Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

AGO - Atlas Iron

Atlas Iron on track to expand
Rebecca Le May
August 4, 2009 - 4:49PM


http://news.theage.com.au/breaking-news-national/atlas-iron-on-track-to-expand-20090804-e8dq.html

Atlas Iron Ltd says it is on track to become Australia's fourth largest iron ore miner by 2012 at "ridiculously low capital costs".

It also says it is keeping a keen eye on consolidation opportunities in Western Australia's Pilbara region.

"We think we've got a chance to be a big company," managing director David Flanagan told the Diggers and Dealers mining conference in Kalgoorlie on Tuesday.

"You do not need to be a behemoth to be an iron ore company.

"You do not need huge debt."

Mr Flanagan said Atlas was on track to achieve its goal to lift annual output from one million tonnes (Mt) to 12Mt by 2012.

This would make Atlas the fourth largest iron ore miner in Australia behind the much-larger BHP Billiton Ltd, Rio Tinto Ltd and Fortescue Metals Group Ltd.

Atlas already is largest landholder within 150km from Port Hedland.

The company last month decided to proceed with its second mine, Wodgina.

The project is expected to cost less than $10 million to develop because Atlas will use Talison Minerals' Wodgina tantalum mill under an agreement reached after the private company shut down the Wodgina tantalum mine, which is the world's largest.

This compares to the "ridiculously low capital costs" of developing Atlas' first mine, Pardoo, which required capital expenditure of $18 million, Mr Flanagan said.

Its third proposed mine, Abydos, is expected to require a more substantial capital outlay of $50-60 million.

Production is expected to start at Wodgina in January at an initial rate of 2Mt per annum, ramping up to 3.6 Mt per annum later in 2010.

Ore will be exported through the new Utah Point common user berth at Port Hedland.

Atlas exports ore from Pardoo through Fortescue's Point Anderson port facility at the same town.

Atlas announced on Tuesday its maiden resource estimate, from four of six prospects at the Mt Webber project, of 32.62 Mt in the inferred category of Australia's mineral reporting code.

Mr Flanagan said the company was looking out for consolidation opportunities in the Pilbara with $164 million cash in the bank.

He vowed to assist Fortescue's push to have BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto's Pilbara railway lines declared open to third pates by regulators.

"Not that we need it," he added.
 
China on the prowl for smaller Oz miners
05 August 2009 @ 11:08 am ET
http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/20090805/china-on-prowl-smaller-oz-miners.htm

KALGOORLIE, Australia - Who ever said China's loss of face over Chinalco's collapsed $19.5 billion Rio Tinto tie-up bid would curb the country's hunger for Australian natural resources?

Chinese state-owned and privately-held metals firms are actively on the prowl for acquisition and financing deals with Australia's small and medium-capped miners of base metals and iron ore, analysts and bankers say.

"I reckon there's still a few in the cards, there's still more to do -- particularly in steel-related products," said James Wilson, an analyst at DJ Carmichael.

"You can't shut the door on these guys because they are related to the long-term health of the mining industry here," Wilson said, adding that Chinese companies account for a huge proportion of Australian mining firm's customers.

"It's a symbiotic relationship these days."

China's hunger for Australian assets is far from satisfied, two regional investment banking sources told Reuters, even though most of the distressed deals have already been completed earlier this year in the immediate wake of the global financial crisis.

New potential buyout or financing deals may include Australia's smaller iron ore players, the likes of Atlas Iron, and small base metals firms such as Kagara Ltd -- anything involved in steel making or infrastructure to assist in China's massive modernization drive.

Just last month Australia gave the green light to China's Guangdong Foreign Trade Group to take a 19.9 per cent stake in debt-laden Kagara.

Rumors are also swarming China Investment Corp (CIC), the country's $200 billion sovereign wealth fund, is eyeing a financing deal with Fortescue Metals, Australia's third largest iron ore miner.

What is more, Fortescue's boss Andrew Forrest is expected to ultimately sell his firm sometime in the near future -- even after Fortescue struck a $438 million stake deal with China's Hunan Valin Iron and Steel Group earlier this year.

"I think that Andrew Forrest is definitely a seller," one Hong Kong-based banker with knowledge of the Fortescue-Hunan Valin deal said, adding that Forrest may prefer to develop the company more before he exits at a higher price.

The banker predicted that Chinese firms, including Hunan Valin Iron and Steel, could be interested in buying Fortescue.

Both bankers declined to be named to protect client sensitivities.

Analysts say, there will be scant political opposition to such deals, because they will be with smaller-sized companies, and won't attract headlines such as Chinalco's failed $19.5 billion mega tie-up attempt with household name Rio Tinto.

"At the end of the day, its the shareholders who vote on these things," said DJ Carmichael's Wilson.
 
From Diggers and Dealers Conference

"IRON ore junior Atlas Iron has taken out the 2009 Digger Award at a packed gala dinner on the last night of Diggers & Dealers.

Atlas Iron managing director David Flanagan overlooking the Connie deposit at Pardoo.

It has been a massive year for David Flanagan and his team with mining at the company’s flagship Pardoo operation near Port Hedland kicking off in October last year and its maiden iron ore shipment leaving Port Hedland last December.

The miner is targeting 1 million export tonnes in its first 12 months of operations at Pardoo, growing to 3Mt for the second year.

The company is then expected to double exports to 6Mt for 2010 when Abydos comes online, growing to 12Mt per annum by 2012.

Accepting the award, an enthusiastic Flanagan thanked the Atlas management team, and their wives, for all their hard work.

“When you wake up tomorrow morning, reach over, pick up a shovel, go out and dig a hole and set yourself free,” he gushed in front of a delighted crowd."
 
Merrill Lynch Reverses Iron Ore Contract Price Call to 10% Gain
By Jesse Riseborough
Aug. 7 (Bloomberg)

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601012&sid=a4EoJFIcq4g4

Iron ore contract prices may rise 10 percent next year on demand from China, said Bank of America Merrill Lynch, reversing its estimate of a 5 percent drop.

Steel mills may pay 106.6 cents a dry metric ton unit for Australian iron ore fines in the year starting April 1, Merrill Lynch said yesterday in a report. That compares with this year’s 96.9 cents and the bank’s previous forecast of 92.1 cents.

Cash prices for Australian ore delivered to China, the world’s biggest buyer, have risen 38 percent this year. China’s imports surged almost a third in the first half as the government’s 4 trillion yuan ($585 billion) stimulus program spurs mills to produce more steel for automobiles and buildings.

“Iron ore’s seaborne trade is recovering spectacularly from the steel market’s massive fourth quarter 2008 correction,” Merrill Lynch analysts led by Michael Jalonen and Tom Price said in the report. “2009 is a far better year than seaborne iron ore producers ever expected. We are now modest bulls on iron ore.”

Australia is the world’s largest exporter of the steelmaking ingredient. Rio Tinto Group, BHP Billiton Ltd. and Fortescue Metals Group Ltd. are the nation’s three biggest exporters respectively.

To contact the reporter on this story: Jesse Riseborough in Melbourne at jriseborough@bloomberg.net;
 
11 iron ore "winners"
Robin Bromby | August 12, 2009
Article from: The Australian

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/business/story/0,28124,25918554-36418,00.html

TAKE the possible 21 iron ore stocks - outside the two Pilbara majors, of course - and Petra Capita of Sydney has found 11 they can recommend as value buys.

The broker tried to make it a level playing field - comparing apples with apples, if you like - by converting magnetite resources to their haematite equivalent; they did the sums on the amount of beneficiation required to produce a concentrate. Current benchmark iron ore prices were used to calculate enterprise value and that was all mixed up with expected EDITDA for the companies concerned.

Then they were handicapped into three divisions by market cap - one above and two below the $500 million threshold.

Four got the big tick in the heavyweight category: Murchison Metals with its Jack Hills project in the Mid West region of Western Australia; Gindalbie Metals which is also in that region with its Mungada and Karara projects; Fortescue Metals Group, the “new force” in the Pilbara; and Mount Gibson Iron which has Tallering Peak, Koolan Island and Extension Hill.

Middleweight contenders that got the nod from Petra Capital were Brockman Resources with its Pilbara iron ore deposit, Sundance Resources toiling away in tropical Cameroon, Northern Iron - a surprise winner - with the Sydvaranger deposit in Norway and - back to the Pilbara - United Minerals Corp.

In the lightweight division, there’s Western Plains Resources drilling away in the South Australia at Peculiar Knob and Buzzard, Strike Resources over there in Peru, BC Iron which has kneeled at the foot of FMG in return for access to the latter’s Pilbara railway and as a consdequence will be in production next year, and Flinders Mines and its Hamersley project. In regard the last mentioned, FMS yesterday received a speeding ticket from the ASX, the company responding that the price and volume surge may have been due to a new broker’s report.

It was interesting to see which companies got taken out in the cull. Notably there was Atlas Iron which is one of the great Pilbara junior success stories - but remember, this was all about finding stocks that are still value buys, not ones whose achievements and prospects have already been factored into their price.


The writer implies no investment recommendation and this report contains material that is speculative in nature. Investors should seek professional investment advice.
 
ATLAS IRON AND WARWICK RESOURCES AGREE TO MERGE
September 7, 2009
http://www.asx.com.au/asx/statistics/displayAnnouncement.do?display=pdf&idsId=00986051

• Atlas will issue one Atlas share to Warwick shareholders for every three Warwick
shares
• Offer represents a 48% premium for Warwick shareholders based on the price of
Warwick shares over the past 30 days
• Combined Company will reap substantial benefits from higher tonnage
production including lower costs, increased buying power and greater marketing
strength
• Combined Company will have 154mt of DSO resources(1), plus exploration
targets of 165 to 338mt at 56% to 60% Fe(2) and a Pilbara landholding of more
than 15,000km²
• Warwick shareholders to participate in Atlas’ fast growing production profile,
project pipeline, mining and project execution expertise, substantial existing iron
ore resource inventory and the combined Company’s production target of
26mtpa by 2014(3)
• Atlas shareholders will benefit from access to Warwick’s significant landholding
in a major iron ore province with potential to host large-scale, long-life projects,
increasing Atlas’ production profile
• Warwick board recommends Warwick security holders vote in favour of the
merger
 
Who's the next one to get bought out by AGO?
These little juniors would be better off in a partnership with AGO. It's gonna happen, who? when? :banghead:
Should see some stuff happening before iron ore prices start rising again.
 
Looks like this one is going to breakout soon and try $2 resistance one more time. May be as soon as Dow turns green again and hits 10k
 
Looks like this one is going to breakout soon and try $2 resistance one more time. May be as soon as Dow turns green again and hits 10k

What makes you say that ?? It has been trying for past two years.. I think until there is a new broker report out really pumping it or an institution jumps on to dry up supply this will keep bouncing around 1.70...
 
Its gonna end up over 2 bucks at some stage in the future, i don't thinks its imminent though, at least not until some more good news.

I believe theres some downward pressure from people selling who bought the offer at 1.40, seems like just as it gets some steam going towards the 1.80 mark the sellers kick in. Don't blame them though for taking an easy profit!

There was an article in sharecafe http://www.sharecafe.com.au/article_air.asp?a=AV&ai=14417 saying good things about the demand for steel so good things to come hopefully.
 
Its gonna end up over 2 bucks at some stage in the future, i don't thinks its imminent though, at least not until some more good news.

I believe theres some downward pressure from people selling who bought the offer at 1.40, seems like just as it gets some steam going towards the 1.80 mark the sellers kick in. Don't blame them though for taking an easy profit!

There was an article in sharecafe http://www.sharecafe.com.au/article_air.asp?a=AV&ai=14417 saying good things about the demand for steel so good things to come hopefully.

Capesize rates are now at levels in line with those for Panamax and Supramax vessels, reflecting an easing in the rate of import growth in the Chinese commodity market. This implies the BDI has further to fall, unless as Barclays notes, there is a pick up in commodity demand among OECD nations to replace the easing in Chinese demand.
From another article from the sharecafe.com on the same page as the quote titled
'Baltic Dry Index Need OECD toRise'. Until iron ore demand and price rises iron ore producers like Atlas will continue to trade in a sideways pattern.
Bhp & RIO have gone sideways since the beginning of August.
 
Ago has been making all the right moves to become one of the largest iron ore company...its got less debt....and it has crossed $2 twice in last 6 months...well am not a graph reader..but it luks like another breakthrough is just around the corner.
*Bought @ 1.68 today.
 
It was good to see the sp close on the high for the day on Friday, after hours, and on impressive volume of 5.4m highest since June 5th, nice fat candle. The buy to sell ratio has finally turned too in favour of the sellers. The spp must have been flushed through by now. Been on a nice uptrend for 12 days, broke through the 14, 21, 50 & 90 day ema the past few days and the MACD has crossed too. Any chartists care to give their thoughts?
 
AGO is in a trading halt today pending an announcement regarding port access. Surely this could only be some good news. We should know on/before Wednesday.
 
Also few rumours going around about the WRK takeover - possibly another party involved now? Not sure how relevant this is to the ports access
 
What do you guys think it is going to happen to Atlas SP now that the merge with Warwick?

Perth, Australia, Dec 7, 2009 - (ABN Newswire) - Atlas Iron Limited (ASX: AGO.AX) and Warwick Resources Limited (ASX: WRK.AX) are pleased to report that the Federal Court of Australia has earlier today approved the schemes of arrangement between Warwick and its shareholders and optionholders.

Warwick will now proceed to extract the Orders from the Federal Court and intends to lodge the Orders with the Australian Securities and Investments Commission ("ASIC") tomorrow, Tuesday, 8 December 2009.

Tomorrow will be the last day of trading for Warwick and suspension of trading in Warwick securities will occur on ASX at the close of trading on Tuesday, 8 December 2009.

Assuming that trading in Warwick shares is suspended on Tuesday, 8 December 2009, the timetable for the completion of the Merger is as follows.

==================================================================
Scheme Effective Date. Suspension
of Warwick Shares from trading 8 December 2009
------------------------------------------------------------------
Trading of New Atlas Shares on ASX
on a deferred settlement basis 9 December 2009
------------------------------------------------------------------
Exercise Deadline for Warwick Options 11 December 2009
------------------------------------------------------------------
Record Date for determining entitlements
to Scheme Consideration 5.00pm (WST) on 15 December 2009
------------------------------------------------------------------
Share Scheme Implementation Date - Issue
of New Atlas Shares to Share Scheme Participants 17 December 2009
------------------------------------------------------------------
Option Scheme Implementation Date - Issue
of New Atlas Shares to Option Scheme Participants 18 December 2009
------------------------------------------------------------------
Dispatch of holding statements
for New Atlas Shares 22 December 2009
------------------------------------------------------------------
Trading of New Atlas Shares on ASX on
a normal T+3 settlement basis 23 December 2009
==================================================================
All dates are indicative only and may change without notice.

The Boards of both Atlas and Warwick welcome the Court's approval of the Merger and look forward to the ongoing success of the merged company.
 
Its been very quiet here considering AGO has been gaining nicely with the other iron companies such as BRM - Brockman and FMG - Fortescue.

We have a trading halt this morning in relation to a press article, does anyone know what article it is they are referring to ?
 
This is from the Sydney Morning Herald web site

Iron ore miner Atlas Iron has requested a halt in the trading of its shares, saying it would make an announcement clarifying a newspaper article.

The West Australian newspaper said today, without citing sources, that Atlas Iron was close to finalising the sale of a majority stake in a 2-billion-tonne magnetite deposit in a deal the newspaper said could be worth close to $150 million.

It added that Atlas was also in advanced talks to sell its Wodgina deposit in Australia, tapped to become its second hematite iron ore mine.

Atlas shares closed at $2.13 on Wednesday
 
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