AUT - Aurora Oil and Gas

Joe Blow · 1 August 2010

I would just like to clarify a couple of things here.

Firstly, I do not consider whether or not someone holds a stock to be relevant to their input into the various stock threads here at ASF. In fact, motivation is largely irrelevant as long as there is genuine analysis (of any kind) or pertinent information being posted. It's up to those reading the thread to decide whose analysis they agree with more.

Secondly, it takes many views to make a market. There is nothing wrong with being bullish or bearish on a stock as long as you can back up your assertions or present analysis to support your point of view. Personally, I think that threads where multiple points of view are presented tend to be the most useful as they provide different perpectives and a variety of avenues for further investigation.

I would also like to point out that the role of myself and the moderators in stock threads is not to decide whose analysis is correct and interfere in the thread on that basis. Our role is to enforce the site rules and make sure everyone behaves themselves. If you can demonstrate that someone is deliberately posting false or misleading content then by all means let us know about it. Otherwise, it is our job to stay on the sidelines. We do not take sides in disputes and everyone is judged by the same set of rules.

Kremmen · 1 August 2010

condog said:
Kremmen, i get what your saying, but this is always a forseeable proposition in SPP's imo in the ones ive been involved with.

This depends on the structure, though. EKA's rights offers have all been able to be subscribed to 100% by all holders. I've been involved in other capital raisings in the past which were structured more similarly to AUT's, but didn't cap the amount or allowed over-subscriptions.

5haretrader · 1 August 2010

condog said:
Good by all....

Sad story if he's serious. Given that condog sparked up alot of the discussion on this forum before AUT really took off it's a shame that he has become so inclined to leave this interesting discussion because I feel the best of AUT is yet to come.

mir · 1 August 2010

nioka
The AUT management are well aware of the value of our acreages and I'm as sure as i can be that what happened to ADI won't be happening to AUT.

tonudiki · 1 August 2010

5haretrader said:
Sad story if he's serious. Given that condog sparked up alot of the discussion on this forum before AUT really took off it's a shame that he has become so inclined to leave this interesting discussion because I feel the best of AUT is yet to come.

Hey Condog, I hope you will change your mind and keep on posting here. Your posts have been very encouraging and informative for a holder of AUT like myself and you have provided very good responses to what IMHO have usually been unduly pessimistic views from some other posters.

I am sure that the majority of the actual HOLDERS of AUT shares who read this board would like you to stay, otherwise the pessimistic view could prevail.

Kremmen · 1 August 2010

nunthewiser said:
lis it because i provide the other side to the stuff here that my comments are regarded as "low content" ?

No, it's because you just say the same thing over and over and over again without providing anything new. You've made a few interesting posts and then said the same thing umpteen times. It's just plain tedious. Plus, it encourages others to either re-state their position (likewise, tedious -- likewise, reducing content!) or to leave.

Such behaviour is annoying and destructive.

nunthewiser · 1 August 2010

Kremmen said:
No, it's because you just say the same thing over and over and over again without providing anything new. You've made a few interesting posts and then said the same thing umpteen times. It's just plain tedious. Plus, it encourages others to either re-state their position (likewise, tedious -- likewise, reducing content!) or to leave.

Such behaviour is annoying and destructive.

sorry , i was just trying to provide a balanced view in this thread

I was asked to provide the analaysis i have been referring to, i provided it as it was said i had provided none during this thread.

yes it was tedious looking it back up and reposting it but it was in direct reference to the matter on which the poster was implying i had made none.

i have posted an up to date chart accompanied by my basic analysis on that chart a couple of posts ago.

it is currently in a trading range so there is no need to update every single bar , but once it breaks out (either way) i will be happy to provide analysis as it happens then.

Hopefully there will be no more of this round in circles rubbish and everyone can just move on forward presenting both sides of analysis ( for and against)

my apologies and i will only post here if the thread becomes unbalanced again.

two sides to every analysis and i was just posting the other side of the coin.

nulla nulla · 1 August 2010

condog said:
Good by all leaving asf for the other forum for good, sick to death of nuns rubbish and mods taking his side

Somehow I don't think this will be the last we hear from you Condog. Your enthuisiasm, devotion and seemingly blinkered ability to see the upside of any and all information available in respect of this share, makes it hard to believe you will abandon it now.
The cautious posts of nunthewiser and one or two others in contrast to the enthuisiatic posts of yourself and one or two others hardly seems a valid basis for packing your bags and running away.
Personaly I would prefer to see you stay as for each cautious post that has been made you have made several more posts, many of them loaded with direct and indirect information that impacts on the present and potential future value of this share.
The proof of the pudding of course as to whether now was/is the correct time for boldness or caution will be the test of time .

nioka · 2 August 2010

By AAP | 02.08.2010 07:16 AM

NYMEX

World oil prices climbed on Friday as investors shrugged off concerns that the US economic recovery could stall following a slower economic growth rate in the second quarter.

New York's main contract, light sweet crude for delivery in September, rose 59 cents to $US78.95 per barrel.

London's Brent North Sea crude for September also gained 59 cents to $US78.18 per barrel.

Prices fell below the $US77 level after the US government announced early on Friday that growth slowed dramatically to 2.4 per cent in the second quarter of this year, but the oil market recovered in line with Wall Street stocks.

The market performed generally well for the week given the big US inventory build and disappointing economic data, traders said.

BrightGreenGlow · 2 August 2010

AUT had been 3c up today and now back towards 1.5c up which is good. I take it that was from the quarterly report. Hopefully there will be a few more up days!.

Sdajii · 2 August 2010

BrightGreenGlow said:
AUT had been 3c up today and now back towards 1.5c up which is good. I take it that was from the quarterly report. Hopefully there will be a few more up days!.

I hope so! I doubled up at 82c last week. I was hoping to get in a bit lower, but it seemed clear it wasn't going to happen, and as it turns out my orders of 78 and 77c were too optimistic! (looks like you were right, Nioka, anyone hoping to jump in around the mid 70s is going to be disappointed by now!). The most aggressive part of the profit taking after the SPP should be over now (it wasn't aggressive enough for my liking! Hehe), so hopefully with that out of the way we can move up

nunthewiser · 2 August 2010

Lachlan6 said:
I came across AUT tonight and am very glad I did. Super chart, suggesting higher prices are on the horizon. These sideways accumulation patterns are very positive after a strong run higher. Buy order in at $0.85.

I take it you entered today?

As expected (as indicated on chart a couple of posts back) there was a bounce today.

Volumes markedly lower today from last few sessions on this bounce

From here is where it can get fruity .. will be expecting a sharp move either way from here sooner rather than later.

I will be waiting either side of this breakout ( up or down ) for my entry.

Previous targets given still stand, but no actual bias on which way i prefer.

Any of you fellas take the quick skim today or you in for the long haul
regardless?

Slipperz · 2 August 2010

nunthewiser said:
I take it you entered today?

As expected (as indicated on chart a couple of posts back) there was a bounce today.

Volumes markedly lower today from last few sessions on this bounce

From here is where it can get fruity .. will be expecting a sharp move either way from here sooner rather than later.

I will be waiting either side of this breakout ( up or down ) for my entry.

Previous targets given still stand, but no actual bias on which way i prefer.

Any of you fellas take the quick skim today or you in for the long haul
regardless?

LOL

Okay I'll fess up to a quick few grand and yet another exit.

Swung over to AZZ for the week to see what happens with their acreage deal.

It's the big players snapping up the acreages in the eagleford now cos they have the serious cash.

Probably a few of them casting an eye over AUT's results as well.

Interesting times!

Huitzii · 2 August 2010

I think that AUT has a much higher probability of breaking higher than breaking lower.
As you know the sellers have been controlling this for quite some time and we have held on quite well to stay above the 81.5 cent resistance.
Any day now we will see the reserves upgrade announcement and that will determine where this stock is going short term.
Hopefully now the dust has settled and we can see some good gains again.
I hold AUT and the next few weeks will determine if I will hold this one or just bail out for some quick bucks,I have no doubt in my mind that we will see some rises, it is yet to be seen how substantial they will be.
Always DOYR

nioka · 2 August 2010

Slipperz said:
LOL

Okay I'll fess up to a quick few grand and yet another exit.!

Not my choice of timing to be out of this stock. In my view there is more risk associated with being out than with being in. Capital gains tax will keep me holding most of mine for a few months yet anyway so it is an easy decision.

cmxd · 2 August 2010

condog said:
Good by all leaving asf for the other forum for good, sick to death of nuns rubbish and mods taking his side

Condog worked very hard to contribute for this thread, it doesn't matter it is mid night or early morning, he always keep posting to help others. I believe most of people in this thread will miss him if he left. When I first time entry this thread, I know nothing about AUT . I read every post that was from condog. I like his post with detailed information and analysis. It's really helpful. Condog, please go for a break and come back!

J&M · 3 August 2010

cmxd said:
Condog worked very hard to contribute for this thread, it doesn't matter it is mid night or early morning, he always keep posting to help others. I believe most of people in this thread will miss him if he left. When I first time entry this thread, I know nothing about AUT . I read every post that was from condog. I like his post with detailed information and analysis. It's really helpful. Condog, please go for a break and come back!

I agree I would have know nothing about Aut or Adi and Aaz without his posting
the constant company details
if your gone Gondog. Thanks for the in-depth details
I do hope you come back after taking a break
James

nioka · 3 August 2010

Extract from "the Bull" today,

"Oil stocks have to be one of the most unloved sectors in the markets today. The recent general-stock-market and oil corrections combined with the incredibly-negative psychology spawned by the BP oil spill have driven oil stocks down to deeply-oversold levels. This swoon has also left this sector very undervalued, a barren wasteland strewn with great bargains for investors."

Sdajii · 3 August 2010

Still no sign of that downward movement Still happily holding

nioka said:
Extract from "the Bull" today,

"Oil stocks have to be one of the most unloved sectors in the markets today. The recent general-stock-market and oil corrections combined with the incredibly-negative psychology spawned by the BP oil spill have driven oil stocks down to deeply-oversold levels. This swoon has also left this sector very undervalued, a barren wasteland strewn with great bargains for investors."

Why does that make you bang your head?

nioka · 3 August 2010

Sdajii said:
Why does that make you bang your head?

In frustration that investors dont see the whole picture, value oil higher and realise that peak oil is here or if not here then very close. The dearer it is then the longer it lasts and the faster the alternatives, including gas, will be developed.

AUT - Aurora Oil and Gas

Joe Blow

Administrator

Kremmen

5haretrader

mir

tonudiki

Kremmen

nunthewiser

nulla nulla

Positive Expectancy

nioka

BrightGreenGlow

Sdajii

Sdaji

nunthewiser

Slipperz

Huitzii

nioka

cmxd

J&M

nioka

Sdajii

Sdaji

nioka

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