Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

CSR - CSR Limited

Jump to new
CSR gapped up today. Has apparently made a swing low before hitting the bottom of the envisaged channel. From livewire today:
  • CSR Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT A$6.45

big (37).gif
 
finicky said:
CSR gapped up today. Has apparently made a swing low before hitting the bottom of the envisaged channel. From livewire today:
  • CSR Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT A$6.45

View attachment 163762
Click to expand...
since CSR is mainly involved in building materials , i would have thought 'hold' at best maybe they expect more renovations and extensions but would that replace the downturn in new constructions ?



( i hold and participate in the DRP )
 
divs4ever said:
since CSR is mainly involved in building materials , i would have thought 'hold' at best maybe they expect more renovations and extensions but would that replace the downturn in new constructions ?



( i hold and participate in the DRP )
Click to expand...
There is probably a lot of faith being placed in an earnings boost from the Govt social housing plan.
 
sptrawler said:
There is probably a lot of faith being placed in an earnings boost from the Govt social housing plan.
Click to expand...
It on my watchlist. Interested if price is a bit lower. Buy to hold for buildings upturn in near future.
Good job Divs for holding with DRP, lots of patience is needed.
 
Rabbithop said:
It on my watchlist. Interested if price is a bit lower. Buy to hold for buildings upturn in near future.
Good job Divs for holding with DRP, lots of patience is needed.
Click to expand...

my last CSR buy was in July 2012 at a little under $1.29 ( including brokerage )

this has been one where the patience has been rewarded ( that isn't always the case in other companies )
 
Record Building Products result reflects strong execution alongside continued investment for diversification and growth

CSR Limited (ASX:CSR) announces net profit after tax (NPAT before significant items) for the half year ended 30 September 2023 of $94 million, down 15% from $110 million in the previous corresponding period.
Strong growth in Building Products was offset by a lower contribution from Property and Aluminium, with $44 million of property earnings already contracted for the second half and Aluminium earnings impacted by cost volatility, particularly energy costs.
Earnings in the previous corresponding period (pcp) included $28 million from Property settlements and a $16 million RERT1 payment in the Aluminium business. Statutory net profit after tax was $92 million compared to $104 million in the pcp.
Trading revenue of $1.4 billion was up 5% with earnings before interest and tax (EBIT before significant items) of $126 million which included the following results:
• Building Products: Record EBIT of $165 million, up 18% on pcp reflecting price discipline as well as volume growth in Gyprock, Hebel and Bradford. Improved factory efficiency and operational performance supported the strong result with EBIT margin improving 100 basis points to 16% and return on funds employed increasing to 31% from 28%.
• Property: EBIT of -$1.5 million, with no material transactions in the half, compared to $28 million of property transactions which settled in the pcp. $44 million of Horsley Park, NSW earnings are contracted for the second half of this financial year.
• Aluminium: EBIT of -$24 million, down from $17 million in pcp (which included a RERT payment of $16 million) with significantly higher energy and coal pass-through costs, and raw material costs remaining volatile at elevated levels.

Fully franked interim dividend of 15 cents per share declared which, on a half year basis, sits at the high end of CSR’s policy to distribute 60-80% of net profit after tax (before significant items).

Continued strong performance across the CSR Group Commenting on the result, CSR Managing Director & CEO Julie Coates said, “CSR’s core Building Products business has performed well with record first half earnings as the team executed to capture the positive market opportunity and offset inflationary pressures.
The group result was impacted by input cost volatility in our Aluminium business and timing of Property earnings with $44 million contracted to settle in the second half.”
“In Building Products, our performance reflected strong pricing discipline as well as volume growth across Gyprock, Hebel and Bradford which was supported by improved factory efficiency and operational performance.
Our strategy has good momentum and is helping to drive improved business performance and responsiveness as well as better sustainability outcomes.
We continue to progress execution of our supply chain initiatives with our transport management system being rolled out across sites for customer deliveries.
“The detached residential pipeline is still 50% above historical averages, and while completions are now marginally higher than commencements, lead indicators suggest the stabilisation of approvals.
The pipeline is anticipated to support near term activity, while population growth from net overseas migration will generate housing demand and significant federal and state government housing programs should bolster supply in the medium term. “Importantly, our high-quality products and brands serve diversified end markets and are adaptable to changing demand.
Close to 80% of our earnings are derived from products with applications across multiple building segments, and the acquisition of Woven Image and staged investment in our Martini Villawood manufacturing facility will support continued growth in the non-residential market. “Our strong balance sheet and disciplined approach to capital allocation positions CSR well to continue to invest in the business and deliver healthy shareholder returns.”

Outlook for the second half of financial year ending 31 March 2024 (YEM24)
Building Products CSR has made a pleasing start to the second half with focused execution into end markets and ongoing discipline to deliver performance and strategic initiatives.
The pipeline of detached housing projects under construction sustained at ~50% above historical averages, the multi-residential pipeline represents two to three years’ work, and nonresidential activity is supported by a large pipeline of approvals.
CSR is closely monitoring the factors influencing market dynamics and will manage the business accordingly. The business is well diversified across brands, market segments and the build process with a product portfolio that is adaptable to end market demand. Investments in manufacturing performance, plant consolidation, supply chain and customer solutions have improved manufacturing productivity, the variability of the cost base and responsiveness to customer demand.
CSR’s strategy is focused on providing a platform for growth and resilience to deliver improved performance through the cycle.

Property In Property, YEM24 will include $44 million in contracted earnings for the next tranche at Horsley Park, NSW with an additional $58 million in contracted earnings in YEM25.
The sale process for the Darra, QLD site is continuing, and work is ongoing for major projects at Schofields, NSW and Badgerys Creek, NSW.
Aluminium Energy and raw materials cost volatility has necessitated a revision to our forecasts.
While this volatility continues to make forecasting challenging, the best estimate for YEM24 is a loss in the range of -$15 million to -$30 million (excluding net RERT income, which was $13 million in YEM23).
The implied improvement in the second half reflects the expected realisation of lower coke raw material costs.
Aluminium is still expected to return to profit in YEM25 with earnings increasing further in the following years due to higher hedged aluminium pricing and lower raw material costs.

Half year results webcast details CSR will present its results for the half year ended 30 September 2023 at 10.00am AEDT today, Thursday 2 November 2023, via webcast.



The webcast is available from CSR’s website at www.csr.com.au or click here.


( i hold and participate in the DRP )
 
I will note with CSR that the building products division is a very high quality business, the property development business is a decent business but with returns on capital being not as high as building products. The property development is still a worthwhile business for them. The aluminum business is a low quality business that is holding them back. Yes sometimes it does have a good year but on a through the cycle basis the aluminium business generates low returns on capital.
 
finicky said:
CSR @ 5.93

Chart's doing better than I suspected although what I'm seeing as a hurdle at around 6.50 yet to be challenged.

Not Held

From livewire:
www.livewiremarkets.com

Buy Hold Sell: 5 crackers for Christmas and beyond

In this episode, Firetrail's Eleanor Swan and IML's Simon Conn analyse five stocks investors could buy now and hold throughout 2024.
www.livewiremarkets.com www.livewiremarkets.com

View attachment 166988
View attachment 166989
Click to expand...
remember CSR used to be a sugar refiner that found a use for sugar-cane waste , and changed the entire business path , it then spun-out Rinker , where to next ??

will it keep trying to reduce costs in the aluminum arm or divest it ( it tried automotive glass , and that ended badly )

am a little surprised they didn't move into solar panel technology ( to reduce internal energy costs and as a manufacturing product )

i think i will keep CSR parked in that bottom drawer ( i haven't bought any since mid 2012 )
 
CSR had a strong week, up about 9%.

Most divie stocks that I follow had a couple of good days after JPow's speech, but CSR started a day earlier.
It's got that "someone knows something" feel to it, anyway...

They have potentially meaningful latent value in their property portfolio, currently valued as is at $1.5B and to be revalued in 2024.

Last 1/2 property was a loss, this 1/2 looking like $44m earnings from property(from their 2/11/23 results presentation) and a pipeline of development.

The presentation showed they are pro-active with dealing with inflation and the ESG gods.

It's difficult finding decent companies on the ASX that don't just dig stuff up.

Comfortable hold for me.
 
houtman said:
CSR had a strong week, up about 9%.

Most divie stocks that I follow had a couple of good days after JPow's speech, but CSR started a day earlier.
It's got that "someone knows something" feel to it, anyway...

They have potentially meaningful latent value in their property portfolio, currently valued as is at $1.5B and to be revalued in 2024.

Last 1/2 property was a loss, this 1/2 looking like $44m earnings from property(from their 2/11/23 results presentation) and a pipeline of development.

The presentation showed they are pro-active with dealing with inflation and the ESG gods.

It's difficult finding decent companies on the ASX that don't just dig stuff up.

Comfortable hold for me.
Click to expand...
a lot of disincentive to do more than dig and ship ( overseas )

LYC saw that and set up the processing plant in Malaysia .. and the saga still continues

plenty of moving parts in CSR am wondering what they do next divest something , buy something ( RIO is trying to back away from aluminum/bauxite for example )

( i hold CSR , it has been in the family since they were sugar refiners )
 
Excellent week for CSR with a brace of positive days. Finished close enough to its weekly high making a large white weekly candle. Volume for the week only modestly higher than average. It's going much better than I expected at this level and I imagine the next week or two will be telling. Showing no weakness so far.

It's certainly not expensive if you consider just the last two years but the higher profitability for those is not typical of the last 10 years. But even taking a median ROE of 15% over the decade looks ok against the current price imo.

DAILY
big (97).gif
 
Broker downgrades - could be a positive sign.
Not Held

  • CSR (CSR)
    • Downgraded to sell from buy at UBS; Price Target: $6.60 from $6.50
    • Retained at neutral at Jarden; Price Target: $6.60 from $6.00
    • Retained at neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $6.60
    • Downgraded to sell from underperform at CLSA; Price Target: $6.20 from $5.80
DAILY
big (26).gif
 
finicky said:
Broker downgrades - could be a positive sign.
Not Held

  • CSR (CSR)
    • Downgraded to sell from buy at UBS; Price Target: $6.60 from $6.50
    • Retained at neutral at Jarden; Price Target: $6.60 from $6.00
    • Retained at neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $6.60
    • Downgraded to sell from underperform at CLSA; Price Target: $6.20 from $5.80
DAILY
View attachment 170385
Click to expand...

One more analyst opinion:

CSR cut to Hold; $6.90 target: Morgans Financial

EDIT: not holding
 
rcw1 said:
One more analyst opinion:

CSR cut to Hold; $6.90 target: Morgans Financial

EDIT: not holding
Click to expand...
well at $6 ( plus ) it does seem to be over-priced , but not ridiculously so

i see headwinds for CSR but not a series of tsunamis

but .... this could be a softening up for a take-over predator ( that has happened before elsewhere )

i hold CSR ( 'free-carried' )

am surprised this share isn't considered a bell-wether to the construction industry ( bricks , internal sheeting , windows/aluminum fittings )
 
divs4ever said:
well at $6 ( plus ) it does seem to be over-priced , but not ridiculously so

i see headwinds for CSR but not a series of tsunamis

but .... this could be a softening up for a take-over predator ( that has happened before elsewhere )

i hold CSR ( 'free-carried' )

am surprised this share isn't considered a bell-wether to the construction industry ( bricks , internal sheeting , windows/aluminum fittings )
Click to expand...
Tuesdays Horsley Park announcement indicates EBIT of $91m for the property division compared to last year $71m.

However it is the Aluminum business that is a concern over the next 12/24 months.,

CSR's forecast is a loss of 15-$30m for the ali division this FY compared to 2023.
 
cheers !

a take-over offer "" , only other thing i can think of is an acquisition ( and probable cap. raise )
 

Similar threads

Dona Ferentes
PCX - Pengana Global Private Credit Trust
Replies
15
Views
2K
Dona Ferentes
Dona Ferentes
S
What could be safer than writing a covered call?
Replies
15
Views
2K
Santafe
S
W
Global share price data
Replies
0
Views
492
wmorton
W
greggles
Central Bank Digital Currencies: CBDC
2
Replies
30
Views
3K
Captain_Chaza
Captain_Chaza
A
Long term plan to invest in a few ETFs
Replies
13
Views
2K
Value Collector
Value Collector
Top