CVI - CVI Energy Corporation

[Trader Paul]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation



Hi folks,

CVI ... as requested, some near-term time cycle analysis !~!

21072008 ... positive news expected here

So, if the expected news is positive, then the price action
around the 17-18072008 (and even early 21072008)
will likely be a low.

More later.

have a great day

paul



=====

 

[CVI-investor]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

Thanks for that TP

I can understand MS was invited by Rio Tinto
to give a presentation re CVI operations / progress in Angola
at the head office in London on Thursday.

Cheers to all CVI long term holders

Please note: I have a bullish sentiment toward CVI and a vested interest as a Top 20 holder. None of my post are to be taken as independent, impartial or as investment advice. Please do your own research.

 

[123enen]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

Rio Tinto now.

Is that the latest unsubstantiated jungle drum waffle .

Last year it was BHP and Oxiana and the Chinese. Now Rio Tinto

We hear that MS told the Chinese to get serious and buy 20 million shares on market first. I wonder if he said the same thing to Rio now ( and BHP and Oxiana)

Between the 4 of them that would be 80 Million shares but they didnt oblige.
Instead he gave them to Global. HAhahaha

That has to be ramp of the week!!!!

 

[CVI-investor]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

21072008 ... positive news expected here

Sounds good Paul. Not sure about the news expected tomorrow. However, as a long term CVI investor, I am looking forward to the day when the Angolan oil leases are signed, sealed and delivered -> that should clearly increase the investor confidence level. In context of investor confidence.. CVI Top 20 -
any dramatic changes here? Sell out? Accumulation?

The interest from Rio, ?BHPB, ?Oxiana, ?Chinese.. clearly demonstrates that CVI must be on the radar screen of some of the majors. With the massive potential in Angola that should not be surprising to the intelligent investors.
What did Jim Rogers point out: ..."low hanging fruit"?

Clearly, the Global deal was not a marriage made in heaven for CVI holders.
However, the deal provided much needed cash, and with MS in USA for the next 10 days let us hope for some interest from the instos... Good luck Mark!!

No doubt, the current share price (last 11.5c) is rather disappointing.
Nevertheless, for me it is what it will be worth in a year or two from now that is important. With a very good job and much outdoor activity I am not desperate for a quick fix

Cheers!

Please note: I have a bullish sentiment toward CVI and a vested interest as a Top 20 holder. None of my post are to be taken as independent, impartial or as investment advice. Please do your own research.

 

[dascore]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

Here is an updated Delta Cycle analysis chart of CVI that has been helpful in timing the swings and cycles of the stock.

As can be seen from the chart, the delta cycle lines very often fall exactly on the same day or plus minus one day from the pivot where there had been a turning point.

Last Friday 18th July, was a time day when the blue delta cycle line occurred so that we have some element of optimism that 21st July 2008, Monday may be the day for a pivot swing up.

Also, signs of positive divergence have occurred between price and the stochrsi indicator as shown.

May the best prices be yours.

I am NOT a financial advisor and my post is purely educational and for entertainment purposes only. It is not suitable for trading. Consult your licensed broker or investment advisor if you wish to trade. DYOR!

 

[dascore]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

For those interested in CVI and following the price movement on its delta cycle time day, here's an updated chart which is self explanatory to throw more light on what it is doing today.

Hint: Whenever the cycle trendline ( 2nd window ) cuts the zero degrees horizontal line, prices always move up - only in varying degrees - but up.

Will it cut tomorrow or will it turn recalcitrant and moves away?

 

[dascore]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

Hi guys,

One last update to the CVI chart at end of today's trade- 22nd July 2008.

Despite the price moving no where, we find a bright candle formed when price moved up to close unchanged at 0.115 cents. This resulted in a positive cutting of the cycle trendline as shown in the chart.

In the past, whenever such a positive cutting is seen, prices will improve over a period of 3 to 10 days - shortest 3 days and longest 10 days.

Will it follow the same pattern as in the past? Will the continued drop in the Dow impact upon the expected improvement?

Let us continue to see what will happen, but as it is, we have technically sighted a positive signal today that has traditionally led to improved prices.

May the best trades be yours.

 

[JTLP]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

Hi guys,

One last update to the CVI chart at end of today's trade- 22nd July 2008.

Despite the price moving no where, we find a bright candle formed when price moved up to close unchanged at 0.115 cents. This resulted in a positive cutting of the cycle trendline as shown in the chart.

In the past, whenever such a positive cutting is seen, prices will improve over a period of 3 to 10 days - shortest 3 days and longest 10 days.

Will it follow the same pattern as in the past? Will the continued drop in the Dow impact upon the expected improvement?

Let us continue to see what will happen, but as it is, we have technically sighted a positive signal today that has traditionally led to improved prices.

May the best trades be yours.

Hi Dascore...what exactly are we looking for here for an increase in price? A lot more volume?

How accurate are these charts you have posted?

Thanks

JTLP

 

[dascore]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

Hi JTLP,

In charting the CVI in this way, I am only trying to uncover the price movement in a more discernible way-as you can see there is no volume charting involved.

Rather than adding or subtracting to the chart, it is best for the trader or investor to look at what the price did everytime in the past the cycles trendline did a positive cutting upwards at the zero degrees horizontal line and make his own deductions. If you study the charts, it is possible for you to make some reasonable conclusions on what the price did after the cutting.

The question of accuracy of charting versus fundamental analysis has been a long drawn question and had always attracted controversy. There is NO predicting ability in my charts - they serve to depict the historical performance in a clear discernible way only. However, by plotting the cycles of the stock in this way, I'm trying to separate the stock price movements into its two main dominant components - the trending phase and the cyclic phase and put them on chart. It is because if we can identify the cycle, we can know where we are within the cycle and thus make some educated guess as to what may come thereafter to complete the cycle. In the same way, we know when the stock has started to move into a trend or is trendless or moving with harmonics.

I have people who are not convinced with charts at all who tell me that charts, such as the one I've shown above, are nonsense and a complete waste of time and utter rubbish. At the same time, there are some traders who have seen the same charts and have, together with their own trading strategies, found them profitable and so are of the definite opinion that these charts are "gold".

So these charts are rubbish and gold at the same time...

As for myself, for each stock that I subject to such chart analysis, I do a backward test and forward test for in sample data and also perform an out of sample data test to know how accurate the chart has been in the past and to know whether the cycle analysis is working or not in out of sample data as well.

Hope this helps. May the best prices be yours.Cheers.

 

[JTLP]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

Ahh k thanks Dascore I thought the grey bars below the price movements were volume...eh!

Well I don't see the CVI faithful singing the praises of the "Caplin Report" or the "1.1 Billion Dollar Finance"...all I see is everybody dodging the fact that this is now sitting at 10 cents.

How can a company who supposedly have so many deals to sign off be lingering at this price? Surely the hype/pump + dump etc would have propelled it to mid/late teens.

Low hanging fruit? I think they need it mashed up and spoon fed to them before this puppy moves.

 

[hangseng]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

Watch alert.

Short covering seems to be in progress with CVI now after the prolonged and deliberate sell down. Has bounced back sharply to 10.5 after going down to 9.9.

 

[beerzy]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

I gave up on CVI as they had massive plans at the top but did not have the indians doing the ground work - Thus share price is still languishing. However if they can get the work going in Ghana then they will be st for life and so will be us.
What do you guys and girls think?

 

[beerzy]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

Sorry, meant Angola in the last post - got me shares mixes up.
But really I bought at 10 cents and sold at 14.5 cents so I didn't get the full profit from them. I am wary of management getting huge lines of credit and dealing with unstable Govts

 

[CVI-investor]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

MPLA very confident of victory

Angola: Test of Lasting Peace - Campaigning Begins

Luanda

Angola may not have had an election for 16 years, but it certainly knows how to campaign.

Flags and posters adorn cars and taxis across the city and people of all ages are proudly wearing t-shirts and caps showing their party colours.

The campaigning period kicked off on this week ahead of the September 5 poll and there are rallies, conferences and leaflet drops going on in every town across the country.

Ten parties and four coalitions of a further 24 parties are in the running, but the majority of votes are expected to go to the ruling MPLA (Popular Movement for Liberation of Angola) and its old civil war enemy UNITA (Union for the Total Independence of Angola).

The other smaller parties hoping to claim some of the 220 National Assembly seats up for grabs include PRS (Party of Social Renovation), FPD (Democratic Front) and FNLA (National Front for the Liberation of Angola).

The MPLA is however very confident of victory.

Its campaign is slick and organised and it has bottomless funding thanks to the booming state-owned oil and diamond companies.

Campaign co-ordinator Rui Luis Falção Pinto de Andrade, whose official job title is director of information and propaganda, said: "We have three million members, we are the biggest political party in the world."

Defending criticism of his party's government for not doing more to develop Angola since the end of the war in 2002, he said: "The Angolan people are conscious that we were more than 30 years in war and we've only had six years of peace, but in six years of peace we have done many things.

"Our people recognise this and more than that, our people recognise that the MPLA is the only party that can lead into the future."

Questioned about Angola's high levels of poverty and problems, Falção shrugged and said this was a case of demographics and every country had poverty, even places like the United Kingdom.

By contrast however, UNITA leader Isais Samakuva opened his campaign declaring that Angola's biggest problems were social exclusion, poverty, unemployment, the education system and corruption.

"It's true our economy is growing, but it's growing badly," he said. "More than 90 percent of the nation's wealth is stolen by the state and is concentrated on less than 0.5 percent of the population of around 18 million."

Despite their different approaches to solving Angola's problems, one thing that unites all parties is the fear of another war.

The memory of the renewed fighting sparked by the 1992 elections is still fresh in many people's minds and with recent events in Zimbabwe and Kenya, everyone, regardless of their political affiliation, knows Angola needs to work hard to prove it can have a peaceful election.

In an address to the nation on state radio on the eve of the campaign, President Jose Eduardo Dos Santos called on his people to respect each other and asked that the only weapons used were those of words and debate.

Luisa Morgantini, head of the European Union observation mission which arrived in Luanda this week, praised Dos Santos and the other political leaders for their "language of tolerance" but said of course the election would be a challenge for the country.

She referred to the "trauma of the 1992 election" and said she hoped everyone would look forward from that and ensure the poll was peaceful.

There will be more than 100 observers visiting communities and polling stations around the country in the coming weeks and of course on September 5 itself.

So far there have only been reports of isolated low-level intimidation -- including death threats and some flag burning -- in some more remote provinces.

And according to many, this is as extreme as the violence is likely to become.

One Western diplomat said: "There are some local tensions, but these are isolated and localised, we're not talking about organised intimidation campaigns. There is no indication this is happening.

Although they added: "Intimidation can be subtle too -- vote MPLA and avoid another war is something a lot of people feel and say."

Inter Press Service (Johannesburg)
Posted to the web 9 August 2008
Louise Redvers
_________________
Please note: I have a bullish sentiment toward CVI and a vested interest as a Top 20 holder. None of my post are to be taken as independent, impartial or as investment advice. Please do your own research.

 

[bliimp]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

Haven’t been following CVI lately, but could not help but notice an announcement on August 8 :-

CityView Corporation Limited (“CityView”) is pleased to advise that it has entered into an agreement with ENDITRADE for the development of transportation and supply logistic services for support of the Angolan mining industry

So CVI is now becoming :-
1. A Miner
2. An Oil Refiner
3. And now, a Transportation and Logistics Company

They are taking VERTICAL INTEGRATION to its purest and ultimate definition.

And all this is being done with minimal cash reserves (just yesterday, there was another Appendix 3B share placement to raise $200k)!

And all this is being done almost single handedly by the near 70 year old CEO Mark Smythe!

If this whole CVI thing can be pulled off it will indeed be a candidate for the Greatest Houdini act of the 21st Century!!!

Jeez … Good Luck to all true believers and long term holders!!!

 

[skiper]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

Global OWE CVI $1m and are a little late playing..........Fact,mentioned in last ann.

This is about to go OFF BIG TIME with elections 5/9

Looking the goods IMO with 2nd last ann.

In bed with the Angolans in a big way



................:alcohol::band:kebab...............................

 

[JTLP]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

Yep...CVI is firing in a big way today. WHAT AN ANN!

LOL these guys are the biggest wanna, gunna, about ta in the history of the ASX.

Seriously shonky company...Pensandor looks to be falling through now as well. Do they ever want to announce anything in concrete it seriously does my head in.

And now they want to bear a massive amount of debt...where is this magical money coming from? What happened to the 1.1 billion funding? LOLSAGNA all the way to LOLLYWOOD

CVI is possibly the worst punt I took a shot at. Should never have tried my luck on the pie in the sky predictions. Ahh well lesson learnt.

 

[fordxbt]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

c`mon now..
i hear next their going to build their own line of autobots and escape to planet pixar
it all adds up, mining for the construction of the bots, oil for the fuel & transporation logistics for the deep outerspace travel

 

[CVI-investor]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

Mark Smyth now in China

Ni hao!

I can understand Mark Smyth is here in China at the moment

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Observers Praise Electoral Process

Cubal, Benguela, – The international observers for the electoral process in Angola, Tuesday in Cubal locality, 140 km off Benguela city, southern province, voiced satisfaction at the progress of the process in that locality, which they said is "running smoothly".

This was disclosed by Sten Gurrik and Hildegard Sche, the two European Union (EU) observers for electoral mission, soon after the separate audiences granted by the district administrator, Veríssimo Sapalo and by the director of Electoral Office, Pedro Benguela.

Sten Gurrik praised the transparency of all the process, ranging from electoral registration, register of potential voters, the campaign involving the political party candidates for legislative elections, without complaint being recorded by the political parties, which would endanger the normal functioning of the process.

“Being these and other procedures carried out by all concerned parties in this process, we can conclude that the ongoing preparations leading to the holding of transparent, fair and free elections are in good track”, stressed the observer.

Sten Gurrik and Hildegard Scheu will stay in Benguela city, to follow up the electoral process in full and assessing the accomplishment, in the light of the international standards applied to democratic elections, of the laws and the regulations of the Republic of Angola, in the districts of Ganda, Caimbambo, Chongoroi and Cubal.

The observer expressed interest in contacting with the ruling MPLA party and the main opposition Unita to enquire the matters related to the elections and at the moment the country’s life.

Cheers!
_________________
Please note: I have a bullish sentiment toward CVI and a vested interest as a Top 20 holder. None of my post are to be taken as independent, impartial or as investment advice. Please do your own research.

 

[canny]

Re: CVI - Cityview Corporation

Little updated fundamental here - but with Angolan Elctions to be held next week, which has been noted as a critical turning point, we may expect to start hearing about oil leases within a short while of elections imo (maybe a month?)...
Meantime, there is obviously going to be the constant flow of other things happening.

Hope we're nearly in the centre of the maze now.....