Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

IPG - IPD Group

So Greg Canavan of 'fat tail investment advisory' reported back to subscribers today after the interview with the IPG investor relations teamlet. He sounds reassured but with a degree of qualification. Advises subscribers to get back up to a 2% weighting (after shrinkage from the lower share price) then look to add more when/if the company reports favourably in August.

Quote excerpt:
"The issues facing IPG appear to be short-term in nature. The CMI business (acquired in early 2024) continues to suffer from weak commercial construction. Economic growth numbers released recently confirmed this, with business investment languishing.
Business investment is cyclical, so this is likely a short-term headwind. Having said that, there have been some integration issues. At the end of last year, the Executive General Manager of Operations for the IPD business, Adam Jones, moved over to CMI to assist with the integration."

Held
Accumulate

DAILY
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WIth today's candle (so far) this chart is giving me the impression that IPG is consolidating here to prepare at least a swing low rally? That is, a low on a daily or weekly scale, not necessarily a major low, but a candidate for such. All subjective obviously.
Another snippet from Greg Canavan's analysis first referencing the lagging CMI acquisition then discussing Addelec, the electrical vehicle charging installation business:

"... We’ll get a closer look at the integration of CMI when the company hands down its full-year results in August.

The Addelec business is the other area weighing on profits. This is the EV charging infrastructure business. It’s facing project delays on its contract to upgrade EV charging infrastructure at the Kinsgrove bus depot in Sydney. The depot is undergoing a significant transformation to support a fleet of approximately 155 battery electric buses.

At the half-yearly result, management stated that Transport New South Wales expected to deliver the bus depot in August, ‘which means that if it stays on track and it stays to that time line, there will be a significant amount of revenue in the second half of the year attached to Kingsgrove Bus Depot’. But delays to the project have pushed that revenue recognition out. Hence the expected 12% decline in revenues from the Addelec business. Again, that is a short-term timing issue. Longer term, the Addelec business appears to have strong growth prospects.

In NSW alone, the government’s broader Zero Emission Buses Program aims to transition over 8,000 buses to zero-emission technology by 2035 in Greater Sydney, with further targets set for outer metro regions and regional NSW. The program includes converting 11 diesel and natural gas bus depots in Greater Sydney to support battery electric buses, with the first stage expected to be complete by 2028."

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