hi Peter thanks for the questions. i will see if i can work my way through them 1 at a time. please see my 4hr chart attached, sorry i am not good enough to re-markup yours. simple answer tho for this one. first 5 yellow bars you have marked on the chart as impulse waves -no trade. if you look at my chart i have labelled these as 1-2-3-4-5and V. Five waves of an ending diagonal , overlapping and horrible to try and trade. very often i find this pattern for a 5th wave on forex. you will see i also marked previous wave III low and IV hi on the chart, have a look at the MACD through this wave III - V section this is a little helper for me, MACD usually makes its deepest move at bottom of a wave III, so once MACD starts to wane i am out i don't want to trade wave V.Looking at the last threes weeks of the AUDUSD (4hr chart). This is a very simplistic view of EW but this does outline the basic strategy. You look for an impulsive move (up or down) on a higher time frame then stalk your setup using the 15m chart. The waves won't be perfect, but are they good enough for you to use? OR are you good enough to use what the market provides?
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will although andy may have followed his general strategy last week and the week before it would be very fair to say he often deviated quite wildy from any "set plan"peter2 do you think andy didn't follow his strategy last week?
I want to channel your enthusiasm into the right questions. Here's another chart showing three impulsive swings.
Swing #1: Even I can see the abc here. Would you be stalking this at the right time with your 15m chart?
Swing #2: Stalking the PB, but price doesn't PB deep enough for your EW liking. What are you going to do in these situations? A shallow PB indicates a stronger trend for me, how about you? Are you going to trade the obvious BO when the PB's are shallow? You're stalking the chart. Are going to have a plan B?
Swing #3: You stalk your entry but get stopped out for a loss. Is your trading plan going to allow for a second attempt providing price doesn't PB much deeper?
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hi will i was just looking for you i presumed you had gone to work?I like the idea of using breakout and swing for entry and EW for conformation and determining the probability of success. Once your strategy is firmly in place taking the entry signals should be clicking the mouse, managing risk and next trade please.
While you are testing and playing andy you should reduce your risk size at least until your happy you are not creating errors (me factor) on top of the results you are expecting to achieve with your trading plan.i am just sitting here watching possible trade on gold i mentioned above. i am mentally stuffed have been writing testing playing trying to work out where i am , this is one way to keep me away from too much trading, is way harder than just doing it.
yyyyok just for kiks, back to longer terms charts when not much happening. and please nobody trade these just an object for study.
hourly chart shows tiring trend up - macd- and last 2 days action is very messy from an elliot wave perspective, this could go on slowly grinding upwards for days, it's gold, it could shoot up in 5 minutes, but just saying i am wary for now, looking for a bigger pullback of a couple of days, 1209 area be nice place to reload.
check last nights action running along bottom of trend channel, then broke below, and has just re-tested from underside,,,,,,
Congratulations on surviving your first week. And may I commend you on your courageous and generous sharing of your experiences.ok that was a bit...
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next weeks goal, 25 trades , proper preparation before beginning each session and trade the plan ..... which is not yet finished, i will try add to that in a bit.
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