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Cyclones imminent in North Queensland

GG and all the others in the path of this monster, take care and do your best to stay safe. You are in our thoughts and please post again as soon as you are able...
 
This thing has high potential to not only blow stuff over but dump half the Pacific Ocean in Queensland. Cloud mass covers about 1/4 of Queensland alone.

That's one nasty looking beast.

Looks like it's at least 3/4 of the QLD coastline in this one

Make that cloud mass as big as Qld.

You guys up the top end, keep safe... and it looks like we're all likely in for another drenching before this is over. They've said it's likely it could dump about a meter of rain up there. Well, that's not too unusual for innisfail, Babinda etc, but it much rain comes further south there will be havoc on a wide scale again and experts searching for the record books again.
 

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Is anyone willing to put themselves in the position of Wivenhoe dam operators? Do you:

(A) leave the dam at normal level thus risking another major flood in Brisbane possibly worse than the last one

OR

(B) let Brisbane's drinking water out, risking a water supply disaster potentially lasting a decade or more if this rain does not come south?

For the record, I'd use maths and probability analysis to work out the answer. That is, run 1000 scenarios based on present actual conditions and make a decision based on that. Cold, hard, factual. No emotion. If it turns out to be wrong, then at least you know that the odds were in your favour.

Whatever they do, there will be plenty of armchair experts on this one if there's another flood. With this cyclone and the possibility of rain coming south that does seem to be a real possibility.

Away from all that, best of luch to everyone up there. You guys seriously need a break from this weather...
 
Good luck to all of you up in FNQ. Stay safe.

I have lots of family and friends in Townsville, Innisfail and Cairns, they are all above the inundation level, though the father in law will be cutting it fine in Annandale Gardens. The Ross Island Hotel is sure to get a dunking GG. I have a unit in Townsville that is above the surge but the wife's family beach shack is at Cowley Beach just south of Innisfail. It survived Winifred, which crossed at Cowley and survived Larry. Fingers crossed for Yasi.

I'm starting to feel sick in the guts already and I'm on the other side of the country. Good luck.
 
God, that looks awful.

Stay safe to all up there and you are all in our thoughts.
 

Best wishes for your folk derty. How prepared IS Innisfail for a Cat 5 hit (Larry crossed as a 4)? I found this...


http://www.news.com.au/hollow-shelt...s-cyclone-danger/story-e6frep2f-1225942746998

I doubt many so-called "cyclone proof" houses facing a full blast out of lee shelter could withstand a 5?? Maybe someone with building knowledge can inform us??

My wife's auntie lives in a flat in Atherton. Hoping it doesn't hit there at more than a 3.


aj
 
Willis Island radar about to get hit by eye.... http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR413.loop.shtml#skip

Highest wind gust speed of 139kph at a distance of 75km from the outer edge of the eye last time I looked. Hopefully the site can stay up during the passing in the next couple of hours, to get a clearer idea of what windspeeds await the QLD coast.

Oops. My bad. Just noticed last data at 6.30am this morning before data ceased. I thought those speeds looked low!
 

GarpalHQ has now moved to Tom's Tavern, in Aitkenvale, a modern brick establishment with a similar discerning literary and politicially well-informed clientele.

Should that be inundated, the default HQ will be Irish Finnegans at Kirwan.

Past that, The Irish Club in Mt.Isa.

Overcast and light very occasional wind squalls.

As prepared as can be.

gg
 
Forget the good luck, if you don't have a house that is steel framed with cyclone shutters on the windows, get the hell out. From the images on the news this morning, it does not look like this area is built to stand up to this level of cyclone.
 
Last wind speed data transmission at Willis Island at 8.10am - 185kph wind gusts. Then anemometer data records 0kph from then (equipment damage?).

aj
 
Forget the good luck, if you don't have a house that is steel framed with cyclone shutters on the windows, get the hell out. From the images on the news this morning, it does not look like this area is built to stand up to this level of cyclone.

Extract from latest BOM quote..


300kph? Will there be anything left at all where these very destructive winds make landfall? I would assume trees and all but Cat 5 built structures will be pretty much wiped from the map.

Sheesh..
 
Best of luck to all in the way of this baby and her skirts.

Ghoti
 
I'll be glad to pay the cyclone levy when it comes.

Stay safe GG and others, best keep the bicycle in the garage for now.
 
My best wishes to all ASF members and visitors (and their families) who are in the path of Cyclone Yasi.

Please stay safe and keep us up to date with developments when you get a chance.
 
I'm starting to feel sick in the guts already and I'm on the other side of the country. Good luck.
derty, I feel the same. Can't think about anything much else. Unlikely to be badly affected this far south, but keep picturing all the Cairns and Port Douglas areas.

Do hope your folks are away somewhere safe.

Overit, if you're still reading this thread, I sure as hell hope you're not doing it at Port Douglas.

gg, hope you can take Garpaldog with you to HQ.

Maybe the religious people among us can use what influence they have to keep as many people safe as possible?
 

TSV: Wind and heavy rain started at 1111 and went for about 15 mins.

Settled again now.

gg
 
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