cash = $60m EV
With 160m shares = 37.5c
So JMS should arguably be at 37.5c
that means currently no value is priced in for Brockman or Shay Gap, or Talbot or the Chinese,
Thus on a peer comparison JMS seems cheap at these levels and if Brockman comes in, we will look back and think my god it was 30c????
The Talbot group remind me of the classic wheelers and dealers, who (nearly) always just keep within the law (as per their recent corporate behavior with other companies).
I personally find it hard to believe that Brockman has nothing to do with their entry and exit … I mean, if they had an inkling that Brockman was to produce outstanding results, these guys would salivate at the mouth and definately wait another month, and sell at a much, much higher price; and, perhaps do a deal with (say) HSBC or some Chinese or whoever… instead of just dumping onto the market as they did a week or two ago!
Just look at the ASX announcements regarding their entry into JMS :-
1. Talbot issues their “becoming a substantial shareholder” notice on 8 Dec 2006
2. JMS issues their “Brockman Iron Project – Exploration Update” on 13 Dec 2006
And now, just one year later, when Brockman results are due to come out, Talbot do a convenient, opportunistic runner! ... give me a break!
It may be that the Brockman drilling will be ok but not brilliant … that way they cannot be accused of insider trading … so out they go … and forward (or backward) they march … moving onto to their next play!
Anyway, good riddance …. B1 and B2 are gone … and now Talbot, the Rat-in-a-Hat ("I'm a rat, I'm a rat, I'm a very clever rat" … refer to Bananas in Pyjamas) is gone (or nearly gone) as well!
In any case , based on YT’s valuation of 37.5c ( irrespective of Brockman results), the current share price of 21.5c should appreciate at least another 75% (plus) to just reach fair value!
I suppose all I am doing is looking at a “worst case scenario” on the Brockman drilling results ... and to quote YT again, the 37.5c valuation does not factor in Shay Gap … or the Chinese… let’s definately forget about Talbot ... and maybe ... just maybe ... give Brockman at least a 50:50 chance of perhaps being extra-ordinary!
So really, JMS at 21.5 c is bargain basement buying!!!
With the back log at labs due to the resources boom I dont think there were results ready from the drilling campaign when Talbot sold.. these things take a while..
I expect Talbot just had a hissy fit and moved on......
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