greggles
I'll be back!
- Joined
- 28 July 2004
- Posts
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on the flip-side i am doing very nicely ( NOW ) on insurance stocks ( TWR , IAG , SUN and QBE ) but they can be a bumpy ride ( giving you average down opportunities , if you are inclined to do that )This short video lays out a great way to think of insurance, and it’s the reason I only carry third party insurance on my car, not full comprehensive.
to be replaced by another asset bubble.The end of the asset bubble is coming in 2025
to be replaced by another asset bubble.
but which sector???
We need a market reset. Valuations do not mirror reality. The average P/E ratio for companies in the S&P 500 is almost 30, well above historical averages.
Thanks for these posts and the vid @greggles .Global banks are buying US treasury bonds instead of lending into the economy. What are they getting ready for?
but WHEN ( the reset ) that is the trillion dollar questionWe need a market reset. Valuations do not mirror reality. The average P/E ratio for companies in the S&P 500 is almost 30, well above historical averages.
Yes, WHEN is the question. You can miss a lot of returns by listening to the doomsayers. There are always perpetual bears. Of course the market will reset at some point, this is entirely normal. But if you used just PE valuation you would have missed that last couple of years in the US. These are periods you really need to take advantage of before the crappy years.but WHEN ( the reset ) that is the trillion dollar question
of course digging deeper some companies are way above 30 ( probably because some popular companies have zero or negative earnings , currently )
while others are mostly neglected and still good value ( if you can tolerate weak liquidity )
i deliberately avoided the US ( even sold the dual-listed stocks i acquired via take-over activity )Yes, WHEN is the question. You can miss a lot of returns by listening to the doomsayers. There are always perpetual bears. Of course the market will reset at some point, this is entirely normal. But if you used just PE valuation you would have missed that last couple of years in the US. These are periods you really need to take advantage of before the crappy years.
Most investors you just buy, hold and hope which is okay depending your investment horizon. The whole Super Industry does this.
I suggest you just need a plan if you have a decent allocation to equities. The plan includes both reducing exposure and/or hedging.
I can't pick the top , but the goal is not to suffer a catastrophic drawdown. There are some tools out there to help.
The butterfly has flapped it's wings.Thanks for these posts and the vid @greggles .
We are on a cusp, one can argue for US Bonds or Stocks equally. Which way it goes is in the hands of the gods. No amount of analysis will assist in working out which direction we are taken. Butterfly flapping wings stuff imo.
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Thanks greggles, that vid covers most of RR's views.I couldn't find a thread on good investment or trading videos so I am starting one.
There is so much video content out there that it's hard to keep track of the really good content. If you come across any great investment videos please post them here.
Rick Rule on Commodity Culture: The most undervalued sectors. Some really good insights here that you wouldn't hear in the mainstream financial media.
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