Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

CXO - Core Lithium

I am picking CXO again for November tipping comp.

Much higher than the last time I tip this. I wish I choose CXO more often rather than picking random stocks.
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I never knew CXO was a little gem back in January (or February?) this year.
Yes, too true. The ducks were lining up. from a month ago. Was a bit wary of the China connection:

CXO has made the decision to press ahead .... Contractors appointed, Board signed off. Now comes the tricky bit. SP holding around 40c

Rising prices for lithium have emboldened the directors of Core Lithium to push ahead with development of the first lithium mine in the Northern Territory.

Core will spend $89 million building its Finniss mine, 88 kilometres by road from Darwin port. The mine is hoped to be exporting a spodumene concentrate with lithia content of 5.8 per cent before Christmas 2022.


Highlights
  • The Board of Core has made the Final Investment Decision (FID) to proceed with construction of the Finniss Lithium Project in the Northern Territory
  • The Finniss development is fully funded
  • Project execution to start immediately, with mobilisation and site establishment activities to commence during October 2021
  • Commissioning of the DMS plant and first production of lithium concentrate scheduled for Q4 2022
  • 250 jobs to be created during construction and operations
  • Core uniquely placed on the ASX ... as the only new Australian company forecast to start lithium production in 2022, and to take advantage of high lithium prices
Chinese lithium customers will be a crucial part of Core's business; the company has struck supply agreements with Chinese companies Yahua and Ganfeng. Yahua is also a major shareholder in Core, while Ganfeng is awaiting regulatory approvals to take a stake.
 
Even if Chinese buyers evaporated, the mine is so close to completion and so important to critical mineral security/local economy that there should be other buyers available to support its progress
 
Very hot stock in very hot sector. I think it will still keep going up from here. Note the drop off in volume in this latest retracement. The big question is will it continue for a year, as this is a pick for 2022 comp.
 

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On current prices 110,000 of spodumene concentrate is worth US$248 million, CXO market cap now AUD$1.4 billion. Finniss Lithium mine has about an 8 year mine life. Doesn't add up to me, am I missing something?
 
Electric car battery demand fuels SA miners

Two Adelaide-based companies seeking to export large volumes of refined lithium and graphite to fuel electric car battery production have announced expansion plans.

Core Lithium yesterday announced significant increases in the mineral reserve and ore reserve estimates at its Finniss Lithium Project near Darwin.

It came on the same day as fellow SA-based miner Renascor Resources announced it had extended the potential footprint of its Siviour graphite project on Eyre Peninsula following promising drilling results.

Core says construction of its Northern Territory lithium mine is progressing well with its first direct ore shipment on track to take place before the end of the year and concentrate production to begin soon after.

In its announcement yesterday, the company said the latest mineral resource estimate has increased 28 per cent to 18.9 million tonnes @ 1.32 per cent lithium oxide.

The measured and indicated mineral resource increased by 61 per cent to 13.3Mt @ 1.40 per cent lithium oxide while the project’s total ore reserve increased by 43 per cent to 10.6Mt @ 1.3% lithium oxide.

Core Lithium Non-Executive Chairman Greg English said the new estimates resulted in the project’s mine life being extended to 12 years.

“This is a tremendous outcome for Core and our shareholders and testament to the efforts of our operations and exploration teams as we focus on growing Finniss’ mine life and scale beyond last year’s DFS assumptions,” he said in an announcement to the ASX yesterday.

“Today’s positive announcement adds to the significant momentum being generated by the safe and timely development of Finniss Stage 1.

“Fully funded to first production, Finniss remains on track to ship first lithium by the end of this calendar year to herald Core’s arrival as Australia’s next lithium producer.”

The Finniss project is about 25km from the port of Darwin, is the first lithium mine in the Northern Territory and the first new significant Australian lithium mine in more than a decade.

A decision on Stage 2 of the project, an expansion of its concentrate production, is expected this year. A feasibility study into Stage 3, which would enable Core to begin downstream lithium hydroxide production in the Northern Territory, is underway.

In March, Core struck a deal with electric carmaker Tesla to supply it with up to 110,000 tonnes of refined battery material from its Northern Territory mine.

Tesla will also work with the SA company on its Stage 3 expansion that will allow it to develop downstream lithium chemical processing in Australia and incorporate it directly into Tesla’s supply chain.

Meanwhile, Renascor also announced to the market yesterday it had entered into an agreement to explore and potentially buy the freehold land immediately to the north of its Siviour project near Arno Bay on Eyre Peninsula.

The agreement with landowner Cambourn Pty Ltd allows access and option rights for three years and follows the discovery of graphite intersections that are among the thickest and highest grade in the project area near the site’s boundary.

The Siviour project received conditional approval for a $185 million loan under the Australian Government’s $2 billion Critical Minerals Facility in February.

A final investment decision on whether to proceed with the project, which aims to supply the global electric car industry, is expected later this year.

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Renascor managing director David Christensen at the Siviour site near Arno Bay.
The project also includes two processing facilities in South Australia – one at the mine site to create a 95 per cent graphite product while a second, more technical site would create a purified spherical graphite product to a purity of at least 99.95 per cent before being exported to lithium-ion battery anode manufacturers.

If it goes ahead, the project is expected to create about 100 construction jobs and 200 further positions once production begins.

Renascor managing director David Christensen said Siviour was already one of the largest graphite deposits in the world.

“The current mineral resource offering (has) the potential to produce up to 150,000 tonnes of graphite flake concentrates per year in a staged development over a 40-year mine life,” he said in the ASX announcement yesterday.

“The agreement announced today helps further secure the project’s long-term future as a Tier 1 graphite project capable of significant growth to respond to the increasing demand for Purified Spherical Graphite for lithium-ion batteries.”

Adelaide-based Renascor struck a non-binding deal with major Korean lithium-ion battery materials purchaser POSCO in August last year.

The Siviour Project was then given major project status by the federal government in September.

The announcements were among a number of positive moves for the listed company in 2021, which helped propel its share price from just $0.01 in January last year to $0.17 at the end of the year.

A volatile share market in the past few months has seen its share price slip back a little to $0.15 this morning, giving it a market capitalisation of about $323 million.
 
focusing on Lithium: Core provides exploration activities update
Highlights
• +40,000m RC drilling program underway
• Pipeline of existing and new targets at Finniss to be tested

Up 8% today; will it push past earlier high?
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CXO travelling upwards rapidly, may see a bit of a correction but tending to think it is headed for at least 1.81 in the near future if the software calculations are correct.

Where to when it starts really producing will be another story. I do hold and likely will continue to :xyxthumbs

(click to expand)
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As with PLS and AKE, CXO about to hit an inflection point, or resistance level. Lithium producers or near producers is where you want to be in my opinion.
Three weeks until earnings report.
 

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As with PLS and AKE, CXO about to hit an inflection point, or resistance level. Lithium producers or near producers is where you want to be in my opinion.
Three weeks until earnings report.

Yes, and if State Street are involved its going to get massively shorted between the run up and the earnings/production report as in the case of CXO at the moment.

(They also control the behaviour of LKE, PNV, EVN etc. Be cautious on stocks that are hitting new highs and expecting good outcomes if they are a large shareholder. It does create buying opportunities if you get the timing right. :2twocents )

Go through this list and you will see where they appear...
 
Its fallen through the 50day to the 200day ma in just three sessions...
and its nowhere near the short cover on say, LKE.
Above average volume by lunchtime.
 
Good morning
CXO: trading halt while the company undertakes a material capital raising comprising an institutional placement.

Trading halt remain in place until an announcement about the placement or the start of normal trading on 4 October.
Not Holding

Have a very nice weekend.

Kind regards
rcw1
 
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