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CKF - Collins Foods

I'll mark up the Chart when I get a chance hopefully it will help.
 
I'll mark up the Chart when I get a chance hopefully it will help.
Thanks, John I would be interested to see your take.

Now another new trick with volumes I worked out and you confirmed is a volume spike at either a top or bottom which can indicate a reversal in the price. I am seeing just such a spike at the bottom of the recent fall testing $11.

 
The volume Spike is a massive sell off so should be seen as resistance not support
I know we chart differently from each other but I see a support line as any 'proven' line where the price sits above said support line. All or most horizontal support lines behave over their lifetime as either support or resistance, it all depends where the price sits. Currently, the $11.47 would be regarded as a support line, should the price fall below the $11.47 line, then I would regard it as a 'resistance' line and would expect further falls. The rising trendline is currently acting as a resistance line as the price is under the rising support line.

 
The old support at $11.47 has been broken when the price traded as low as $10.80.
It could be argued that old support at $10.80 has held. $11.47 has no relevance.
 
Well look at this.
Here we have two posters who ,to those of us who don't understand the dark arts of charting, give a pretty good impression of knowing what they are talking about.
Despite having pretty much diametrically opposed views on the subject, they are polite and respectfull of the other persons views.
No derogatory name calling, do perjorative labelling, no histrionics.
Perhaps the rest of us on ASF might take a leaf out of their respective books.
Just sayin.
Mick
 
Another good annual report out for CKF, driven by big increases in European division.
Revenue up11%, operating cash flow up from 128mil to 156 mil., dividen up from 1 to 15 cps.
In this environment, more than happy with it.
Market seemed to agree, up over 20% today.
Good long term hold this one.
Mick
 
And todays result is the complete reverse.
Sales were up 15%, but there was also big increases in costs - wages, transport, energy.
The killer was the reduction in profit, NPAT down 14%, but a half of of this was due to write downs on taco bell assets.
Net cash was down 3.2 million, but net debt was decreased by 6 million.
Dividend maintained at 12 CPS.
Market not happy, SP down 20%.
This is a long term hold for me, so will hoover up some more.
Mick
 
CKF ex dividend on the 5th Dec (next Monday) 12 cents fully franked. I bought yesterday. Just break even at this price, so will hold, watch, and decide tomorrow
 
CKF hit another 52 week low.
Now has fallen nearly 50% from the highs at the start of the year.
The market has spoken, but I think the risk/reward has now turned more towards the reward side.
I am still happy with this one, the queues at KFC dod not seem to be diminishing.
Will not top up until it either displays a turn around in price or gets a newer low approaching the next dividend.
Mick
 
Had a look.
PE ratio of 16, yield about 3.6%, taco bell growth plans in trouble.

On the plus side, you would expect management to concentrate on the small stuff and increase profitability over next 2 years.

Getting interesting , still, with higher interest rates I would like a lower price to buy in. Put on my watch list.
 
From Inghams thread, quite pertinent here also, if not more so.

 
Collins Food and Elders took a big dive a fortnight apart a couple of months back. The former heads north, the other yet to catch up.
 
CKF annual report makes for some sober reading.
Sales revenue up 1% tops 1 billion for the first time and a 15 CPS dividend are the good parts
Now for the bad parts.
Despite the increase in sales, net cash flow down 8%.
Profit down 70% after taco bell writedowns.
Net debt up 40 mill.
Inflationary pressures have cut margins, and although the first few months of 2023 have shown further increases in sales, those inflationary pressures have not gone away.
Life will contunue to be tough for CKF.
However, will buy in if price gets below $7.
Mick
 
Well, the market seemed to receive it quite well.
Up10% on the open, which rather puts a bit of a downer on my buying below $7.
Mick
 
Not a lot written about CKF.
After reaching highs of 12.45 at the beginning of the year , its been pretty much in a downward trend since.


The latest news out about a decline in Chicken sales are not going to help.
From Evil Murdoch Press
Looks like things will not get any better for a while.
Mick
 
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