Gday RoN. Personally I dont use the 40 day SMA, but this does not mean that it is not a valid indicator. I tend to look at the lesser 15 day EMA for picking short term trends in a stock. Ie, if its trending up, the short term trend of the stock is generally up and vice versa. I find this EMA an excellent indicator to place stop losses, below or above. Personally I think the perfect time to have entered (FGL) was yesterday when it bounced off its short term trendline. Today was fine though because the stock trended up strongly all day, a clear intra day buy signal. It may have some resistance at around $6.70 being close to the 50% fibonacci level from the February downward movement.
I have set my stop at $6.40 below the uptrend line. Also there is a bit of positive divergence in the RSI with the corresponding April and May lows another positive signal. Remember RoN, dont worry about overanalysing stocks, because the entry is only a small part of the trade. It is how you manage it that will make you money. So use whatever indicators you feel works and mix and match and go with the stocks that feel right from the charts. Cheers, Lachie
I have set my stop at $6.40 below the uptrend line. Also there is a bit of positive divergence in the RSI with the corresponding April and May lows another positive signal. Remember RoN, dont worry about overanalysing stocks, because the entry is only a small part of the trade. It is how you manage it that will make you money. So use whatever indicators you feel works and mix and match and go with the stocks that feel right from the charts. Cheers, Lachie