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To be honest,just fear mongering from media ..as the puppets from the masters.I understand WHO have presently classified it as a "variant of interest" rather than a "variant of concern."
Some amusing comments to this pre-print.
Emergence in Southern France of a new SARS-CoV-2 variant of probably Cameroonian origin harbouring both substitutions N501Y and E484K in the spike protein
SARS-CoV-2 variants have become a major virological, epidemiological and clinical concern, particularly with regard to the risk of escape from vaccine-induced immunity. Here we describe the emergence of a new variant. For twelve SARS-CoV-positive patients living in the same geographical area of...www.medrxiv.org
I should have clarified that my comments are in relation to markets generally. That is, they're far more about the US than they are about Australia given the relative dominance of the US.
The post March-2020 run in the US' major indices just seems incredibly extended to me. The biggest alarm bell of the lot is seeing those ads from trading platforms marketed at novices which say something to the effect of "in a period of major volatility, if it gets really bad, you could even go as far as reducing the amount of leverage used". Um..... So lots of inexperienced traders and they're trading with leverage as the "normal" thing to do and they've only ever traded this bull run and nothing else? What could possibly go wrong.....
Then add in the more experienced traders who grasp that stocks can indeed go down and who have stop losses set either as such or they've got a firm line in the sand for a manually activated sell.
Then add in algorithmic trading.
Hence my thought that whenever a correction comes, it'll be hard and fast as humans rush for the exits and machines do likewise.
BUT , BUT , isn't it the Fed's mission to inflate debt away ??I guess at some point in time the current inflation rate in the USA must force the Fed to upset the game and actually do their job.
I have been reading for the past quarter, reports of USA inflation annualized to 6% and still nothing from the Fed.
I expect to see a dip over there for a couple of weeks while "certain people" lighten off, then surprise surprise, the Fed actually do something about the existing rampant inflation and start raising rates.
When we consider inflation is already there and they are about to be hit with rising food costs as well as rising heating costs, they really need to be raising 0.25% every meeting this year.
Look out below................
Good post, but you missed one thing:I guess at some point in time the current inflation rate in the USA must force the Fed to upset the game and actually do their job.
I have been reading for the past quarter, reports of USA inflation annualized to 6% and still nothing from the Fed.
I expect to see a dip over there for a couple of weeks while "certain people" lighten off, then surprise surprise, the Fed actually do something about the existing rampant inflation and start raising rates.
When we consider inflation is already there and they are about to be hit with rising food costs as well as rising heating costs, they really need to be raising 0.25% every meeting this year.
Look out below................
Hasn't Jerome Powelzebub been anointed as Emporer of Babylon the Great for another term?Good post, but you missed one thing:
Powell's term as fed chair expires next month.
Nominated but I have not heard he has been confirmed but which should be a given.Hasn't Jerome Powelzebub been anointed as Emporer of Babylon the Great for another term?
that is what i understood as well , there is SOME chance of a late push for the second-in-line to be elevated , but most Democrat Congress are corporate patsies as well , so Powell looks to be more acceptable ( to most ) than the most likely replacementNominated but I have not heard he has been confirmed but which should be a given.
Yes, but let's think about who actually appoints him. He has masters and knows (knew) that there was (is) a particular result they want.Hasn't Jerome Powelzebub been anointed as Emporer of Babylon the Great for another term?
And he also has a legacy to keep.Yes, but let's think about who actually appoints him. He has masters and knows (knew) that there was (is) a particular result they want.
I don't think he has a choiceAnd he also has a legacy to keep.
I am sure he doesn't want to be remembered as the guy who stuffed it up.
I don't think he has a choice
There's an even greater relationship between the two than many would likely be aware.The growing seasons in Europe and North America have been poor, so food goes up at the same time as oil and gas
and if you dig deeper, you quickly realise thatThere's an even greater relationship between the two than many would likely be aware.
Natural gas is the raw material for producing ammonia which is heavily used as fertilizer. To be clear that's not simply using gas to power machinery in the factory but rather, gas is the actual raw material from which it's made via a series of chemical reactions.
Oil (mostly in the form of diesel) not only powers most farm machinery and road transport but it's also the raw material from which various chemicals and so on are made.
In the reverse direction, various agricultural crops can be (are actually) used to make ethanol and biodiesel. Ethanol being added to petrol to boost the octane but if it's cheap enough then extra can be added simply to bulk out the product as sold.
So there's a heavy interlinkage there. Higher oil and gas prices directly adds to the cost of agricultural production. At the same time if petrol and diesel are selling at a higher price due to oil prices rising then that increases the price up to which agricultural products can be bought and profitably processed into ethanol or biodiesel.
So they're quite intertwined.
Again, supply side problem. The fed can't control the virus or weather.When does he act, if not soon then, it will be 10% inflation with interest rates at zero, not beyond the realms of possibilities that 10% happens within 6 months.
The growing seasons in Europe and North America have been poor, so food goes up at the same time as oil and gas (Crimea situation is a Biggie) and inflation takes off
Interest rates would need to be raised a full 1% each Fed meeting for six months before it even started to slow it all down.
We would soon have a Black Monday and black every other day ending in Y
Very nasty and very incompetent
They can however stop diluting the money.Again, supply side problem. The fed can't control the virus or weather.
Nah not over the last century, only since 15 August 1971They can however stop diluting the money.
I can't think of any other industry whose product has deteriorated to the extent that central banks' fiat money has deteriorated over the past century. One Dollar used to have real purchasing power whereas now it's barely able to buy anything at all.
If cars had seen a similar loss of performance then the top speed of any car sold today would be considerably slower than walking pace.
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