AUD

[ithatheekret]

I'm still trying to gauge the movement mate , short Cable and the EUR/CHF and short the Euro at present , about to close that too . Haven't touched Swissie today ..... yet

I was short Skippy , closed it a short while ago . Might wait for an hour before I commit anything .

 

[Kauri]

Yep, the USD seems to be picking up a bit on repatriation due to the turmoil out there... and once the Japanese start following methinks the carry-trades may cop a lot more of a flogging... (add to that the china banks weighing in as well... not to mention the petro-dollars and asian sov funds pumping in big to the Wall St falling stars and therefore not wanting to see their investments sour too much so) ... carry-trades to suffer/$USD to pick up????
Cheers
...........Kauri

 

[ithatheekret]

I've just placed an entry at .8762 , it's got the closest ratio to price curve I can get , not sure on it though , the ratio now stands at .8758 , but it was a quick calc. , had to get the neighbourhoods kids fishing rods kitted up for their day down by the river .

I've got a gut felling it may be .8764 , but that doesn't included pip commission .

 

[ithatheekret]

Looks like an Ichi cross @ 87.64 .


PS ... shorted the Euro again .

 

[Kauri]

on the move??? coily things everywhere..
Cheers
..........Kauri

 

[Kauri]

on the move??? coily things everywhere..
Cheers
..........Kauri

a quick little scalp... sose I can duck off to the local off-license and get a bottle of plonk for tonight..
Cheers
..........Kauri

 

[ithatheekret]

The ichi recrossed at .8758 and it did a Cooper Pedy special ...... fell down a hole

 

[Kauri]

The ichi recrossed at .8758 and it did a Cooper Pedy special ...... fell down a hole

doesn'y make a lot of sense even to manifestly senseless me :bloated: but my vindicators say we are in for an up-leg of some sort.. much the same with the audjpy, so have a tight stop on that short... (triple bot on the hourly audjpy too)
Cheers
.........Kauri

 

[>Apocalypto<]

possible short setting up on the aud/usd. 4hour

still watching

also eur/usd showing a possible short set up. (4hour)

 

[reece55]

possible short setting up on the aud/usd. 4hour

still watching

also eur/usd showing a possible short set up. (4hour)

I agree TI, definite potential for a short.....

The beauty of technical analysis, because logic would tell you that based on interest rate differentials, the AUD should go up..... But that ain't what the chart indicates...

Cheers

 

[Kauri]

I agree TI, definite potential for a short.....

The beauty of technical analysis, because logic would tell you that based on interest rate differentials, the AUD should go up..... But that ain't what the chart indicates...

Cheers

word around the traps is that most punters feel that there is only one cut left in our dollar... hence the reluctance to push it hard.. BB's cuts notwithstanding..
Cheers
.........Kauri

 

[>Apocalypto<]

word around the traps is that most punters feel that there is only one cut left in our dollar... hence the reluctance to push it hard.. BB's cuts notwithstanding..
Cheers
.........Kauri

that seams right to me Kauri,

aud fell off a lot faster then i was thinking it would, short still looks valid but i am waiting for my next candle to come out on 4hour chart. what is interesting euro seeing some buying now.

I am not sold on this rate cut i think its just holding up the enevadable. yeh i am a optimist!

 

[Kauri]

that seams right to me Kauri,

what is interesting euro seeing some buying now.

quote]

rate differential.. repatriation..sov funds...turbulence.. flatulence.. so many words.. so much wine.. so few sentences...
Cheers
...........Kauri

 

[caribean]

Can be very wrong of course, but i'm long since 10 min's ago...

 

[>Apocalypto<]

Can be very wrong of course, but i'm long since 10 min's ago...

I am short Caribean!

my system gave me a short signal so I have taken it. I may live to regret this but hey u can only follow the rules!

I have a 30 pip stop see how it goes! i shorted usdchf last night, had no idea about the rate cut 1st profit hit at +45 second at +84 was a very nice surprise to wake up to!

I have a bad feeling about this one but i will leave it till stopped.

hope you make some on your long!

update what's happening!

usd making a run, eur/usd falling swissy up. swissy long looks ok aswell

 

[wavepicker]

I am short Caribean!

my system gave me a short signal so I have taken it. I may live to regret this but hey u can only follow the rules!

I have a 30 pip stop see how it goes! i shorted usdchf last night, had no idea about the rate cut 1st profit hit at +45 second at +84 was a very nice surprise to wake up to!

I have a bad feeling about this one but i will leave it till stopped.

hope you make some on your long!

update what's happening!

usd making a run, eur/usd falling swissy up. swissy long looks ok aswell

I am short too TI, Have been bearish AUD for months now!!

 

[caribean]

Sorry Tradeit, i'm the one that's probably wrong here, the trend is still very bearish, i just saw a technical set up and took it, i'll wait till the price action proves me wrong, and if that's the case then good targets will be: 8600 and
8565
cheers

 

[wavepicker]

Re my last post,

refer to the long term chart of the AUDUSD below. The vertical red lines are increments of a key long term cycle.(19yr Metonic cycle)

The last time this cycle topped was in early 1989. This is denoted by the red number 1(occuring on the red line at that time). This cycle was due again 3 months ago and occured bang on the mark. These time points usually come within 5 bars.

Some weeks ago posted a chart long term chart of the SP500 which also showed that a big fall as due. The challenge however was timing the fall as 90% of the price movement seems to happen in the last 10% of the cycle!!

Cheers

 

[caribean]

I'm still not sure, though i had +30 points, stop to BE, and we'll see...
i've got this crazy idea of 8885..

 

[caribean]

Trend line in the way, exited +42 points will re-enter at a better price level