Materials That Will Change the World: Graphene
by Peter Diamandis
Have you heard of graphene?
This is about why graphene may be the next multibillion-dollar material, holding the key to computing,
healthcare and energy storage.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/peterdiamandis/2014/10/20/the-next-billion-dollar-super-material/
Estimates suggest that the graphene market will be $149.1 million by 2020, registering a CAGR of 44.0% from 2014 to 2020.
Thanks for the link. There's some inconsistancy between your bold and a part of the article.
Note this means the graphene market is currently at ~$16-17m a year.
Another thing that is quite interesting... there's mention of a CVD graphene costing $100k per sq meter to produce. Take iphone 6+ which has an area of ~160mm x 78mm (or 0.01248m2). To use the $100k/m2 graphene as the screen would cost $1250 per phone... roughly the price of the whole phone. So for graphene screen to be viable, either iphones will sell for $3k+, or graphene will need to come down in price by a factor of 20 or so.
I wonder how the forecast market size was estimated in terms of volume and price.
P.S. SYR has almost halved since the Glencore takeover rumour surfaced. TON annnounced that they've found even more graphite than SYR... It may have dragged down SYR but it hasn't done much to TON's share price either.
It might be too soon to speak, but if today was anything to go by, the graphite boom seems to have taken a sharp turn.
UNX down 11.36% to 19.5c (from a recent high of 32c).
LMB down 0.64% to 77.5c (after stabilising a bit around 85c)
Methinks you were right on the money, Tyler.
Ever since SYR took off on the basis of Billions of tonnes, I maintained an interest in players of this "next thing". SYR and TON in particular made me some good money; but now I can't escape that sinking feeling when I look at the weekly charts of some of those players. Echoes of the Rare Earth bubble reverberate across the sectors...
I've made an error but do find it hard to locate past posts by company name or ASX code
Is GMG listed on the ASX? If so, what's the code?
Hi @Mundo and Al, The graphite story definitely has a long incubation. I read through the article posted by @greggles (again) and notice that a few of the hopefuls are no longer around. And even if a company identifies a resource, raises capital, proves it up and put forward plans for exploiting it, this can be a tough pathway. End users have very specific requirements; meeting these is not easy or fast.Hi greggles,
Thanks for that, I had a good read of the article and I'm definitely interested in graphite stocks.
The quote from the article re. the positive outlook for graphite '"so long as a new technology doesn't put a spanner in the works' was a slight concern though!
I have shares in LIT & NVX and both have performed poorly.
Whether it is a small company or an industry leader, every company considering the benefits of graphene will need to undertake extensive test work. Even when they decide they want to use graphene each potential customer needs to decide how much to add and how to incorporate it into their particular product. It has to decide on the quality of graphene it needs to achieve the desired benefits, considering the costs and the impact of the pricing of its product. It also needs to consider product differential issues.
If the product is better and lasts longer, how does it introduce a line to the market without cannibalising its existing sales book? The objective is to increase sales revenue, not reduce it. Irrespective of how much better a product may be with graphene, there is no incentive to introduce it unless the profit motive is satiated.
Thanks Dona,Hi @Mundo and Al, The graphite story definitely has a long incubation. I read through the article posted by @greggles (again) and notice that a few of the hopefuls are no longer around. And even if a company identifies a resource, raises capital, proves it up and put forward plans for exploiting it, this can be a tough pathway. End users have very specific requirements; meeting these is not easy or fast.
I hold a few stocks in this space; I bought both TLG and FGR for the graphite story but each has moved , as knowledge has advanced, to graphene.
The FGR Chairman, last October, said these words about the process. I think the observations are apposite for most aspects of technological change:
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