This is a mobile optimized page that loads fast, if you want to load the real page, click this text.
have hit the nail on the head this week at this stage Joules

today looks like a buy day despite the hook down in US futures.....but it's all in a larger cycle so some higher highs to come before a significant pull back.......same goes for HSI .......

i'm expecting to see signs of distribution now, lift in volatility in the US
 
That rising trendline is being tested and is holding thus far.
Very important action at present.
 


crikey.....quick or the dead.....shorts on!
 
Yeah, interesting night...the Dax was the most unusual action I've seen for months....so thin yet getting sold at every opp.

yes, made for a reasonable heads up for the us open......i can't get that there is any buying going on......not buy yom kippur that's for sure.....
 
Bounced off of it pretty hard, will be interesting to see how the afternoon plays out.

Those tails are getting longer and longer!
 
Bounced off of it pretty hard, will be interesting to see how the afternoon plays out.

Those tails are getting longer and longer!

mate.....get ya measuring tape out.....i find, mostly, when the index takes off while the other indecies are closed that's a good look for the next few days, especially if we get a close above yesterdays high......
 
Interesting bounce these last two days. Managed to stay above the lower channel bar but the 4440 level is proving a challenge.


 
See the blue dotted line. That's from the peak of 2007. This is the reason for the cautious couple of weeks. Needs a lot of confidence to break through. It represents a return to a bull market, imo. I'm thinking another +100 points easily from here.
 

Attachments

  • xao.jpg
    91.3 KB · Views: 9
I'd be surprised if we didn't take out 4500 on the XAO .......

gettin there.....



Market Pulse Archives

Oct. 2, 2012, 12:48 a.m. EDT
Australia surprises with 0.25 point rate cut

By V. Phani Kumar

 
the din of "sell the rallies" overnight hit what i think is a small peak, i am buying the dips and selling the highs-to-close as opposed to getting short way too early as that is the very thing that assists these (SPX) distribution periods where shorter are creating the uptrend......Bespoke.com noted that this mornings SPX close saw the first time in several consecutive closes where stocks bought exceeded sales offered......the daily close above 4440 on the XJO that i've been looking for appears on for today however the other big elephant in the boat that US futes pay close attention to is the DAX and that is very close to calling a sell signal in my opinion .....technically, on a 7 day 15 min period there's a subtle inv h/s pattern on the DAX i've been running and a hold above 7270 with move above 7376 would be a very good sign of higher weekly highs.....

even tho Twiggs clearly shows money coming out of US indecies and the TRANS giving off smelly sell signals i think we have higher to go to complete cycles pre-election.....i think the EURO/USD and the TED are signalling higher prices too....

 
Yesterday was very significant for the Aus market. We broke out from a huge symmetrical triangle (the blue dotted line on the daily chart). This is the weekly chart of same.
 

Attachments

  • xao.jpg
    167.1 KB · Views: 16
This looks hopeful, finaly breaking above 4440.



Then again our major trading partner doesn't look too hot.



Fingers crossed we aren't rolling along on hollow euphoria.
 
a lower aud = a higher participation of o/seas equity buyers

-----------------------------------------------------------

Wednesday, October 3, 2012
Spike in Australian trade deficit points to AUD's vulnerability

http://soberlook.com/2012/10/spike-in-australian-trade-deficit.html

excerpt

 
Cookies are required to use this site. You must accept them to continue using the site. Learn more...