Where do you find the current expected 10 Year bond rate for next 3 years?

[Mjyoungman]

I've recently started investing, and have been looking at investing strategies, including Value investing. I'm trying to ascertain a stocks 'intrinsic value' and one of the pieces of information I need to do so is the 'current expected 10 Year bond rate over the next 3 years'...but I don't know where to find this...

Any assistance would be greatly appreciated.

Cheers!

 

[wayneL]

I've recently started investing, and have been looking at investing strategies, including Value investing. I'm trying to ascertain a stocks 'intrinsic value' and one of the pieces of information I need to do so is the 'current expected 10 Year bond rate over the next 3 years'...but I don't know where to find this...

Any assistance would be greatly appreciated.

Cheers!

That's one of those "how long is a piece of string?" questions. You could safely presume they won't rise to 20% in that time (we all hope). Anything else is a guess. Some are expecting a rise, some not.

 

[Mjyoungman]

WayneL,

Thanks for that - would companies like Comsec, ABN Amro etc have a forecast on 10 Year Bond yields? Whilst you say no body knows, surely there are analysts who make calls on what they think it could be...where do you find this out? Cheers.

 

[bvbfan]

10 year bond yield can be had from Bloomberg I think or go to the SFE/ASX website
XT is the 10 year bond (dec 07) is quoting 93.84 as the price so for yield we take the 100 - price to get yield

Yield therefore is 6.16%

If you are looking for a forecast then its a different matter.

I wouldn't rule out 20% either if inflation goes nuts