tech/a
No Ordinary Duck
- Joined
- 14 October 2004
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This is a problem which those of us without the resources of a small country face when confronted with he survivorship question.
It's a problem when using any sub index of stock in a portfolio system.
As already pointed out there are many factors including membership of the sub group which are missed on many stocks particularly over the longer term--- years.
I have pondered over the dilemma often.
My own personal conclusion is the following.
(1) The occurrences of delisting are rare and to be long in a stock at the time of delisting whilst not impossible is very rare.
(2) Portfolio trading commonly has 10 or more open trades in the portfolio at one time.delisting would result in around 10 % or less loss in any one occurrence .
(3) Splits have a similar effect and will show an exit normally as the split looks like a severe drop in price.
(4) Take overs and changes of code show one trade left open until closed by the summing of all open profit at the end of testing or by code which looks for in activity.
I currently can't do anything about survivorship.
From the many systems I have tested and traded I've not had one which trades outside of it's blue print of Montecarlo testing.
The only time I have seen this occur and it happens to them all ---- when market conditions are outside of those used in testing.
It's a problem when using any sub index of stock in a portfolio system.
As already pointed out there are many factors including membership of the sub group which are missed on many stocks particularly over the longer term--- years.
I have pondered over the dilemma often.
My own personal conclusion is the following.
(1) The occurrences of delisting are rare and to be long in a stock at the time of delisting whilst not impossible is very rare.
(2) Portfolio trading commonly has 10 or more open trades in the portfolio at one time.delisting would result in around 10 % or less loss in any one occurrence .
(3) Splits have a similar effect and will show an exit normally as the split looks like a severe drop in price.
(4) Take overs and changes of code show one trade left open until closed by the summing of all open profit at the end of testing or by code which looks for in activity.
I currently can't do anything about survivorship.
From the many systems I have tested and traded I've not had one which trades outside of it's blue print of Montecarlo testing.
The only time I have seen this occur and it happens to them all ---- when market conditions are outside of those used in testing.