Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Inflation

You are putting the cart before the horse, he has not even been sworn in yet.
We have yet to see any official nominations for the multitude of positions becoming available, only a few throw away lines.
When we see some real names, then you can make a guess about what they may or may not do.
Some of his choices last time around were not great.
Trump has shown in the past to be somewhat erratic, a tad arrogant towards just about everyone else, and has no interest or acumen in the world outside of the US.
It is to be hoped that those he does put in charge display the interest and acumen he lacks.
Mick

Yes. And like I said, time will tell.
 
i note a statement by Jerome Powell saying he can't be sacked ( protected by law )

now that may be true , BUT Jerome's term expires sometime in the next two years , and there is some chance that term will not be extended

watch to see if Ron Paul gets a job in the Trump administration , he has been disappointed with the Fed, for over a decade , if Ron has some genuine authority the Federal Reserve might have some uncomfortable moments coming
 
You are putting the cart before the horse, he has not even been sworn in yet.
We have yet to see any official nominations for the multitude of positions becoming available, only a few throw away lines.
When we see some real names, then you can make a guess about what they may or may not do.
Some of his choices last time around were not great.
Trump has shown in the past to be somewhat erratic, a tad arrogant towards just about everyone else, and has no interest or acumen in the world outside of the US.
It is to be hoped that those he does put in charge display the interest and acumen he lacks.
Mick
And here is me thinking that the US of A was the world, the whole world and the only world.
Wrong again.
 
If the Trump administration can drastically reduce government expenditure, that will help take some of the load off of inflation and lending.

Figures from the Treasury Department show the federal government spent north of $6.7 trillion over the yearlong period that ended in September, running a deficit of more than $1.8 trillion during the time frame.

Trump is putting business minded people into positions to help reduce costs of duplication and waste, and also to find new innovation for productivity.
Increasing tariffs would increase the Govt coffers I would expect.
It would just be another indirect tax, as long as it is spent in a productive way creating jobs, it should be acceptable if it is squandered well there will be an outcry.
 
Increasing tariffs would increase the Govt coffers I would expect.
It would just be another indirect tax, as long as it is spent in a productive way creating jobs, it should be acceptable if it is squandered well there will be an outcry.
Increasing revenue will not be enough, they have to reign in spending.
And trump has already signalled a drop in company tax.
I don't see how he can really do much at all.
The level of debt is just so big and must be serviced.
Borrowing money to pay interest on the money you have already borrowed is only going to end one way.
the only debate is when.
So much of the financial decisions, both good and bad, are determined at a state level.
There are state income taxes, state sales taxes, excise taxes, royalty fees, license fees and property taxes.
As much as I would like to join in with the joy of those celebrating a trump victory, I really don't see a lot changing internally for its beleaguered citizens.
Mick
 
Increasing revenue will not be enough, they have to reign in spending.
And trump has already signalled a drop in company tax.
I don't see how he can really do much at all.
The level of debt is just so big and must be serviced.
Borrowing money to pay interest on the money you have already borrowed is only going to end one way.
the only debate is when.
So much of the financial decisions, both good and bad, are determined at a state level.
There are state income taxes, state sales taxes, excise taxes, royalty fees, license fees and property taxes.
As much as I would like to join in with the joy of those celebrating a trump victory, I really don't see a lot changing internally for its beleaguered citizens.
Mick
Being the reserve currency opens a lot more options than are available to second tier currencies, as was proven when the GFC hit and is a major reason for the BRICS forming.

One thing about the U.S they have some really smart people, so I would guess a plan will be developed.
They just have to work out how to throttle the tap on globalisation, the West is inflating itself into poverty, to support their lifestyle.

Which in itself isn't bad, but if the Govts aren't putting in place systems to support their economic growth, then it is just like any loser re drawing on their mortgaging to spend it on lifestyle.
Just my 2 cents worth.
 
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It's depressing how fiscally irresponsible being the reserve currency enables the americans to be. If worse comes to worst they can just monetise the debt (print money to pay it off) with far far far less severe consequences than literally anyone else.

Just another admittedly depressing reason to bet on america.
 
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