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ASM - Australian Strategic Materials

And most likely to be understated.
Expect it to be closer to 2 bill once the project capex is completed.
Think I might move out of ASM, been a great ride, but its time to move on.
Mick

I didn't realise how big this project was. That sort of Capex is normally for a giant copper porphyry in the Andes.
 
Stockhead on ASM


ASM released an ‘optimisation study’ building on a scoping study released for its Dubbo project in New South Wales. According to their new figures, the project will cost $1.678 billion to build, up from the $1.297bn capex estimate provided in its 2018 release.

The company says the additions include an estimate for the pricing of its dehafinated zirconia solvent extraction plant (an $87m increase), as well as $65m for a chlor-alkali plant, $30m for a brine concentrator upgrade and a $163m ‘owner’s contingency’.

ASM said the changes will bring annual operating costs down from $317m to $287m and improve its ESG performance.

It also increased the gross revenue estimate from $12.75bn to $15.8bn over the 20 year life of the Dubbo mine, with free cash flow rising from $4.7b to $7.4b, its pre-tax IRR increasing from 17.5% to 23.5% (20.1% post-tax) and pre-tax NPV from $1.24b to $2.36b.


Investors still had the jitters.

 
Looks like you were a month too early PZ.
Up 17% today.
Mick
Not wrong... something to do with Uncle Sam and his robot from what I hear...

"President Joe Biden plans Thursday to invoke Cold War powers to encourage domestic production of critical minerals for electric-vehicle and other types of batteries, according to people familiar with the matter."

 
ASm has gone mainstream.
from ABC NEWS
This is even better than having the local cabbie spruik your shares.
Mick
 
ASm has gone mainstream.
from ABC NEWS

This is even better than having the local cabbie spruik your shares.
Mick
Speaking as one who missed out on buying ASM at 59c and who is still out and kicking myself, the long term chart since it went solo is interesting, up to $14 twice and now falling since.

I enclose a weekly, but on the daily recently there has been considerable pumping on large volume and then dumping on even more volume over the subsequent three or four days. This has occurred with some regularity as it lost nearly half it's value.

I think I'll leave it atm. Perhaps Elon is making a play, but I'm not in Elon's league.



gg
 
ASM has been in decline from highs around $14.00 in November last year. Broke below support at $7.00 last week after consolidation between 7 and 9 for 3 months. Touched $6.00 a couple of days ago to find support above $6.25.

My pick for May comp, as a long shot, that it will confirm support at 6.25 with a target $7.25 by the end of the month. There doesn’t seem to be any other confirmations of this other than Wednesday’s candle and Thursday could have been a swing. An up day yesterday would have helped but it wasn’t to be, however it still looks more positive on a 15min chart.

The downside could be $5.50 after consolidation between $6.25/6.50, but the monthly comp doesn’t allow for getting out early.

Catch a falling knife with no real indication of reversal.
 
This stock has been annoying the crap out of me so I'll post this up hoping it'll bounce back to $10 by the end of the day

 
With China having an 80% grip across the RE market, there's a very real fear they'll manipulate supply. That said, the ASM approach in with Koreans should remove some of that risk.
 
Crikey, quite the fall from grace here. What's going on? Did it just overshoot up to $14?

 
Crikey, quite the fall from grace here. What's going on? Did it just overshoot up to $14?
If it was just overshoot that took it to $14, then I'll settle for $9 by the end of the month. Hope it is really good news for the trading halt.
 
Not sure if this sounds like a good thing, or not.
I guess I would be speculating that yesterday's announcement "ASM’s first high purity critical metals plant officially opens in South Korea" being a milestone for the announcements on 24 January 2022, being completion of due diligence and 21 July 2021, the completion of the initial framework agreement with the South Korean consortium to take a 25% (US250m) equity interest in the Dubbo Project holding company.
As you say, good or not is yet to be determined.
 
Sounds like a good thing... Up 20%

USD 15 million Subscription Agreement at AUD 8.90 per ASM share

Key points

• Additional equity of USD 15 million raised at a share price of AUD 8.90
• July 2021 Framework Agreement revised
• Negotiations are ongoing for a five-year offtake agreement for 2,800 dry metric tonnes of NdFeB alloy from the Korean Metals Plant (KMP)
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