Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Determining trending/range bound days

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11 April 2008
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Hi guys, would be interested to hear thoughts/opinions on determining whether the days action on the SPI has a greater probability of being range bound/trending. What pre-market clues do you use? What do you look for? Would be particularily interested to hear from Trembling, MR&C and any other pro intraday traders. Obviously , getting caught on a day like today looking for a rangebound day would be painful. I recall Trembling saying one could make a living just from being able to determine that, and getting oneself in the proper "posture" premarket or at least early on in the day would seem vital. Much appreciated.
 
SPI Weekly and 5-day pattern

SPI Trading above the Weekly 50% level:- 2-day stall under 3271 and 3rd day up move (today), .

This was confirmed with a breakout Friday’s highs @ 3295

A trending day could see the SPI around 3373 by today’s close
(or higher)

Especially if it breaks 3345 after 3pm:- 100% Weekly range.

Around 3345 I have resistance that could see the SPI move back down
into Friday’s breakout…

But today can be one of those days that just doesn’t move lower than a
20-22 point intra-day swing and just continues higher.

It's always high risk to be short-trading a 5-day breakout....
 

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I recall Trembling saying one could make a living just from being able to determine that,
I would add to that you will really struggle to make a living if you carn't do that.


For me its always rolling analysis,

Pre-open had resistance @ 3317 and 3346. support @ 3270.

On opening below SYCO close I favoured the short side on any flick up until 10:15 where I flipped because of the 4 higher lows. had up side target @ 3317-20. When we took that out on the second go 3346 came into it.

After that for me I was each way whether we would run higher, roll back or just stick around. so I went into fading all moves. Days like today are rare but as you said they can cut you up if you are fighting it all day.

You have to find a way to find probable targets then the even harder thing is getting the execution of your ideas right.
 
Pre-open had resistance @ 3317 and 3346. support @ 3270.

I posted a question yesterday regarding the pre-open data from Sycom and was wondering is there anywhere I can get this information for free and if not what would be one of the options I have to purchase this?

Thanks.
 
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