Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

I heard Rob Prechter from Elliot Wave International on Bloomberg this morning say the USD is likely for a run.
Right so far. AUD/USD down 100 pips since then and 82c support for a while. Pair following the DOW though so nothing unusual here.
 
this is where the smart money is setting up....

blue = commercials, they say south....
 

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Interesting chart, but how did you get that data and how reliable is it?

Edit: okay, "Commitment of Traders" reports. Never even knew they existed, I'll have to take a look at them.
 
Resistance become support, now pushing the price higher after several retest on the new inclined support.
Strong indications of long.
 

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In my opinion, we are still up (long). This may be a slight retracement down before bouncing up. T/p is what im not sure about. Im long now, so i would take profit near the nearest s/r which is 70 pips away from now. s/l= 53 pips (last HL). Get in quick and get out quick. lol
 
Good Afternoon,

please find below my daily spot AUD analysis, based on market profile and cap flow charting.

Cheers.

The Australian Dollar rotated higher to key level 0.8758 early in the overnight session. Responsive selling at this level rejected the advance taking the market back inside the established development for the remainder of the session.

Today the market triggered an initiating buy tail of 0.8739 which was the previous session point of control. The market distributed higher where a responsive selling capped the advance, and is developing in a range mid 0.8740's to 0.8772.

A continuation of the distribution higher opens to resistance at 0.8814/20 and 0.8875. Initial support is at 0.8739 the commencement of the initiating buy tail today, then 0.8689 and mid 0.8650’s.

Have a good night.




Aliom Pty Limited (ACN 123 876 291 AFSL 323182) does not warrant the accuracy, completeness or correctness of any information herein. In preparing this post, Aliom Pty Limited has not taken into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. Before making an investment decision on the basis of information in this post you should consider whether the information is appropriate in light of your particular investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. You may wish to consult a licenced advisor or accountant to assist your decision.
 
Hi,
AUD keeps on grow versus U.S. currency. Probably it will stop after G7.
This meeting is going to discuss about euro strongness and currency related topics.
Thanx
 
Im surprised at how the Au$ is going up against every currency except the long loved carry currency the Yen.
A few months ago the moves against the Yen and Us$ were almost the same, however in the last month we are now at 89.4us cents, yet only 78.7 Yen

Ive now used this as a pair trade, short on the us$ and long with the Yen.
I plan to hold my Yen trade over a few weeks, will most likely close my us$ trade in the next few days, assuming it goes back down to around 88c.
Im only going to short for a 1 cent gain. My long term view is that the Us$ will continue to fall.


Im also assuming that a high Yen will not be liked by Japenese exporters. Well thats also the case for any country's exporters.
 
Hoorah

So I made a profit on my long with the Yen, however am still at a loss with my short on the US$.

I cant post a pic now, however it looks like after hitting 89.5 we now have a heads and shoulder formation. It has hit the resistance level (which since breaking through has become the support) of 88.7 now 3 times in the last 48 hours.

Im assuming that unless gold and other commodities can go any higher, it should break 88.7 and possibly fall as low as 88 by the end of week.

I got in at 89c, Im starting to think I should have waited to get in at 89.5 and possibly 90.

Anyone else want put some analysis up??
This tread has become very quiet lately. I would have thought trading the Au$ would have been the easiest way for anyone us to make money the next few months.
 
"This tread has become very quiet lately. I would have thought trading the Au$ would have been the easiest way for anyone us to make money the next few months."

I agree with that comment however its fairly obvious that many out there try and make things too complex for themselves.
Cant see the woods for the trees comes to mind.

Good luck and happy hunting.
 
Fun times! Sure regret missing the test of the longterm trendline at 86c, I'm sure someone here got it.
 
Yup, not only has it passed 90c, it went as high as 90.15

Doh, I gt in too early.

I had a feeling the unemployment numbers would come in better than expected, however wouldnt the world have already known that after the rate rise.
 
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