So_Cynical
The Contrarian Averager
- Joined
- 31 August 2007
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.....exactly, and this is what has blinded me for so many years to the secret of trading with volume spikes John. I also have looked into the spikes to see if they are buyers or sellers. When identified as sellers I have taken no further notice or worse, sold a stock with that knowledge, often to see it rise with me left at the curb looking dumb faced. I am still working on this but I can see a degree of logic behind what I am thinking.The volume Spike is a massive sell off so should be seen as resistance not support
This old dog has learned a new trick. I always thought trading using volumes was a wank but I have seen something I have never noticed before. Where there is a huge volume spike you draw a line from the EOD (end of day) price level and that becomes either a sturdy support or resistance horizontal. It can be used either as a signal to buy or a great level of stop-loss if the price fails the line.
It is not tea leaves as most of the market is automated by computer-generated trading software and this would be a logical level to program into a trading program as support or resistance. This is why I now understand why trading programs have a limited life span before they don't work anymore, or they did at one stage.
With share issues, splits, consolidations and all things that alter the price of a stock, these horizontal lines alter their position, I have seen this often on my charts when I have drawn lines either horizontal or trending, they completely move out of shape over the years. To use these lines on a permanent basis you need to check the volume spike/EOD price is still in the same position. I guess a good AI program could do this automatically. Bitcoin with its splits would suffer from this problem as well.
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