This is a mobile optimized page that loads fast, if you want to load the real page, click this text.

House prices to stagnate for 'years'

Status
Not open for further replies.

This is the bright side...hmmm. Please let us know if someone ever gives you the power to make important decisions! And be careful what you say about Joe Blow...he's the boss around here
 
lol, Ive toyed with the idea of pursuing a career of important decision making , but figured someone from the new wold order would bump me off before i even managed to crawl out of the basement window!


Despite what you said about Joe Blow, I think hes a top bloke
 

Thanks ASX.G - love your blog by the way, makes me want to go to Sweden again!

The house was in Moonee Ponds, to the north of Melbourne.

I agree with your comments on not being able to make good properties cash flow positive. I did the maths on mine and we would have had a rental yield of 3.4%!! Pretty pathetic hey. Assume this is after tax due to negative gearing benefits, at the moment you can get 6.7% interest, which is around 3.9% after tax depending on where you sit.

I'm taking the proceeds from my house and putting into high yielding, fully franked stocks. If I can get an average of 4.5% fully franked, then any capital gains are a bonus.

However, with the CGT exemption on principle residence, it makes no sense to rent does it....

BTW, I will be as rich as a baby boomer in about 20-30 years when my parents kick the bucket....now just to stop them from spending it all in the meantime!
 
Great little piece on 60 minutes tonight about the mortgage madness .....

In the following Peter Overton demonstrates how cushy his baby boomer parents copped it back in the day ....


http://sixtyminutes.ninemsn.com.au/article.aspx?id=289100


The story went on to support one of my many arguments with this "house price boom" and that is that its sucking soooo much money out of other areas of the economy, the people in the article where saying how at the end of there month they have like 100 bucks or less left over .... crazy .... ie/ less money sent on Entertainment, shopping, holidays etc etc etc ....

Gov better hope the Mining boom never wobbles!


How did the sales go this w/end Robots ? Break anymore records ?

 
hello,

yes another big weekend, 85% clearance rate, with around 100 more properties on sale as opposed to same time last year

bumper prices for all, looks as though a lot coming on for spring but general concensus is that demand will pick them up with ease

I say good if people dont spend as much money on entertainment, Harvery Normans, restaurants, holidays etc

its only the start of the affordability crisis here in Aus, all being part of the world economy which aus entered seriously 6-7 years ago

thankyou

robots
 
Heya Robots!

Thanks for your reply, glad too hear you had another rip snorter!

Well thatll be good news for all those folks on 60 minutes tonight, instead of foreclosure they can sell up and reap the Profit$!

So you say its only the beginning of this "affordability" crisis, thats at 10 x Income, whats your tip for the future 20 x income ? Multi generational mortgages? Or maybe average wages will jump substantially keeping the multiples down? (giggles at that idea) Maybe theyll slash Interest rates to coincide with price rises to keep around the 10x multiple?


Thankyou.


ps those people who are in the Business of entertainment, Harvery Normans, restaurants, holidays etc might disagree with you, but who knows as long as their house prices go up they will perhaps look the other way
 
its only the start of the affordability crisis here in Aus, all being part of the world economy which aus entered seriously 6-7 years ago
A startling incongruence in the two parts of this statement.
 
How did the sales go this w/end Robots ? Break anymore records ?

I am quite surprised for someone so actively debating about the trends of real estate prices on this thread is not actively following sales every week.
It is readily available on newspapers, probably just slightly more reliable sources than "60 minutes".
I keep track of prices for years but I still do not predict. I can only tell price history.
 
It is readily available on newspapers, probably just slightly more reliable sources than "60 minutes".
Quite a number of properties were sold on auction day Saturday, but many were after failing to reach reserve and had to be negotiated with either the highest vendor (or in two cases I know of in Nth Carlton, Melb) with whoever walked in the door after the sole bid in each was a vendor bid.

REIV window dressing doesn't fool everyone, especially those of us in the industry
 
REIV window dressing doesn't fool everyone, especially those of us in the industry

...and hopefully those selling houses don't tell those in the industry what they paid for them...lest the salesperson let the stats and not the market determine their belief as to the potential selling price.
 
Our American cousins arnt having much luck with there surefire bricks n mortar Investments ....


http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070828/home_price_index.html?.v=10


Imagine the same result say in Melbourne in a 3 month period , buy a House 440k ( -3.2pc 14k, -stamp duty 20k , - realty comission to sell 15k , - Interest, conveyancing etc 10k , = 54k loss ouchers.

Hell you just need that 440k house to rise 10pc just to break even ..

Lets hope it doesnt happen here hey, after all when did we ever follow US market trends ?
 
the difference in aus is that we dont have the huge inventories of unsold properties and very limited space to build new houses.
Rents are huge at the moment and will prob only go higher so still good for investing. That said i dont think propoerty is a good investment in any case compared to historic returns from the stock market.

In Sydney there are units and townhouses going up everywhere and houses don't seem to be sitting there for long before been snapped up but im located about 5 mins east of parramatta so I'm not sure how the further out suburbs are doing.

In my opinion we won't see a boom again for a long time but unless there is some serious land opened up for development or a major economic event we will rise between 1-5 % PA in most areas for the next few years
 
Our American cousins arnt having much luck with there surefire bricks n mortar Investments ....

Lets hope it doesnt happen here hey, after all when did we ever follow US market trends ?
NC, please humour me for a moment.

I am trying to understand your interest in this thread.

Do you own a house?
Do your friends or family own a house?
Do you own shares or units in any Australian real estate entities with interests anywhere?
Are you projecting a downtrend in the Australian the housing market?
Are we headed to a bottom?
Are you thinking of investing in the housing market when you think there is a bottom?
Are you trying to convince us to sell our houses and move into rental?

I am very confused as to your intent in this thread, other than to spell gloom and doom.
 


Sometimes there is a fine line between gloom and doom and reality. Some want to see the light and some dont'.

Matters are absolutely dreadful for ordinary Americans as things are panning out and unfortunately some of it will rub off.
 
 
Something tells me Number cruncher spends a lot of time over at GHPCF. and trolling on other sites as well.

Dave
 
Something tells me Number cruncher spends a lot of time over at GHPCF. and trolling on other sites as well.

Dave

lollercoaster Davo since when is presenting links and personal opinions on a subject trolling ?

Something tells me that Davo is fretting that his little piece of Queensland mango farm wont return his projected 50pc.

If you guys think Housing prices at 10x plus Earning ratios is good buying, well go ahead knock yourselfs out, Im basically showing its detachment from any time in history.

ps. whats GHPCF ?
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Cookies are required to use this site. You must accept them to continue using the site. Learn more...