Kauri
E/W Learner
- Joined
- 3 September 2005
- Posts
- 3,428
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- 11
I agree all initiatives will not work, but impotantly it is only human nature to delay impending disaster where one can to buy time to find relief or remedies. It can only give people, particularly those most affected time to more rationally (less panic) assess their situation and make better decisions about their future.
The operative word being severity, I would have thought that avoiding a rushed panic sell off of financial markets with monetry policy, intervention and or regulation to give businesses a chance to restructure and home owners better opportunities to refinance or a chance to make-up their late payments would be obvious evidence of deminishing the severity of knock-on effects.
... probably for the next decade, retailers are not going to have to open a brand new store because there's going to be so many empty ones that need to be filled. It's not going to be like before where retailers were fighting to get the best location in the new strip mall that opened up.
Can the Fed and other financial officials avoid this nightmare scenario that keeps them awake at night? The answer to this question - to be detailed in a follow-up article - is twofold: first, it is not easy to manage and control such a contagious financial crisis that is more severe and dangerous than any faced by the US in a quarter of a century; second, the extent and severity of this financial crisis will depend on whether the policy response - monetary, fiscal, regulatory, financial and otherwise - is coherent, timely and credible. I will argue - in my next article - that one should be pessimistic about the ability of policy and financial authorities to manage and contain a crisis of this magnitude; thus, one should be prepared for the worst, i.e. a systemic financial crisis.
You want nightmares ........ Hanks on tele .
Mr containment consistently looks out of his depth whenever he's on TV. It's hilarious how they pay so much attention to what these muppets have to say. You know exactly the kind of platitudes they are going to come out with before they even open their mouths,
Bernanke - the Fed will continue to cut if needed (Of course they will, what else can they do?)
Paulson - The economy will grow slower than it has in recent years ( ahh yeah, thanks for pointing out the obvious Hank)
Sniffling for a month now , bad cold Hanks got ........ plague more like it .
Mr Furlong said the recent volatility was not related to the fundamentals of the market
But one hedge fund manager lashed out at Mr Mayne's comments last night. "It's all crap. The basic point is that short-selling contributes to market efficiency," he said.
The fallout from losses on subprime lending may result in a ``tsunami'' for the US economy extending beyond financial markets, New York Governor Eliot Spitzer told lawmakers in Washington.
Inadequate federal regulation of the mortgage market led to losses that hurt bond insurers, threatening their AAA credit ratings, and banks, Spitzer said in prepared testimony to the House subcommittee on Capital Markets, Insurance and Government Sponsored Enterprises.
Insurers' woes have hurt the municipal bond market by raising borrowing costs and reducing the value of debt held by investors, said Spitzer, a first-term Democrat. Municipal bond difficulties, highlighted by failures in the auction-rate market, will be far-reaching, he said.
``It will affect the cost of college loans,'' the governor said. ``It will affect museum budgets. It will affect state and local taxes.''
Now that Moodys have downgraded one of the top 3 monos,FGIC, from AAA to A3, with the likelyhood of other agencys following suit, and the precarious standing of Ambac and MBIA, will this lead financial instos to writing off more,and not only sub-prime this time?? BB stated that more write downs were likely in his address last night. Will global banks that have been reassuring us that they have no, or very little, exposure to sub-prime, now be caught up with exposure to the "more prime" vehicles?? Will wealth management type firms get caught up in having to revalue some of their interest investments?? Will we get more than one day of rain in Perth this summer??
Thinking
............Kauri
Bond insurers have days to re-capitalize, Spitzer says
Bond insurers have four to five business days to re-capitalize themselves enough to keep their crucial AAA credit ratings, New York Governor Eliot Spitzer said during a Congressional hearing on the $2.4 trillion industry on Thursday. If that doesn't happen, regulators will have to step in and separate bond insurers' municipal businesses from their more troubled structured finance units. "We will need to move in that direction. It is not our first choice but time is short," Spitzer said. "In the next for or five bus days we would like to see a resolution," Spitzer added. "It's time for deals to get done."
ASX head of supervision Eric Mayne yesterday said he would be investigating market rumours that hedge funds were working together in packs to target specific companies.
Mr Mayne also signalled that the ASX was keen for more regulation of the increasingly common practice of short-selling in the market, and would be looking at greater regulation of company directors who had big margin loans against their shares.
To maintain a sense of perspective it needs to be noted that Mr Mayne is employed by the ASX who market a CFD product that allows short-selling. It also needs to be noted that the ASX is perfectly free to regulate itself as much as it likes. So presumably Mr Mayne is referring to being keen for more regulation of non-ASX-controlled shortselling, which would tend to disadvantage competitors relative to the ASX.
If we are to have a level playing field then market supervision and regulation should be taken out of the hands of the ASX and should be performed by an independent body with no vested interests who would have the power to extract any information held by the ASX. Then there would be no perception of conflicts of interest and we would at least be able to take ASX statements seriously.
To maintain a sense of perspective it needs to be noted that Mr Mayne is employed by the ASX who market a CFD product that allows short-selling. It also needs to be noted that the ASX is perfectly free to regulate itself as much as it likes. So presumably Mr Mayne is referring to being keen for more regulation of non-ASX-controlled shortselling, which would tend to disadvantage competitors relative to the ASX.
If we are to have a level playing field then market supervision and regulation should be taken out of the hands of the ASX and should be performed by an independent body with no vested interests who would have the power to extract any information held by the ASX. Then there would be no perception of conflicts of interest and we would at least be able to take ASX statements seriously.
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