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Z1P & APT Prediction Competition

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Aye, crazy.
Hats off to holders... for me though, it's a case of mother Hubbard's cupboard.
Another record high for ZIP, on both SP and volume. Buying pressure hasn't let off. Wondering about @bigdog guess of $10 !?
Who dares wins?

F.Rock
 
Only 16 maybe 17? more sleeps till the comp concludes. Obviously bitter sweet for the chaps that were keen on both these but got caught on the sidelines with the crazy down spike and missed a re-entry.

I'm still bewildered by the recovery of APT from around $10 to now over $50

@Boggo is still holding onto the lead, but how about the foresight of @bigdog who has made up massive ground. Personally, @fergee and I think the Comp was rigged!

Todays prices as at approx. 12.40pm

 
Well, the way it's going, I might have to see about doing some odd jobs for the winners... so they can pay me so I can then buy them gift cards...
 
Some commentary,
I don't hold either, got shaken too many times, the life of the garden variety day trader.
Z1P hit $1 in the Corona virus crash.
APT hit $10
I think it's fair to say, these 2 stocks have surprised most of us.
Clearly, the BNPL "revolt" is here to stay and is steadily gaining worldwide traction, as most other BNPL stocks have shown similar success.

If one considers that Z1P now has around 1/3 of the customer numbers that afterpay have, would it be fair to say that it may get to 1/4 of current APT price in a relatively short term?
IE circa $15.
Or could it be they are massively overpriced?
Dunno. Will let the experienced learned colleagues here comment on that.

I would also like to take the opportunity to thank everyone for participating, and putting in your opinions, especially my good cobber @barney whom I believe I could trust with my life.

Hats off to you B.
Muchas Gracia's.

Would love to hear from those who have made out of these stocks, or if you lost , like me due to an itchy trigger finger and an occasional day job which ruined my trading momentum and mojo on many occasions.

Am still shocked by the results of these, especially considering the unprecedented times we are in.

Cheers!
F.Rock
 
frugal.rock said:
Hats off to you B.
Click to expand...

Thanks FR. I haven't done much really but hopefully it helped a bit

The long term speculation finishes at the end of this week. i will update the positions after the close this arv.
 
barney said:
i will update the positions after the close this arv.
Click to expand...

In the words of the great Jim Carey ... Alrighty then.

We are getting down to the pointy end of the Comp. Whether you hold or not, the progress of both these Stocks in recent times has been an interesting lesson in Trading, and these lessons should not be discounted. (ps I'm not trying to be the teacher here, but I have been the recipient of a few of these trading lessons)

If you were a holder prior to the February-March smashup derby, certain questions arise regarding each punters trading plan.

Did you/Should you have/Could you have/WOULD you have held through that period of capital sucking downturn

If you believed in either Stock 100%, you could have either held/bought more during the selloff, or Sold sometime on the down and bought back in sometime on the way back up (Hindsight is a useless commodity unfortunately so that option is often psychologically difficult, even though possibly the best option)

Anyway, no matter who chose the closest Stock prices as of the end of this week, the bottom line really is, did we trade it well ... and if not, did we learn anything.

These types of Stocks (the ones worth more than 20 cents) are outside my normal zone of vision so I was basically a spectator ... (please note I also am close to LAST place in both picks so anything I may or may not say is basically not worth listening to lol)

Just to clarify the Charts following:-

@frugal.rock was initially interested in both Stocks (separately) ... so I have now included both charts, and the leaders (closest to zero %).

AND ..... The numbers posted on these charts are to 6 (yes, SIX goddamn it) decimal places, basically because a couple of you chaps are very close to each other with your guesses!

All things being equal, I will update the final tallies at the end of trading Friday arv ..Cheers all, and well done to @frugal.rock for doing something positive for ASF. I'm sure @Joe Blow appreciates his ongoing input.

pps. If I have screwed up anyone's numbers etc, please let me know ... I love Excel but I'm also old so anything is possible where technology and I meet!

 
The day has arrived.

The most likely contenders,..
Afterpay Ltd, closed yesterday on $56.92
@Knobby22 guess on $56,
@bigdog on $60

Zip Co Ltd closed yesterday on
$5.49
@rederob guess on $5.43,
myself on $5.75

My zip bot is struggling, haha,
I need a good gap up of $0.17 to take out the zip side.
Well within it's capability to do it too !
The suspense is killing me.
Cheers. It's been fun.

I think the results show that this little foray into market sentiment wasn't just for my benefit.
My guesses were simply extrapolated from the trends at the time.
Afterpay has blown the trend off and then some.
Zip, more on target.
All of this with covid19, which was probably not a consideration by many, if any , at the time of entry?!

Have taken a small position (chump change) in FXL as @Dona Ferentes has highlighted it's individual strength as a well established player, that is actually profitable and has a history of paying dividends.

F.Rock
 
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So we have 3 winnings....



@bigdog takes out closest to the pin for Afterpay for a $100 gift,




@rederob and myself on a tie for Zip! for a $50 gift each.
Broker checked, no funny rounding from a centre point for Zip.

Can @bigdog and @rederob contact me by PM and I will make arrangements.
If you have have any privacy concerns, perhaps @Joe Blow could be the "ham in the sandwich" facilitator.
Cheers guys/gals!
 

Attachments

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@frugal.rock, please donate any winnings to the ASF fighting fund.
Thanks to those who made this interesting exercise, and of course the prize donor.
 
Well done "Rock" for your generosity. And well done to you guys who got really close to the final numbers, especially @bigdog with APT ...... That looked like a rogue prediction at the start but looks pretty good now

Final Charts etc. below.


 
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